VRTX Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-23 to present • 34 trades in period
+3.38%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,053.67
Current Value
62%
Win Rate
$11,659.47
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
49.5 neutral
20d Trend
-1.8%
5d Trend
-1.9%
EMA20 Dist
-0.6%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026
41
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
13.1/35
Total Return
11.1/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
2.3/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality
41.3/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 40.6
30-Day Momentum
51
+5.1%
30d Return
64%
Win Rate
11
Trades
2.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 56.6
Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+10 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,977
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,659.47
Current Value
$12,053.67
Period P&L
$394.25
Max Drawdown
-5.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
34
Winners / Losers
21 /
13
Best Trade
+4.11%
Worst Trade
-2.40%
Avg Trade Return
+0.10%
Avg Hold Time
6.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$762,032.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$394.25
Net P&L (after fees)
$394.25
Gross Return
+3.38%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.38%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 VRTX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 34 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,659.47 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $448.00 | 26 | $11,648.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $446.00 | 26 | $11,596.00 | $11,607.41 |
$-52.00 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 3:30pm ET | $456.48 | 25 | $11,412.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $450.89 | 25 | $11,272.25 | $11,467.66 |
$-139.75 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $450.95 | 25 | $11,273.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 1:35pm ET | $440.11 | 25 | $11,002.75 | $11,196.66 |
$-271.00 (-2.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
4.1h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 12:15pm ET | $450.03 | 24 | $10,800.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 1:25pm ET | $450.12 | 24 | $10,802.88 | $11,198.82 |
+$2.16 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 3:25pm ET | $434.54 | 25 | $10,863.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 12:00pm ET | $427.45 | 25 | $10,686.25 | $11,021.70 |
$-177.12 (-1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.6h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 2:45pm ET | $438.94 | 25 | $10,973.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 3:30pm ET | $439.54 | 25 | $10,988.38 | $11,036.58 |
+$14.88 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 1:40pm ET | $435.89 | 25 | $10,897.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 3:05pm ET | $435.77 | 25 | $10,894.25 | $11,033.58 |
$-3.00 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $437.00 | 25 | $10,925.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $440.55 | 25 | $11,013.75 | $11,122.33 |
+$88.75 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 1:00pm ET | $439.17 | 25 | $10,979.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 3:50pm ET | $434.55 | 25 | $10,863.75 | $11,006.71 |
$-115.63 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $439.15 | 25 | $10,978.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 10:20am ET | $440.52 | 25 | $11,012.88 | $11,040.84 |
+$34.13 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $436.09 | 25 | $10,902.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:50am ET | $438.93 | 25 | $10,973.22 | $11,111.81 |
+$70.97 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $437.52 | 25 | $10,938.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 3:50pm ET | $435.48 | 25 | $10,887.00 | $11,060.69 |
$-51.12 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $427.01 | 25 | $10,675.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $431.93 | 25 | $10,798.25 | $11,183.69 |
+$123.00 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 12:55pm ET | $428.36 | 26 | $11,137.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 1:55pm ET | $429.27 | 26 | $11,161.02 | $11,207.35 |
+$23.66 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 1:55pm ET | $429.00 | 26 | $11,154.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 3:50pm ET | $428.94 | 26 | $11,152.44 | $11,205.79 |
$-1.56 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 12:30pm ET | $424.48 | 26 | $11,036.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 1:40pm ET | $424.79 | 26 | $11,044.54 | $11,213.85 |
+$8.06 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $423.59 | 26 | $11,013.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 9:45am ET | $427.97 | 26 | $11,127.22 | $11,327.73 |
+$113.88 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 2:00pm ET | $450.83 | 25 | $11,270.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $448.72 | 25 | $11,218.00 | $11,274.98 |
$-52.75 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $451.39 | 24 | $10,833.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 10:10am ET | $453.53 | 24 | $10,884.72 | $11,326.46 |
+$51.48 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 12:55pm ET | $437.90 | 25 | $10,947.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 2:25pm ET | $438.43 | 25 | $10,960.87 | $11,339.84 |
+$13.38 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 2:50pm ET | $435.54 | 26 | $11,323.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $436.67 | 26 | $11,353.42 | $11,369.35 |
+$29.51 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 10:05am ET | $431.73 | 26 | $11,224.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 11:00am ET | $434.26 | 26 | $11,290.76 | $11,435.13 |
+$65.78 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 12:20pm ET | $433.99 | 26 | $11,283.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 1:25pm ET | $435.13 | 26 | $11,313.25 | $11,464.64 |
+$29.51 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $435.53 | 26 | $11,323.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $437.85 | 26 | $11,383.97 | $11,524.83 |
+$60.19 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $436.70 | 26 | $11,354.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 9:45am ET | $439.78 | 26 | $11,434.28 | $11,604.91 |
+$80.08 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 9:45am ET | $445.67 | 26 | $11,587.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 9:50am ET | $443.66 | 26 | $11,535.16 | $11,552.52 |
$-52.39 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $432.39 | 26 | $11,242.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 12:45pm ET | $426.85 | 26 | $11,097.97 | $11,408.35 |
$-144.17 (-1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 3:45pm ET | $428.34 | 26 | $11,136.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $445.95 | 26 | $11,594.57 | $11,866.08 |
+$457.73 (+4.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 12:25pm ET | $443.78 | 26 | $11,538.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 2:05pm ET | $443.42 | 26 | $11,529.05 | $11,856.85 |
$-9.23 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 11:00am ET | $440.65 | 26 | $11,456.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $436.23 | 26 | $11,341.98 | $11,741.93 |
$-114.92 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
4.9h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 11:35am ET | $442.73 | 26 | $11,510.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 12:40pm ET | $444.35 | 26 | $11,553.10 | $11,784.18 |
+$42.25 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 3:40pm ET | $450.77 | 26 | $11,720.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $452.82 | 26 | $11,773.32 | $11,837.35 |
+$53.17 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $450.63 | 26 | $11,716.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 9:40am ET | $454.29 | 26 | $11,811.54 | $11,932.51 |
+$95.16 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 3:30pm ET | $451.51 | 26 | $11,739.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $456.17 | 26 | $11,860.42 | $12,053.67 |
+$121.16 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,053.67
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,053.67
Total Return:
+20.54%