VZ Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-23 to present • 36 trades in period
-1.70%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,019.50
Current Value
61%
Win Rate
$10,192.88
Period Start
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
86 overbought
20d Trend
+20.8%
5d Trend
+7.0%
EMA20 Dist
+10.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
12.1×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026
15
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.1/35
Total Return
0.6/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality
14.9/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 14.6
30-Day Momentum
17
-3.2%
30d Return
62%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.1
Conf: 0.95×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,977
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,192.88
Current Value
$10,019.50
Period P&L
$-173.35
Max Drawdown
-12.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
22 /
14
Best Trade
+1.25%
Worst Trade
-3.22%
Avg Trade Return
-0.05%
Avg Hold Time
9.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$730,387.90
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-173.35
Net P&L (after fees)
$-173.35
Gross Return
-1.70%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.70%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 VZ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 36 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,192.88 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 3:25pm ET | $50.13 | 203 | $10,176.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 10:00am ET | $50.24 | 203 | $10,199.73 | $10,246.64 |
+$23.34 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 3:25pm ET | $51.03 | 200 | $10,205.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.62 | 200 | $10,123.98 | $10,165.62 |
$-81.02 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 1:35pm ET | $50.88 | 199 | $10,125.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.02 | 199 | $10,152.98 | $10,193.48 |
+$27.86 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.9h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 12:05pm ET | $50.15 | 203 | $10,181.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 12:40pm ET | $50.30 | 203 | $10,210.90 | $10,222.92 |
+$29.44 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 10:15am ET | $49.53 | 206 | $10,202.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 11:55am ET | $49.37 | 206 | $10,169.19 | $10,189.96 |
$-32.96 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 12:00pm ET | $49.40 | 206 | $10,175.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 12:50pm ET | $49.51 | 206 | $10,199.06 | $10,213.65 |
+$23.69 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.01 | 208 | $10,194.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:45am ET | $48.74 | 208 | $10,138.96 | $10,158.53 |
$-55.12 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.04 | 215 | $10,113.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $46.76 | 215 | $10,054.47 | $10,099.40 |
$-59.13 (-0.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $45.75 | 220 | $10,065.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 10:50am ET | $45.85 | 220 | $10,088.10 | $10,122.50 |
+$23.10 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 12:20pm ET | $44.97 | 225 | $10,117.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 12:35pm ET | $45.09 | 225 | $10,145.25 | $10,150.63 |
+$28.13 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $46.38 | 218 | $10,111.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 10:40am ET | $46.52 | 218 | $10,141.36 | $10,180.06 |
+$29.43 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 2:05pm ET | $46.58 | 218 | $10,153.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 3:50pm ET | $46.53 | 218 | $10,142.45 | $10,169.16 |
$-10.90 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $45.92 | 221 | $10,148.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 11:05am ET | $45.58 | 221 | $10,072.08 | $10,092.92 |
$-76.24 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $47.22 | 213 | $10,056.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:55am ET | $47.28 | 213 | $10,071.70 | $10,107.83 |
+$14.91 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 2:50pm ET | $47.28 | 213 | $10,069.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.87 | 213 | $10,195.25 | $10,233.50 |
+$125.67 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.7h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 1:55pm ET | $46.76 | 218 | $10,192.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 3:50pm ET | $46.50 | 218 | $10,137.00 | $10,177.91 |
$-55.59 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 12:10pm ET | $47.90 | 212 | $10,155.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 12:55pm ET | $47.99 | 212 | $10,173.88 | $10,195.93 |
+$18.02 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 10:35am ET | $47.28 | 215 | $10,164.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 12:00pm ET | $47.42 | 215 | $10,195.28 | $10,227.08 |
+$31.15 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 2:10pm ET | $47.16 | 216 | $10,186.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 3:25pm ET | $47.15 | 216 | $10,185.48 | $10,226.00 |
$-1.08 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.76 | 214 | $10,220.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $48.16 | 214 | $10,306.24 | $10,311.60 |
+$85.60 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 1:55pm ET | $47.04 | 219 | $10,302.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 2:25pm ET | $47.15 | 219 | $10,324.76 | $10,333.50 |
+$21.90 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 3:20pm ET | $46.67 | 221 | $10,315.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 10:25am ET | $46.46 | 221 | $10,267.66 | $10,285.98 |
$-47.52 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.56 | 216 | $10,272.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 10:00am ET | $47.88 | 216 | $10,341.00 | $10,354.02 |
+$68.04 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 10:00am ET | $48.01 | 215 | $10,321.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 11:30am ET | $48.12 | 215 | $10,344.73 | $10,377.67 |
+$23.65 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 3:35pm ET | $48.46 | 214 | $10,370.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 9:55am ET | $48.45 | 214 | $10,368.30 | $10,375.55 |
$-2.12 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 10:00am ET | $47.44 | 218 | $10,341.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 10:30am ET | $47.88 | 218 | $10,436.75 | $10,470.38 |
+$94.83 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 12:50pm ET | $47.67 | 219 | $10,439.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 2:15pm ET | $47.63 | 219 | $10,429.88 | $10,460.85 |
$-9.53 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $47.88 | 218 | $10,437.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $46.78 | 218 | $10,198.04 | $10,221.05 |
$-239.80 (-2.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 10:50am ET | $46.31 | 220 | $10,189.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 2:50pm ET | $44.83 | 220 | $9,861.50 | $9,893.25 |
$-327.80 (-3.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
4h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:50am ET | $45.18 | 218 | $9,849.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 10:50am ET | $45.38 | 218 | $9,893.93 | $9,937.94 |
+$44.69 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 1:50pm ET | $46.74 | 212 | $9,909.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 2:00pm ET | $46.89 | 212 | $9,940.36 | $9,968.36 |
+$30.42 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 2:00pm ET | $47.45 | 210 | $9,964.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 3:00pm ET | $47.49 | 210 | $9,971.85 | $9,975.71 |
+$7.35 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 3:25pm ET | $48.04 | 207 | $9,945.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.49 | 207 | $9,829.40 | $9,859.79 |
$-115.92 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:50am ET | $46.92 | 210 | $9,853.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 10:25am ET | $47.17 | 210 | $9,904.65 | $9,911.24 |
+$51.45 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 3:00pm ET | $45.27 | 218 | $9,868.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 3:15pm ET | $45.42 | 218 | $9,900.47 | $9,942.85 |
+$31.61 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $45.20 | 219 | $9,898.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $45.55 | 219 | $9,975.45 | $10,019.50 |
+$76.65 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,019.50
Net Profit/Loss:
+$19.50
Total Return:
+0.19%