VRTX Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 41 trades in period
+12.07%
Last 3 Months Return
$13,551.31
Current Value
73%
Win Rate
$12,092.35
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.5 neutral
20d Trend
-1.8%
5d Trend
-1.9%
EMA20 Dist
-0.6%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
54
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
22.3/35
Total Return
12.9/25
Win Rate
8.3/15
Profit Factor
3.6/15
Consistency
7.3/10
Raw Quality
54.3/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 54.1
30-Day Momentum
63
+5.3%
30d Return
85%
Win Rate
13
Trades
7.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 65.8
Conf: 0.95×
Steady (+9 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,092.35
Current Value
$13,551.31
Period P&L
$1,459.01
Max Drawdown
-5.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.46
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
30 /
11
Best Trade
+1.48%
Worst Trade
-1.79%
Avg Trade Return
+0.29%
Avg Hold Time
5.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,015,742.05
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,459.01
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,459.01
Gross Return
+12.07%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.07%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 VRTX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 41 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $12,092.35 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $475.11 | 25 | $11,877.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET | $478.11 | 25 | $11,952.75 | $12,167.30 |
+$75.00 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 12:20pm ET | $497.77 | 24 | $11,946.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 2:00pm ET | $494.98 | 24 | $11,879.52 | $12,100.22 |
$-67.08 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 10:15am ET | $492.04 | 24 | $11,808.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 10:55am ET | $496.55 | 24 | $11,917.08 | $12,208.34 |
+$108.12 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 1:20pm ET | $499.39 | 24 | $11,985.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 2:50pm ET | $498.46 | 24 | $11,963.04 | $12,186.14 |
$-22.20 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:45am ET | $517.67 | 23 | $11,906.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 10:55am ET | $520.07 | 23 | $11,961.61 | $12,241.23 |
+$55.09 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 3:20pm ET | $521.71 | 23 | $11,999.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 3:50pm ET | $524.61 | 23 | $12,066.14 | $12,308.04 |
+$66.81 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $495.77 | 24 | $11,898.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 12:25pm ET | $486.92 | 24 | $11,686.08 | $12,095.52 |
$-212.52 (-1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $478.91 | 25 | $11,972.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $478.46 | 25 | $11,961.48 | $12,084.25 |
$-11.27 (-0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $473.83 | 25 | $11,845.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 10:10am ET | $480.15 | 25 | $12,003.75 | $12,242.25 |
+$158.00 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 10:15am ET | $470.07 | 26 | $12,221.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 10:20am ET | $473.83 | 26 | $12,319.45 | $12,339.88 |
+$97.63 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 12:20pm ET | $479.52 | 25 | $11,988.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 12:35pm ET | $480.75 | 25 | $12,018.75 | $12,370.63 |
+$30.75 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 1:30pm ET | $483.06 | 25 | $12,076.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 2:15pm ET | $484.61 | 25 | $12,115.37 | $12,409.50 |
+$38.87 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $476.20 | 26 | $12,381.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 9:45am ET | $480.39 | 26 | $12,490.01 | $12,518.31 |
+$108.81 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 9:45am ET | $477.31 | 26 | $12,410.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 1:30pm ET | $473.10 | 26 | $12,300.60 | $12,408.85 |
$-109.46 (-0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 1:55pm ET | $473.35 | 26 | $12,306.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 2:40pm ET | $474.56 | 26 | $12,338.56 | $12,440.44 |
+$31.59 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 11:45am ET | $482.82 | 25 | $12,070.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 1:40pm ET | $481.59 | 25 | $12,039.75 | $12,409.69 |
$-30.75 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 11:00am ET | $488.59 | 25 | $12,214.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 11:35am ET | $490.94 | 25 | $12,273.50 | $12,468.44 |
+$58.75 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET | $473.76 | 26 | $12,317.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 11:10am ET | $472.01 | 26 | $12,272.26 | $12,422.94 |
$-45.50 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 2:25pm ET | $476.75 | 26 | $12,395.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 3:30pm ET | $476.84 | 26 | $12,397.84 | $12,425.28 |
+$2.34 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 2:15pm ET | $482.09 | 25 | $12,052.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 2:50pm ET | $483.58 | 25 | $12,089.50 | $12,462.53 |
+$37.25 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 1:40pm ET | $529.33 | 23 | $12,174.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $526.80 | 23 | $12,116.40 | $12,404.45 |
$-58.08 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.8h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $525.50 | 23 | $12,086.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 10:05am ET | $530.95 | 23 | $12,211.85 | $12,529.80 |
+$125.35 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 1:10pm ET | $524.28 | 23 | $12,058.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 1:15pm ET | $523.64 | 23 | $12,043.72 | $12,515.19 |
$-14.61 (-0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 3:15pm ET | $506.33 | 24 | $12,151.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $508.02 | 24 | $12,192.36 | $12,555.63 |
+$40.44 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 2:55pm ET | $528.26 | 23 | $12,149.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $535.27 | 23 | $12,311.21 | $12,716.86 |
+$161.23 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.6h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $543.78 | 23 | $12,506.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 11:05am ET | $545.72 | 23 | $12,551.45 | $12,761.36 |
+$44.50 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 12:50pm ET | $549.77 | 23 | $12,644.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 12:55pm ET | $551.46 | 23 | $12,683.58 | $12,800.23 |
+$38.87 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 2:10pm ET | $547.59 | 23 | $12,594.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 2:50pm ET | $554.23 | 23 | $12,747.29 | $12,952.95 |
+$152.72 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $542.37 | 23 | $12,474.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 10:25am ET | $545.92 | 23 | $12,556.16 | $13,034.60 |
+$81.65 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 12:15pm ET | $542.40 | 24 | $13,017.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 1:20pm ET | $543.26 | 24 | $13,038.24 | $13,055.24 |
+$20.64 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 12:55pm ET | $547.38 | 23 | $12,589.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 1:15pm ET | $549.40 | 23 | $12,636.20 | $13,101.70 |
+$46.46 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 9:45am ET | $553.03 | 23 | $12,719.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 9:50am ET | $556.96 | 23 | $12,810.08 | $13,192.09 |
+$90.39 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 9:50am ET | $551.28 | 23 | $12,679.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 11:35am ET | $551.64 | 23 | $12,687.72 | $13,200.41 |
+$8.32 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 3:50pm ET | $528.10 | 24 | $12,674.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $526.22 | 24 | $12,629.40 | $13,155.41 |
$-45.00 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $518.84 | 25 | $12,971.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $518.94 | 25 | $12,973.50 | $13,157.91 |
+$2.50 (+0.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 3:50pm ET | $515.06 | 25 | $12,876.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $522.66 | 25 | $13,066.62 | $13,348.03 |
+$190.12 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $513.93 | 25 | $12,848.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 11:10am ET | $512.83 | 25 | $12,820.75 | $13,320.53 |
$-27.50 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 1:00pm ET | $513.59 | 25 | $12,839.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 1:40pm ET | $515.21 | 25 | $12,880.25 | $13,361.03 |
+$40.50 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 1:10pm ET | $505.10 | 26 | $13,132.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 1:40pm ET | $506.50 | 26 | $13,169.00 | $13,397.43 |
+$36.40 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 9:40am ET | $509.45 | 26 | $13,245.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 9:50am ET | $512.84 | 26 | $13,333.71 | $13,485.31 |
+$87.88 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 11:50am ET | $521.12 | 25 | $13,028.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 12:20pm ET | $523.76 | 25 | $13,094.00 | $13,551.31 |
+$66.00 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,551.31
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,551.31
Total Return:
+35.51%