Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-07-26 19:35:02

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
53.8 neutral
20d Trend
-1.8%
5d Trend
+1.4%
EMA20 Dist
+1.0%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
64%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 13.0/100
× Confidence 0.95 = 12.4

30-Day Momentum

32
+2.1%
30d Return
80%
Win Rate
5
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 46.0 Conf: 0.70×
Accelerating (+20 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-27 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,343.53
Current Value
$9,564.33
Period P&L
$220.75
Max Drawdown
-15.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
21 / 9
Best Trade
+1.25%
Worst Trade
-2.00%
Avg Trade Return
+0.08%
Avg Hold Time
7.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$556,707.66
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$220.75
Net P&L (after fees)
$220.75
Gross Return
+2.36%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.36%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WFC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 30 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,343.53 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 2:30pm ET $81.42 114 $9,281.88
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $81.50 114 $9,291.00 $9,352.70 +$9.12
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $80.77 115 $9,288.55
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:45am ET $81.55 115 $9,378.25 $9,442.40 +$89.70
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
3 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 3:45pm ET $81.24 116 $9,423.26
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 1:20pm ET $79.61 116 $9,234.76 $9,253.90 $-188.50
(-2.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9d held
4 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 1:15pm ET $80.61 114 $9,189.53
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 2:15pm ET $80.65 114 $9,194.67 $9,259.04 +$5.14
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
5 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 2:45pm ET $78.71 117 $9,209.07
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 3:00pm ET $78.91 117 $9,232.47 $9,282.44 +$23.40
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
6 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:40am ET $74.62 124 $9,252.88
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 12:25pm ET $73.75 124 $9,145.00 $9,174.56 $-107.88
(-1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
7 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $74.34 123 $9,143.82
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 1:00pm ET $73.81 123 $9,078.63 $9,109.37 $-65.19
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.5h held
8 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 1:00pm ET $73.31 124 $9,089.82
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 2:05pm ET $73.69 124 $9,137.56 $9,157.11 +$47.74
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
9 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:35am ET $74.16 123 $9,121.68
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:55am ET $74.48 123 $9,161.04 $9,196.47 +$39.36
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
10 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:35am ET $75.30 122 $9,186.60
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 10:20am ET $75.61 122 $9,224.42 $9,234.29 +$37.82
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
11 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 12:15pm ET $76.14 121 $9,212.94
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 12:30pm ET $76.32 121 $9,234.12 $9,255.47 +$21.18
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
12 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 1:40pm ET $77.21 119 $9,188.58
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 2:35pm ET $77.28 119 $9,196.32 $9,263.21 +$7.74
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
13 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 1:15pm ET $77.19 120 $9,262.80
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 1:25pm ET $77.34 120 $9,280.80 $9,281.21 +$18.00
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 3:05pm ET $77.02 120 $9,242.40
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:35am ET $77.54 120 $9,304.80 $9,343.61 +$62.40
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.5h held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $78.50 119 $9,341.61
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 11:40am ET $77.91 119 $9,271.29 $9,273.29 $-70.32
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 1:05pm ET $81.44 113 $9,202.53
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 2:45pm ET $81.39 113 $9,196.51 $9,267.27 $-6.02
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 3:05pm ET $81.84 113 $9,247.94
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:40pm ET $82.03 113 $9,269.39 $9,288.72 +$21.45
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:40pm ET $80.83 114 $9,214.62
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $81.84 114 $9,329.76 $9,403.86 +$115.14
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 1:40pm ET $82.19 114 $9,369.66
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 3:35pm ET $82.25 114 $9,376.84 $9,411.04 +$7.18
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 1:00pm ET $83.65 112 $9,369.36
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 3:25pm ET $83.38 112 $9,338.56 $9,380.24 $-30.80
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 12:35pm ET $85.32 109 $9,300.42
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 1:05pm ET $85.60 109 $9,330.40 $9,410.22 +$29.98
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:45pm ET $82.78 113 $9,354.14
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $81.98 113 $9,263.74 $9,319.82 $-90.40
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:40am ET $83.57 111 $9,276.82
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 10:40am ET $83.65 111 $9,285.70 $9,328.70 +$8.88
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 10:40am ET $83.53 111 $9,271.28
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 11:05am ET $83.86 111 $9,308.46 $9,365.88 +$37.18
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 1:00pm ET $84.64 110 $9,310.40
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 2:15pm ET $84.64 110 $9,309.85 $9,365.33 $-0.55
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 2:30pm ET $84.34 111 $9,361.74
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $84.32 111 $9,360.07 $9,363.67 $-1.66
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET $82.89 112 $9,283.68
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 10:25am ET $83.57 112 $9,359.84 $9,439.83 +$76.16
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
28 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 1:05pm ET $85.27 110 $9,379.70
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 1:35pm ET $85.55 110 $9,410.50 $9,470.63 +$30.80
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
29 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 12:20pm ET $87.18 108 $9,414.90
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 1:25pm ET $87.21 108 $9,418.68 $9,474.41 +$3.78
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
30 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 3:30pm ET $86.71 109 $9,450.85
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $87.53 109 $9,540.77 $9,564.33 +$89.92
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,564.33
Net Profit/Loss: $-435.67
Total Return: -4.36%
Back to Professor Mean