WMT Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 34 trades in period
-8.88%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,990.71
Current Value
53%
Win Rate
$10,964.72
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74 overbought
20d Trend
+6.1%
5d Trend
+7.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
14
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.2/35
Total Return
0.9/25
Win Rate
8.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality
14.1/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 14.0
30-Day Momentum
14
-1.2%
30d Return
55%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.5
Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,964.72
Current Value
$9,990.71
Period P&L
$-973.96
Max Drawdown
-4.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.35
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
34
Winners / Losers
18 /
16
Best Trade
+0.75%
Worst Trade
-2.69%
Avg Trade Return
-0.27%
Avg Hold Time
8.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$705,832.57
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-973.96
Net P&L (after fees)
$-973.96
Gross Return
-8.88%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.88%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 WMT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 34 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,964.72 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $117.73 | 93 | $10,948.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 1:55pm ET | $115.77 | 93 | $10,766.61 | $10,782.39 |
$-182.28 (-1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
4.4h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 3:00pm ET | $116.70 | 92 | $10,736.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 3:05pm ET | $116.25 | 92 | $10,694.54 | $10,740.53 |
$-41.86 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $113.96 | 94 | $10,712.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 10:45am ET | $114.04 | 94 | $10,719.29 | $10,747.57 |
+$7.04 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $111.54 | 96 | $10,708.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 12:30pm ET | $109.80 | 96 | $10,540.80 | $10,580.05 |
$-167.52 (-1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 2:20pm ET | $111.48 | 94 | $10,479.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 2:45pm ET | $111.68 | 94 | $10,497.92 | $10,598.85 |
+$18.80 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $111.49 | 95 | $10,591.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $111.89 | 95 | $10,630.02 | $10,637.32 |
+$38.47 (+0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 12:15pm ET | $113.58 | 93 | $10,563.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 12:45pm ET | $113.72 | 93 | $10,575.96 | $10,649.88 |
+$12.56 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 3:45pm ET | $114.56 | 92 | $10,539.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $115.35 | 92 | $10,612.20 | $10,722.56 |
+$72.68 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 2:30pm ET | $113.54 | 94 | $10,672.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $114.21 | 94 | $10,736.21 | $10,786.00 |
+$63.45 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 11:45am ET | $115.62 | 93 | $10,752.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 2:05pm ET | $114.35 | 93 | $10,634.09 | $10,667.43 |
$-118.58 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $111.44 | 95 | $10,586.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 1:35pm ET | $110.27 | 95 | $10,475.65 | $10,556.28 |
$-111.15 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
4.1h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $107.76 | 97 | $10,452.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 10:50am ET | $107.94 | 97 | $10,470.18 | $10,573.74 |
+$17.46 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 11:35am ET | $114.26 | 92 | $10,511.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 2:10pm ET | $113.57 | 92 | $10,448.44 | $10,510.26 |
$-63.48 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $112.24 | 93 | $10,438.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 11:55am ET | $111.54 | 93 | $10,373.22 | $10,445.16 |
$-65.10 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 1:25pm ET | $111.19 | 93 | $10,340.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 2:10pm ET | $111.44 | 93 | $10,363.92 | $10,468.41 |
+$23.25 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 3:35pm ET | $110.46 | 94 | $10,383.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 3:50pm ET | $110.71 | 94 | $10,406.74 | $10,491.91 |
+$23.50 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 1:50pm ET | $111.61 | 94 | $10,491.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 3:35pm ET | $111.81 | 94 | $10,510.14 | $10,510.71 |
+$18.80 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $111.02 | 94 | $10,435.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 9:55am ET | $111.62 | 94 | $10,492.28 | $10,567.11 |
+$56.40 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 11:30am ET | $115.01 | 91 | $10,465.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 2:05pm ET | $115.08 | 91 | $10,472.28 | $10,573.48 |
+$6.37 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $115.25 | 91 | $10,487.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $114.15 | 91 | $10,387.65 | $10,473.83 |
$-99.65 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 3:45pm ET | $115.35 | 90 | $10,381.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $114.81 | 90 | $10,332.74 | $10,425.07 |
$-48.76 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $106.51 | 97 | $10,331.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 12:10pm ET | $103.64 | 97 | $10,053.56 | $10,147.16 |
$-277.91 (-2.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $104.96 | 96 | $10,076.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 11:15am ET | $105.14 | 96 | $10,093.39 | $10,163.91 |
+$16.75 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $103.47 | 98 | $10,140.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 11:15am ET | $102.84 | 98 | $10,078.32 | $10,102.17 |
$-61.74 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 11:20am ET | $102.79 | 98 | $10,073.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 11:55am ET | $103.04 | 98 | $10,097.92 | $10,126.67 |
+$24.50 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 2:45pm ET | $105.87 | 95 | $10,057.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 3:05pm ET | $106.13 | 95 | $10,082.35 | $10,151.37 |
+$24.70 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 3:05pm ET | $105.89 | 95 | $10,060.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $106.69 | 95 | $10,135.56 | $10,226.90 |
+$75.53 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $108.36 | 94 | $10,185.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $108.75 | 94 | $10,222.50 | $10,263.56 |
+$36.66 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $106.04 | 96 | $10,180.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 11:25am ET | $105.95 | 96 | $10,171.20 | $10,254.44 |
$-9.12 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $105.73 | 96 | $10,150.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $106.23 | 96 | $10,198.08 | $10,302.44 |
+$48.00 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $109.06 | 94 | $10,251.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $108.69 | 94 | $10,216.86 | $10,268.13 |
$-34.31 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 2:50pm ET | $108.14 | 94 | $10,165.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 12:00pm ET | $106.47 | 94 | $10,008.18 | $10,111.15 |
$-156.98 (-1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
21.2h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $107.08 | 94 | $10,065.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $106.21 | 94 | $9,984.21 | $10,029.84 |
$-81.31 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $109.73 | 91 | $9,985.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 11:10am ET | $109.30 | 91 | $9,946.30 | $9,990.71 |
$-39.13 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,990.71
Net Profit/Loss:
$-9.29
Total Return:
-0.09%