XOM Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-23 to present • 35 trades in period
-4.29%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,966.52
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$10,413.12
Period Start
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+3.0%
EMA20 Dist
+5.9%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.7×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026
13
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality
13.6/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 13.4
30-Day Momentum
47
+2.7%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
12
Trades
2.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 50.9
Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+34 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,977
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,413.12
Current Value
$9,966.52
Period P&L
$-446.54
Max Drawdown
-9.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.15
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
20 /
15
Best Trade
+1.51%
Worst Trade
-4.99%
Avg Trade Return
-0.19%
Avg Hold Time
8.3h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$675,013.40
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-446.54
Net P&L (after fees)
$-446.54
Gross Return
-4.29%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.29%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 XOM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,413.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 3:25pm ET | $160.47 | 66 | $10,591.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $155.32 | 66 | $10,251.12 | $10,321.98 |
$-339.90 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 3:05pm ET | $164.98 | 62 | $10,228.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET | $164.42 | 62 | $10,194.04 | $10,287.14 |
$-34.84 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.2h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 3:25pm ET | $169.72 | 60 | $10,183.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 3:35pm ET | $170.33 | 60 | $10,219.80 | $10,323.74 |
+$36.60 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET | $172.55 | 59 | $10,180.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 2:25pm ET | $168.16 | 59 | $9,921.73 | $10,064.73 |
$-259.01 (-2.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 1:45pm ET | $162.08 | 62 | $10,048.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET | $162.59 | 62 | $10,080.77 | $10,096.53 |
+$31.80 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 11:35am ET | $156.99 | 64 | $10,047.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 2:05pm ET | $154.88 | 64 | $9,912.32 | $9,961.17 |
$-135.36 (-1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 2:25pm ET | $152.34 | 65 | $9,902.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 2:50pm ET | $152.59 | 65 | $9,918.35 | $9,977.42 |
+$16.25 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $149.77 | 66 | $9,885.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $147.62 | 66 | $9,742.92 | $9,835.19 |
$-142.23 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:40am ET | $148.01 | 66 | $9,768.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:45am ET | $147.26 | 66 | $9,719.16 | $9,785.69 |
$-49.50 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 2:50pm ET | $151.96 | 64 | $9,725.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $144.38 | 64 | $9,240.32 | $9,300.57 |
$-485.12 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.7h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 2:50pm ET | $148.49 | 62 | $9,206.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 10:40am ET | $146.98 | 62 | $9,112.77 | $9,206.96 |
$-93.61 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 11:00am ET | $149.24 | 61 | $9,103.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 12:10pm ET | $149.23 | 61 | $9,103.03 | $9,206.05 |
$-0.91 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 1:55pm ET | $150.97 | 60 | $9,058.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 3:30pm ET | $150.85 | 60 | $9,051.00 | $9,198.85 |
$-7.20 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $152.01 | 60 | $9,120.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET | $154.16 | 60 | $9,249.60 | $9,327.85 |
+$129.00 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $152.40 | 61 | $9,296.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 10:55am ET | $153.26 | 61 | $9,349.16 | $9,380.92 |
+$53.07 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 3:10pm ET | $153.05 | 61 | $9,336.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:50am ET | $153.65 | 61 | $9,372.65 | $9,417.52 |
+$36.60 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.7h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 11:25am ET | $147.77 | 63 | $9,309.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 12:25pm ET | $148.15 | 63 | $9,333.44 | $9,441.14 |
+$23.62 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $144.83 | 65 | $9,413.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 10:30am ET | $145.83 | 65 | $9,478.95 | $9,506.14 |
+$65.00 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $150.34 | 63 | $9,471.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $151.16 | 63 | $9,523.39 | $9,558.11 |
+$51.97 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $155.44 | 61 | $9,481.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 10:05am ET | $156.86 | 61 | $9,568.46 | $9,644.73 |
+$86.62 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $161.66 | 59 | $9,537.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $163.38 | 59 | $9,639.42 | $9,746.21 |
+$101.48 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 1:15pm ET | $155.71 | 62 | $9,654.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 1:20pm ET | $154.15 | 62 | $9,557.30 | $9,649.49 |
$-96.72 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 1:30pm ET | $153.28 | 62 | $9,503.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 1:40pm ET | $154.13 | 62 | $9,555.75 | $9,701.88 |
+$52.39 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 2:50pm ET | $149.86 | 64 | $9,591.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 3:50pm ET | $150.01 | 64 | $9,600.64 | $9,711.48 |
+$9.60 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 12:30pm ET | $147.70 | 65 | $9,600.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 3:15pm ET | $147.17 | 65 | $9,566.14 | $9,677.12 |
$-34.36 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 11:35am ET | $148.13 | 65 | $9,628.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 12:15pm ET | $149.12 | 65 | $9,692.80 | $9,741.47 |
+$64.35 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 3:35pm ET | $150.13 | 64 | $9,608.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $149.65 | 64 | $9,577.60 | $9,710.75 |
$-30.72 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $152.26 | 63 | $9,592.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 10:40am ET | $152.23 | 63 | $9,590.49 | $9,708.86 |
$-1.89 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 11:55am ET | $149.87 | 64 | $9,591.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 1:05pm ET | $150.35 | 64 | $9,622.40 | $9,739.58 |
+$30.72 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $150.65 | 64 | $9,641.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $150.13 | 64 | $9,608.32 | $9,706.30 |
$-33.28 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 2:30pm ET | $150.90 | 64 | $9,657.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 3:20pm ET | $151.46 | 64 | $9,693.44 | $9,742.29 |
+$35.99 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 3:30pm ET | $147.48 | 66 | $9,733.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 9:50am ET | $147.82 | 66 | $9,756.45 | $9,765.06 |
+$22.77 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $140.90 | 69 | $9,722.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $141.40 | 69 | $9,756.60 | $9,799.21 |
+$34.15 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 1:35pm ET | $140.89 | 69 | $9,721.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 2:40pm ET | $141.20 | 69 | $9,742.46 | $9,820.26 |
+$21.05 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 3:50pm ET | $136.76 | 71 | $9,709.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $138.82 | 71 | $9,856.22 | $9,966.52 |
+$146.26 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.7d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,966.52
Net Profit/Loss:
$-33.48
Total Return:
-0.33%