Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:44:48

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
53.8 neutral
20d Trend
-1.8%
5d Trend
+1.4%
EMA20 Dist
+1.0%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
64%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 12.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 12.6

30-Day Momentum

13
+0.0%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 14.3 Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,328.65
Current Value
$9,331.29
Period P&L
$2.60
Max Drawdown
-15.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
40
Winners / Losers
21 / 19
Best Trade
+0.95%
Worst Trade
-1.02%
Avg Trade Return
+0.00%
Avg Hold Time
5.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$747,837.31
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2.60
Net P&L (after fees)
$2.60
Gross Return
+0.03%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.03%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WFC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 40 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,328.65 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 10:40am ET $83.53 111 $9,271.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 11:05am ET $83.86 111 $9,308.46 $9,365.88 +$37.18
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 1:00pm ET $84.64 110 $9,310.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 2:15pm ET $84.64 110 $9,309.85 $9,365.33 $-0.55
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 2:30pm ET $84.34 111 $9,361.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $84.32 111 $9,360.07 $9,363.67 $-1.66
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET $82.89 112 $9,283.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 10:25am ET $83.57 112 $9,359.84 $9,439.83 +$76.16
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 1:05pm ET $85.27 110 $9,379.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 1:35pm ET $85.55 110 $9,410.50 $9,470.63 +$30.80
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 12:20pm ET $87.18 108 $9,414.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 1:25pm ET $87.21 108 $9,418.68 $9,474.41 +$3.78
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 3:30pm ET $86.71 109 $9,450.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $87.53 109 $9,540.77 $9,564.33 +$89.92
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:35am ET $86.75 110 $9,542.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:40am ET $86.19 110 $9,481.45 $9,503.28 $-61.05
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 11:30am ET $85.90 110 $9,449.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 12:45pm ET $85.94 110 $9,453.47 $9,507.75 +$4.47
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 1:10pm ET $86.64 109 $9,443.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 1:15pm ET $86.42 109 $9,419.78 $9,484.31 $-23.44
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 1:35pm ET $87.99 107 $9,414.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 2:50pm ET $87.95 107 $9,410.65 $9,480.56 $-3.75
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 12:55pm ET $86.79 109 $9,459.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $86.35 109 $9,411.61 $9,432.60 $-47.96
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $87.43 107 $9,355.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 11:20am ET $86.87 107 $9,295.09 $9,372.68 $-59.92
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET $86.06 108 $9,293.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:45am ET $86.25 108 $9,315.00 $9,393.73 +$21.05
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 12:50pm ET $87.16 107 $9,326.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 1:30pm ET $87.27 107 $9,337.89 $9,405.50 +$11.77
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 3:00pm ET $86.61 108 $9,353.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 3:05pm ET $86.80 108 $9,374.40 $9,426.02 +$20.52
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 3:15pm ET $84.21 111 $9,347.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $84.53 111 $9,382.83 $9,461.54 +$35.52
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 2:15pm ET $86.20 109 $9,395.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 3:15pm ET $86.31 109 $9,407.79 $9,473.53 +$11.99
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 1:30pm ET $88.60 106 $9,391.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 3:05pm ET $88.57 106 $9,388.42 $9,470.35 $-3.18
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:40am ET $88.94 106 $9,427.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 11:55am ET $88.03 106 $9,331.18 $9,373.89 $-96.46
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 3:30pm ET $87.47 107 $9,359.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 3:40pm ET $87.64 107 $9,377.48 $9,392.08 +$18.19
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $87.39 107 $9,350.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $87.77 107 $9,391.39 $9,432.74 +$40.66
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET $88.65 106 $9,397.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 12:35pm ET $88.08 106 $9,336.48 $9,371.79 $-60.95
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.1h held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 12:50pm ET $88.21 106 $9,350.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 1:25pm ET $88.38 106 $9,368.28 $9,389.81 +$18.02
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 1:35pm ET $88.62 105 $9,305.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 3:20pm ET $88.36 105 $9,277.80 $9,362.51 $-27.30
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $87.21 107 $9,331.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:35am ET $86.88 107 $9,296.16 $9,327.20 $-35.31
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:35am ET $85.46 109 $9,315.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 10:55am ET $85.40 109 $9,309.14 $9,321.20 $-6.00
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 12:30pm ET $84.36 110 $9,279.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 1:35pm ET $84.42 110 $9,286.20 $9,327.81 +$6.61
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
29 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 2:25pm ET $85.22 109 $9,288.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 2:45pm ET $85.36 109 $9,304.24 $9,343.07 +$15.26
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
30 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 3:45pm ET $86.54 107 $9,260.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 3:50pm ET $86.41 107 $9,245.87 $9,328.63 $-14.44
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 12:00pm ET $89.05 104 $9,261.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 1:40pm ET $89.00 104 $9,256.52 $9,323.94 $-4.68
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 2:05pm ET $88.96 104 $9,251.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:10pm ET $89.09 104 $9,265.35 $9,337.97 +$14.03
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $89.07 104 $9,263.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET $89.01 104 $9,257.15 $9,331.84 $-6.13
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:35am ET $87.76 106 $9,303.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:45am ET $88.43 106 $9,373.58 $9,402.33 +$70.49
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:50am ET $89.50 105 $9,397.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 11:30am ET $89.13 105 $9,358.68 $9,363.51 $-38.82
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
36 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 3:35pm ET $90.32 103 $9,302.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:40am ET $90.46 103 $9,317.38 $9,377.93 +$14.42
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
37 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:35am ET $88.53 105 $9,295.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 10:55am ET $88.61 105 $9,304.05 $9,386.33 +$8.40
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
38 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $87.11 107 $9,320.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 3:50pm ET $86.63 107 $9,268.88 $9,334.97 $-51.36
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
39 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $86.32 108 $9,322.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:40am ET $85.99 108 $9,286.92 $9,299.33 $-35.64
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
40 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:40am ET $82.93 112 $9,288.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:20am ET $83.22 112 $9,320.68 $9,331.29 +$31.96
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,331.29
Net Profit/Loss: $-668.71
Total Return: -6.69%
Back to Professor Mean