Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-07-26 19:35:49

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
28.2 oversold
20d Trend
-17.1%
5d Trend
-11.3%
EMA20 Dist
-10.7%
ATR%
4.7%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 12.2/100
× Confidence 0.95 = 11.6

30-Day Momentum

39
+4.7%
30d Return
83%
Win Rate
6
Trades
2.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 53.0 Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+28 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,848
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-26 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
125 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,967.00
Current Value
$8,877.92
Period P&L
$-89.03
Max Drawdown
-15.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
70
Winners / Losers
40 / 30
Best Trade
+4.63%
Worst Trade
-4.73%
Avg Trade Return
-0.01%
Avg Hold Time
3.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,193,616.46
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-89.03
Net P&L (after fees)
$-89.03
Gross Return
-0.99%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.99%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ACN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 125 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 70 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $8,967.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 1:50pm ET $281.03 31 $8,711.93
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 2:00pm ET $281.71 31 $8,733.01 $8,988.03 +$21.08
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 3:50pm ET $275.38 32 $8,812.16
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET $277.23 32 $8,871.20 $9,047.07 +$59.04
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:40am ET $265.87 34 $9,039.58
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:45am ET $264.99 34 $9,009.66 $9,017.15 $-29.92
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 12:25pm ET $266.32 33 $8,788.56
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 1:00pm ET $267.06 33 $8,812.98 $9,041.57 +$24.42
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 1:10pm ET $239.37 37 $8,856.69
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 2:10pm ET $240.51 37 $8,898.87 $9,083.75 +$42.18
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:50am ET $240.09 37 $8,883.33
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 11:20am ET $238.60 37 $8,828.20 $9,028.62 $-55.13
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:10pm ET $237.36 38 $9,019.68
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 1:55pm ET $238.13 38 $9,048.94 $9,057.88 +$29.26
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:35am ET $235.65 38 $8,954.70
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 9:45am ET $238.89 38 $9,077.82 $9,181.00 +$123.12
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:45am ET $236.29 38 $8,978.83
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 12:05pm ET $230.45 38 $8,757.10 $8,959.27 $-221.73
(-2.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET $221.82 40 $8,872.80
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 11:20am ET $220.35 40 $8,814.20 $8,900.67 $-58.60
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 3:20pm ET $222.87 39 $8,691.93
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 3:45pm ET $223.66 39 $8,722.74 $8,931.48 +$30.81
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 12:10pm ET $212.89 41 $8,728.54
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 1:30pm ET $213.18 41 $8,740.38 $8,943.32 +$11.84
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 1:50pm ET $206.56 43 $8,882.08
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 9:45am ET $203.69 43 $8,758.67 $8,819.91 $-123.41
(-1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.9h held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:45am ET $189.24 46 $8,705.04
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 11:50am ET $192.39 46 $8,849.94 $8,964.81 +$144.90
(+1.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $204.22 43 $8,781.46
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:35am ET $203.51 43 $8,750.72 $8,934.07 $-30.74
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:35am ET $206.51 43 $8,879.93
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 11:55am ET $205.35 43 $8,829.84 $8,883.98 $-50.09
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 3:15pm ET $209.08 42 $8,781.36
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET $211.80 42 $8,895.60 $8,998.22 +$114.24
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:45am ET $213.46 42 $8,965.53
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 10:25am ET $214.60 42 $9,013.20 $9,045.89 +$47.67
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 1:10pm ET $207.99 43 $8,943.36
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 2:35pm ET $207.07 43 $8,904.22 $9,006.76 $-39.13
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 11:05am ET $199.68 45 $8,985.60
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 12:00pm ET $200.35 45 $9,015.75 $9,036.91 +$30.15
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 2:35pm ET $195.66 46 $9,000.36
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:15pm ET $196.40 46 $9,034.40 $9,070.95 +$34.04
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 11:50am ET $199.65 45 $8,984.03
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 12:45pm ET $200.10 45 $9,004.28 $9,091.20 +$20.25
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 1:25pm ET $196.29 46 $9,029.34
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $187.00 46 $8,602.00 $8,663.86 $-427.34
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 2:25pm ET $199.04 43 $8,558.51
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:05pm ET $199.97 43 $8,598.71 $8,704.06 +$40.20
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
25 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:35pm ET $200.84 43 $8,635.91
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $194.05 43 $8,344.36 $8,412.52 $-291.54
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held
26 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:55am ET $191.65 43 $8,241.16
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 10:00am ET $194.51 43 $8,363.72 $8,535.07 +$122.55
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 11:25am ET $195.63 43 $8,412.09
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 12:45pm ET $195.56 43 $8,409.08 $8,532.06 $-3.01
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
28 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:15pm ET $196.07 43 $8,431.01
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:35pm ET $196.74 43 $8,460.03 $8,561.08 +$29.02
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
29 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:40am ET $195.19 43 $8,393.17
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 10:35am ET $196.75 43 $8,460.25 $8,628.16 +$67.08
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
30 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $197.16 43 $8,477.88
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 10:10am ET $199.45 43 $8,576.35 $8,726.63 +$98.47
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
31 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:50pm ET $197.08 44 $8,671.52
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $197.92 44 $8,708.48 $8,763.59 +$36.96
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
32 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $190.74 45 $8,583.52
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 12:05pm ET $185.39 45 $8,342.55 $8,522.62 $-240.97
(-2.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held
33 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 12:05pm ET $190.18 44 $8,367.92
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 1:00pm ET $190.68 44 $8,390.14 $8,544.84 +$22.22
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
34 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 3:10pm ET $194.48 43 $8,362.64
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $195.96 43 $8,426.49 $8,608.70 +$63.86
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
35 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $196.63 43 $8,454.93
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:05pm ET $196.90 43 $8,466.91 $8,620.69 +$11.99
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
36 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 1:15pm ET $196.35 43 $8,443.05
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:25pm ET $196.10 43 $8,432.30 $8,609.94 $-10.75
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
37 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $180.52 47 $8,484.53
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET $179.98 47 $8,459.06 $8,584.47 $-25.47
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
38 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:45am ET $176.15 48 $8,455.20
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 11:45am ET $175.91 48 $8,443.68 $8,572.95 $-11.52
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
39 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 12:30pm ET $179.24 47 $8,424.28
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 12:55pm ET $179.99 47 $8,459.53 $8,608.20 +$35.25
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
40 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 1:05pm ET $178.82 48 $8,583.36
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 1:25pm ET $179.45 48 $8,613.36 $8,638.20 +$30.00
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
41 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $178.10 48 $8,548.80
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:30am ET $177.28 48 $8,509.44 $8,598.84 $-39.36
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
42 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 3:20pm ET $179.41 47 $8,432.27
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:45pm ET $178.85 47 $8,405.95 $8,572.52 $-26.32
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
43 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:35am ET $175.95 48 $8,445.36
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:50am ET $176.14 48 $8,454.48 $8,581.64 +$9.12
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
44 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 1:35pm ET $175.51 48 $8,424.72
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 2:15pm ET $176.64 48 $8,478.72 $8,635.64 +$54.00
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
45 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $178.02 48 $8,544.96
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:35am ET $172.77 48 $8,292.96 $8,383.64 $-252.00
(-2.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
46 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:40am ET $178.40 46 $8,206.40
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 10:10am ET $173.04 46 $7,960.07 $8,137.31 $-246.33
(-3.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1d held
47 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 11:55am ET $157.46 51 $8,030.71
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 2:25pm ET $157.28 51 $8,021.28 $8,127.88 $-9.43
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held
48 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 11:25am ET $180.07 45 $8,103.15
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 2:20pm ET $177.39 45 $7,982.55 $8,007.28 $-120.60
(-1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9h held
49 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $175.50 45 $7,897.50
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:35am ET $175.21 45 $7,884.45 $7,994.23 $-13.05
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
50 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $175.23 45 $7,885.13
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:35am ET $175.05 45 $7,877.25 $7,986.35 $-7.88
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
51 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:50am ET $176.79 45 $7,955.55
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 10:05am ET $177.81 45 $8,001.45 $8,032.25 +$45.90
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
52 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 1:20pm ET $178.24 45 $8,020.80
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 1:40pm ET $178.76 45 $8,044.20 $8,055.65 +$23.40
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
53 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 2:25pm ET $195.96 41 $8,034.36
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 2:50pm ET $196.65 41 $8,062.65 $8,083.94 +$28.29
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
54 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $182.93 44 $8,048.92
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $181.71 44 $7,995.02 $8,030.04 $-53.90
(-0.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
55 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:55pm ET $179.39 44 $7,893.16
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 1:05pm ET $178.77 44 $7,865.88 $8,002.76 $-27.28
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
56 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $176.00 45 $7,920.00
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:50am ET $179.18 45 $8,063.10 $8,145.86 +$143.10
(+1.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
57 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $168.68 48 $8,096.64
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:45am ET $172.15 48 $8,263.20 $8,312.42 +$166.56
(+2.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
58 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $167.92 49 $8,228.08
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $169.55 49 $8,307.95 $8,392.29 +$79.87
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
59 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 10:20am ET $168.80 49 $8,271.20
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 10:40am ET $170.18 49 $8,338.82 $8,459.91 +$67.62
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
60 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 12:10pm ET $167.01 50 $8,350.25
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 2:25pm ET $165.94 50 $8,297.00 $8,406.66 $-53.25
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
61 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $126.50 66 $8,349.00
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:35am ET $132.00 66 $8,712.00 $8,769.66 +$363.00
(+4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
62 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:35am ET $123.97 70 $8,677.90
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 11:45am ET $122.57 70 $8,579.90 $8,671.66 $-98.00
(-1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
63 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 1:40pm ET $126.10 68 $8,574.80
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 2:50pm ET $126.06 68 $8,572.08 $8,668.94 $-2.72
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
64 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 3:45pm ET $129.83 66 $8,568.78
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $126.97 66 $8,380.35 $8,480.51 $-188.43
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
65 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 11:25am ET $126.46 67 $8,472.82
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 12:00pm ET $127.39 67 $8,535.13 $8,542.82 +$62.31
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
66 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 3:00pm ET $124.89 68 $8,492.86
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 3:10pm ET $125.38 68 $8,525.84 $8,575.80 +$32.98
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
67 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $132.59 64 $8,485.76
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 2:10pm ET $133.28 64 $8,529.92 $8,619.96 +$44.16
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
68 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $134.40 64 $8,601.28
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 10:50am ET $135.61 64 $8,679.04 $8,697.72 +$77.76
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
69 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 3:05pm ET $142.63 60 $8,558.10
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $139.10 60 $8,345.70 $8,485.32 $-212.40
(-2.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.4h held
70 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $130.40 65 $8,476.00
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 10:15am ET $136.44 65 $8,868.60 $8,877.92 +$392.60
(+4.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,877.92
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,122.08
Total Return: -11.22%
Back to Professor Mean