Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:33:01

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.7/35
Total Return
10.6/25
Win Rate
7.6/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 27.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 27.2

30-Day Momentum

19
+0.1%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 20.8 Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,865.00
Current Value
$11,778.83
Period P&L
$-86.16
Max Drawdown
-16.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
70
Winners / Losers
42 / 28
Best Trade
+4.78%
Worst Trade
-5.65%
Avg Trade Return
+0.01%
Avg Hold Time
8.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,582,968.49
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-86.16
Net P&L (after fees)
$-86.16
Gross Return
-0.73%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.73%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 70 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,865.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 12:30pm ET $156.89 75 $11,766.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 1:20pm ET $157.56 75 $11,817.00 $11,915.24 +$50.25
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 3:50pm ET $143.40 83 $11,902.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:35am ET $142.43 83 $11,822.10 $11,835.15 $-80.09
(-0.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 11:15am ET $155.24 76 $11,798.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 12:30pm ET $154.09 76 $11,710.84 $11,747.37 $-87.78
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:05am ET $147.10 79 $11,620.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 10:55am ET $148.28 79 $11,714.12 $11,840.59 +$93.22
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 3:00pm ET $148.07 79 $11,697.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:45am ET $149.35 79 $11,799.04 $11,942.10 +$101.51
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:35am ET $151.91 78 $11,848.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 12:55pm ET $150.92 78 $11,771.76 $11,865.11 $-76.99
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:15pm ET $160.14 74 $11,850.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:05pm ET $160.42 74 $11,870.78 $11,885.53 +$20.42
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 2:05pm ET $162.00 73 $11,826.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:50pm ET $162.22 73 $11,842.06 $11,901.59 +$16.06
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET $173.88 68 $11,823.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 12:15pm ET $175.88 68 $11,959.84 $12,037.59 +$136.00
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $203.38 59 $11,999.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 2:05pm ET $205.27 59 $12,110.93 $12,148.88 +$111.29
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $224.49 54 $12,122.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 11:10am ET $214.25 54 $11,569.50 $11,595.92 $-552.96
(-4.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:45am ET $196.07 59 $11,568.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:20am ET $198.24 59 $11,695.87 $11,723.65 +$127.73
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 2:35pm ET $211.48 55 $11,631.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:50pm ET $210.57 55 $11,581.35 $11,673.60 $-50.05
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
14 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $207.96 56 $11,645.76 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 11:10am ET $204.56 56 $11,455.36 $11,483.20 $-190.40
(-1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
15 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $222.65 51 $11,354.90 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 2:00pm ET $213.00 51 $10,863.00 $10,991.30 $-491.90
(-4.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
4.5h held
16 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $206.54 53 $10,946.36 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 10:00am ET $214.36 53 $11,361.08 $11,406.02 +$414.72
(+3.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
17 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 10:30am ET $208.93 54 $11,282.49 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 1:15pm ET $204.88 54 $11,063.25 $11,186.78 $-219.24
(-1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
18 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 9:30am ET $217.84 51 $11,109.84 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 10:30am ET $218.35 51 $11,136.10 $11,213.04 +$26.26
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
19 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 2:30pm ET $210.43 53 $11,152.79 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 3:15pm ET $211.42 53 $11,205.26 $11,265.51 +$52.47
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
20 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 12:20pm ET $254.29 44 $11,188.76 — — —
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 1:55pm ET $253.60 44 $11,158.40 $11,235.15 $-30.36
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
21 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 3:25pm ET $303.75 36 $10,935.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $309.09 36 $11,127.24 $11,427.39 +$192.24
(+1.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8d held
22 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:45am ET $313.26 36 $11,277.36 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 12:05pm ET $306.71 36 $11,041.56 $11,191.59 $-235.80
(-2.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
23 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 3:20pm ET $337.63 33 $11,141.79 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:35am ET $343.80 33 $11,345.24 $11,395.04 +$203.45
(+1.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $401.13 28 $11,231.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:15am ET $404.95 28 $11,338.60 $11,502.00 +$106.96
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 12:20pm ET $394.01 29 $11,426.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 12:55pm ET $397.71 29 $11,533.59 $11,609.30 +$107.30
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $368.80 31 $11,432.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:35am ET $362.77 31 $11,246.02 $11,422.37 $-186.93
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:10pm ET $346.95 32 $11,102.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 3:35pm ET $349.45 32 $11,182.40 $11,502.37 +$80.00
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:05am ET $314.52 36 $11,322.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $310.89 36 $11,191.86 $11,371.51 $-130.86
(-1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET $372.23 30 $11,167.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 10:10am ET $382.50 30 $11,475.00 $11,679.46 +$307.95
(+2.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $420.08 27 $11,342.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:10pm ET $426.11 27 $11,504.97 $11,842.27 +$162.81
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:40am ET $419.52 28 $11,746.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 12:45pm ET $408.74 28 $11,444.72 $11,540.43 $-301.84
(-2.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.1h held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 2:45pm ET $364.55 31 $11,301.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 3:30pm ET $368.53 31 $11,424.43 $11,663.81 +$123.38
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 2:20pm ET $352.68 33 $11,638.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $332.77 33 $10,981.41 $11,006.78 $-657.03
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.2h held
34 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:45am ET $324.53 33 $10,709.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 10:50am ET $324.23 33 $10,699.43 $10,996.72 $-10.06
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
35 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 3:30pm ET $355.58 30 $10,667.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $336.45 30 $10,093.55 $10,423.02 $-573.70
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held
36 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 12:15pm ET $318.09 32 $10,178.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $333.29 32 $10,665.28 $10,909.42 +$486.40
(+4.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.9d held
37 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $305.93 35 $10,707.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 11:55am ET $302.67 35 $10,593.62 $10,795.49 $-113.93
(-1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
38 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 3:05pm ET $330.80 32 $10,585.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 11:25am ET $324.37 32 $10,379.84 $10,589.89 $-205.60
(-1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.3h held
39 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $282.70 37 $10,459.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 11:10am ET $284.64 37 $10,531.70 $10,661.73 +$71.84
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
40 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 12:10pm ET $267.66 39 $10,438.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 1:00pm ET $269.59 39 $10,514.01 $10,737.00 +$75.27
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
41 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $248.66 43 $10,692.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET $244.04 43 $10,493.71 $10,538.33 $-198.67
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
42 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 3:00pm ET $269.86 39 $10,524.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $282.16 39 $11,004.24 $11,018.03 +$479.70
(+4.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.5h held
43 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $284.45 38 $10,808.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:55am ET $288.40 38 $10,959.20 $11,168.32 +$150.29
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
44 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 11:00am ET $276.88 40 $11,075.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 12:00pm ET $278.47 40 $11,138.80 $11,231.92 +$63.60
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
45 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 2:05pm ET $265.87 42 $11,166.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:35am ET $264.02 42 $11,088.84 $11,154.22 $-77.70
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
46 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:35am ET $245.38 45 $11,042.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 11:05am ET $244.38 45 $10,997.32 $11,109.22 $-45.00
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
47 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 12:10pm ET $227.23 48 $10,907.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 12:45pm ET $229.93 48 $11,036.88 $11,239.06 +$129.84
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
48 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 11:45am ET $245.45 45 $11,045.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 1:15pm ET $244.87 45 $11,018.93 $11,212.74 $-26.32
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
49 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $274.58 40 $10,983.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 11:20am ET $275.10 40 $11,004.00 $11,233.74 +$21.00
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
50 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 10:00am ET $280.64 40 $11,225.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 11:20am ET $283.37 40 $11,334.80 $11,342.94 +$109.20
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
51 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 1:45pm ET $269.65 42 $11,325.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 2:20pm ET $270.96 42 $11,380.32 $11,397.75 +$54.81
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
52 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 2:25pm ET $265.64 42 $11,157.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 2:55pm ET $267.29 42 $11,226.18 $11,466.84 +$69.09
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
53 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 3:40pm ET $272.04 42 $11,425.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET $274.49 42 $11,528.58 $11,569.74 +$102.90
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
54 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET $277.00 41 $11,357.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 10:05am ET $279.66 41 $11,466.06 $11,678.80 +$109.06
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
55 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 1:15pm ET $276.19 42 $11,599.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 2:45pm ET $275.41 42 $11,567.22 $11,646.04 $-32.76
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
56 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 10:05am ET $244.80 47 $11,505.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 10:55am ET $250.08 47 $11,753.76 $11,893.97 +$247.93
(+2.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
57 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 2:30pm ET $246.22 48 $11,818.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 3:10pm ET $248.14 48 $11,910.72 $11,986.13 +$92.16
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
58 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:50pm ET $242.90 49 $11,901.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $238.47 49 $11,685.03 $11,769.30 $-216.83
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
59 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 2:10pm ET $241.36 48 $11,585.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 2:35pm ET $242.41 48 $11,635.68 $11,819.70 +$50.40
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
60 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 10:05am ET $247.50 47 $11,632.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 1:30pm ET $241.96 47 $11,371.89 $11,559.09 $-260.61
(-2.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.4h held
61 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $235.00 49 $11,515.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:35am ET $231.30 49 $11,333.70 $11,377.79 $-181.30
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
62 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:45am ET $232.81 48 $11,174.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 11:40am ET $231.93 48 $11,132.64 $11,335.55 $-42.24
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
63 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 1:20pm ET $250.86 45 $11,288.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 2:25pm ET $251.66 45 $11,324.70 $11,371.55 +$36.00
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
64 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 11:20am ET $263.67 43 $11,338.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 12:40pm ET $264.82 43 $11,387.26 $11,420.79 +$49.24
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
65 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $253.07 45 $11,388.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $256.95 45 $11,562.97 $11,595.61 +$174.82
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
66 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $242.38 47 $11,391.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 12:30pm ET $241.50 47 $11,350.50 $11,554.25 $-41.36
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3h held
67 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 12:30pm ET $241.74 47 $11,361.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 1:30pm ET $243.63 47 $11,450.61 $11,643.32 +$89.07
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
68 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:45pm ET $243.20 47 $11,430.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $243.51 47 $11,444.97 $11,657.89 +$14.57
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
69 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 1:55pm ET $318.37 36 $11,461.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 2:20pm ET $319.79 36 $11,512.44 $11,709.01 +$51.12
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
70 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 10:20am ET $327.07 35 $11,447.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 11:30am ET $329.06 35 $11,517.10 $11,778.83 +$69.82
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,778.83
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,778.83
Total Return: +17.79%
Back to Professor Mean