XOM Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 38 trades in period
+2.60%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,248.18
Current Value
66%
Win Rate
$9,988.94
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+3.0%
EMA20 Dist
+5.9%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.7×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
19
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.9/35
Total Return
4.4/25
Win Rate
8.1/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality
19.4/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 19.3
30-Day Momentum
36
+1.3%
30d Return
77%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 38.2
Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+17 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,988.94
Current Value
$10,248.18
Period P&L
$259.30
Max Drawdown
-9.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
25 /
13
Best Trade
+1.14%
Worst Trade
-1.32%
Avg Trade Return
+0.07%
Avg Hold Time
7.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$762,533.61
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$259.30
Net P&L (after fees)
$259.30
Gross Return
+2.60%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.60%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 XOM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,988.94 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $135.53 | 73 | $9,893.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET | $137.08 | 73 | $10,006.84 | $10,102.03 |
+$113.15 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 10:00am ET | $136.26 | 74 | $10,083.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 11:50am ET | $136.79 | 74 | $10,122.46 | $10,140.88 |
+$38.85 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 3:10pm ET | $136.39 | 74 | $10,092.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $136.45 | 74 | $10,097.11 | $10,145.01 |
+$4.13 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 1:40pm ET | $136.52 | 74 | $10,102.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 2:30pm ET | $136.54 | 74 | $10,103.96 | $10,146.49 |
+$1.48 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 3:10pm ET | $136.60 | 74 | $10,108.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 3:45pm ET | $136.92 | 74 | $10,132.08 | $10,170.17 |
+$23.68 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 12:40pm ET | $140.56 | 72 | $10,120.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 2:00pm ET | $140.52 | 72 | $10,117.80 | $10,167.93 |
$-2.24 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 2:55pm ET | $137.40 | 74 | $10,167.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $138.12 | 74 | $10,220.88 | $10,221.21 |
+$53.28 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.6h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 3:25pm ET | $144.58 | 70 | $10,120.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 3:30pm ET | $144.18 | 70 | $10,092.60 | $10,193.21 |
$-28.00 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $144.47 | 70 | $10,112.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 11:55am ET | $143.18 | 70 | $10,022.95 | $10,103.26 |
$-89.95 (-0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 12:40pm ET | $146.01 | 69 | $10,074.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 1:55pm ET | $145.99 | 69 | $10,073.31 | $10,101.88 |
$-1.38 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 3:15pm ET | $147.56 | 68 | $10,034.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $146.42 | 68 | $9,956.56 | $10,024.36 |
$-77.52 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 2:05pm ET | $153.99 | 65 | $10,009.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 2:15pm ET | $154.33 | 65 | $10,031.45 | $10,046.46 |
+$22.10 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 3:25pm ET | $157.11 | 63 | $9,898.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 9:50am ET | $157.21 | 63 | $9,904.23 | $10,052.56 |
+$6.10 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 3:50pm ET | $154.39 | 65 | $10,035.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $155.19 | 65 | $10,087.19 | $10,104.40 |
+$51.84 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 12:20pm ET | $157.40 | 64 | $10,073.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 3:30pm ET | $156.47 | 64 | $10,014.08 | $10,045.20 |
$-59.20 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.2h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $154.62 | 64 | $9,895.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 11:00am ET | $153.90 | 64 | $9,849.60 | $9,999.44 |
$-45.76 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 3:00pm ET | $154.14 | 64 | $9,864.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 3:40pm ET | $154.65 | 64 | $9,897.60 | $10,032.08 |
+$32.64 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 3:40pm ET | $153.70 | 65 | $9,990.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $155.04 | 65 | $10,077.28 | $10,118.86 |
+$86.78 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $152.49 | 66 | $10,064.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 11:00am ET | $152.86 | 66 | $10,088.76 | $10,143.28 |
+$24.42 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 12:30pm ET | $160.04 | 63 | $10,082.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 2:10pm ET | $159.85 | 63 | $10,070.55 | $10,131.31 |
$-11.97 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $157.96 | 64 | $10,109.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $158.88 | 64 | $10,168.32 | $10,190.51 |
+$59.20 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 2:00pm ET | $160.49 | 63 | $10,111.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $159.30 | 63 | $10,035.90 | $10,115.23 |
$-75.28 (-0.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 11:50am ET | $166.75 | 60 | $10,005.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 3:10pm ET | $165.89 | 60 | $9,953.40 | $10,063.63 |
$-51.60 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 11:10am ET | $165.38 | 60 | $9,923.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 12:00pm ET | $166.18 | 60 | $9,970.50 | $10,111.03 |
+$47.40 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $161.51 | 62 | $10,013.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 11:00am ET | $161.89 | 62 | $10,037.18 | $10,134.59 |
+$23.56 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 2:15pm ET | $158.90 | 63 | $10,010.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 11:10am ET | $156.80 | 63 | $9,878.40 | $10,002.29 |
$-132.30 (-1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.9h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 1:35pm ET | $155.71 | 64 | $9,965.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 2:20pm ET | $155.90 | 64 | $9,977.92 | $10,014.77 |
+$12.48 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $163.92 | 61 | $9,998.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $163.40 | 61 | $9,967.40 | $9,983.32 |
$-31.45 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 12:00pm ET | $163.49 | 61 | $9,972.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 1:10pm ET | $163.82 | 61 | $9,993.32 | $10,003.75 |
+$20.43 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 2:00pm ET | $159.83 | 62 | $9,909.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 2:55pm ET | $160.13 | 62 | $9,928.06 | $10,022.35 |
+$18.60 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $164.44 | 60 | $9,866.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 9:45am ET | $165.71 | 60 | $9,942.30 | $10,098.25 |
+$75.90 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 11:10am ET | $166.04 | 60 | $9,962.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 12:30pm ET | $166.31 | 60 | $9,978.60 | $10,114.45 |
+$16.20 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 2:30pm ET | $168.77 | 59 | $9,957.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 3:50pm ET | $168.97 | 59 | $9,969.23 | $10,126.25 |
+$11.80 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $162.27 | 62 | $10,061.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 11:30am ET | $162.08 | 62 | $10,048.96 | $10,114.16 |
$-12.09 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 3:00pm ET | $162.46 | 62 | $10,072.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $162.74 | 62 | $10,089.88 | $10,131.52 |
+$17.36 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $157.07 | 64 | $10,052.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 10:10am ET | $158.43 | 64 | $10,139.53 | $10,218.57 |
+$87.05 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 12:45pm ET | $160.50 | 63 | $10,111.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 1:30pm ET | $160.87 | 63 | $10,134.81 | $10,241.88 |
+$23.31 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 2:20pm ET | $162.05 | 63 | $10,209.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 3:15pm ET | $162.15 | 63 | $10,215.45 | $10,248.18 |
+$6.30 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,248.18
Net Profit/Loss:
+$248.18
Total Return:
+2.48%