Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-23 14:38:41

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
49.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
+0.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

47
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
17.9/35
Total Return
12.5/25
Win Rate
7.3/15
Profit Factor
3.5/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 47.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 46.9

30-Day Momentum

44
+3.7%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
10
Trades
2.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 50.1 Conf: 0.87×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,967
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
129 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,784.88
Current Value
$13,145.91
Period P&L
$1,361.03
Max Drawdown
-6.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
71
Winners / Losers
41 / 30
Best Trade
+2.27%
Worst Trade
-1.93%
Avg Trade Return
+0.16%
Avg Hold Time
7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,713,737.68
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,361.03
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,361.03
Gross Return
+11.55%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.55%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 C Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 129 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 71 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,784.88 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 2:40pm ET $119.57 98 $11,717.86
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2025 9:30am ET $119.91 98 $11,751.18 $11,818.20 +$33.32
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $119.99 98 $11,758.53
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 9:35am ET $119.74 98 $11,734.52 $11,794.19 $-24.01
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 9:35am ET $117.06 100 $11,706.00
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 11:15am ET $116.97 100 $11,696.50 $11,784.69 $-9.50
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 2:05pm ET $123.66 95 $11,747.23
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 3:00pm ET $123.87 95 $11,767.18 $11,804.64 +$19.95
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET $121.63 97 $11,797.63
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 11:00am ET $121.34 97 $11,769.98 $11,776.99 $-27.64
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 1:00pm ET $121.49 96 $11,663.04
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:15pm ET $120.69 96 $11,586.24 $11,700.19 $-76.80
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $117.20 99 $11,602.31
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 11:45am ET $117.19 99 $11,601.61 $11,699.50 $-0.69
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 12:05pm ET $116.93 100 $11,693.00
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 2:55pm ET $116.38 100 $11,638.00 $11,644.50 $-55.00
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 1:55pm ET $118.47 98 $11,610.06
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 2:45pm ET $118.68 98 $11,630.64 $11,665.08 +$20.58
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:20am ET $114.09 102 $11,637.18
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 12:25pm ET $114.03 102 $11,630.55 $11,658.45 $-6.63
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 2:35pm ET $115.60 100 $11,559.50
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $115.66 100 $11,566.00 $11,664.95 +$6.50
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 3:40pm ET $114.85 101 $11,599.85
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $115.48 101 $11,663.48 $11,728.58 +$63.63
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 11:35am ET $114.30 102 $11,658.60
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 2:00pm ET $113.99 102 $11,626.47 $11,696.45 $-32.13
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 11:20am ET $115.41 101 $11,656.41
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 1:40pm ET $115.01 101 $11,615.51 $11,655.54 $-40.91
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 3:15pm ET $116.54 100 $11,654.00
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $117.86 100 $11,786.00 $11,787.54 +$132.00
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 12:30pm ET $118.43 99 $11,724.57
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 2:50pm ET $117.53 99 $11,635.47 $11,698.44 $-89.10
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:55pm ET $122.30 95 $11,618.50
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:35pm ET $122.21 95 $11,609.95 $11,689.89 $-8.55
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 3:35pm ET $124.09 94 $11,664.46
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $123.99 94 $11,654.59 $11,680.02 $-9.87
(-0.1%)
📅 Sim Ended
18m held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:15am ET $120.20 97 $11,659.40
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 11:40am ET $119.72 97 $11,613.32 $11,633.95 $-46.07
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 12:15pm ET $113.19 102 $11,545.37
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $113.47 102 $11,574.45 $11,663.03 +$29.08
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 1:25pm ET $116.20 100 $11,620.00
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 3:15pm ET $115.87 100 $11,587.00 $11,630.03 $-33.00
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 9:45am ET $114.26 101 $11,540.26
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 11:35am ET $114.50 101 $11,564.50 $11,654.27 +$24.24
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 12:25pm ET $109.06 106 $11,560.37
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 12:55pm ET $109.70 106 $11,628.20 $11,722.10 +$67.83
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 3:25pm ET $109.15 107 $11,679.05
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $109.58 107 $11,725.06 $11,768.11 +$46.01
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
25 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 12:05pm ET $114.68 102 $11,697.36
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 1:05pm ET $115.38 102 $11,768.61 $11,839.36 +$71.25
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
26 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $107.46 110 $11,820.60
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 10:30am ET $109.40 110 $12,034.00 $12,052.76 +$213.40
(+1.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 1:10pm ET $111.37 108 $12,027.96
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 2:00pm ET $111.57 108 $12,049.56 $12,074.36 +$21.60
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
28 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 2:35pm ET $107.93 111 $11,980.78
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 3:10pm ET $108.47 111 $12,040.17 $12,133.75 +$59.39
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
29 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $103.91 116 $12,053.56
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 10:55am ET $103.28 116 $11,980.48 $12,060.67 $-73.08
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
30 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:20pm ET $109.29 110 $12,022.45
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 10:45am ET $108.60 110 $11,945.45 $11,983.67 $-77.00
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.4h held
31 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 12:30pm ET $106.20 112 $11,894.40
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 2:35pm ET $106.10 112 $11,883.20 $11,972.47 $-11.20
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
32 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 12:40pm ET $107.51 111 $11,933.61
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 1:00pm ET $107.79 111 $11,964.69 $12,003.55 +$31.08
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
33 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 2:55pm ET $108.31 110 $11,914.10
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 3:10pm ET $108.97 110 $11,986.70 $12,076.15 +$72.60
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
34 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 2:25pm ET $109.96 109 $11,985.64
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $109.74 109 $11,961.66 $12,052.17 $-23.98
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
35 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $110.52 109 $12,046.68
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:15am ET $111.69 109 $12,174.21 $12,179.70 +$127.53
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
36 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $113.81 107 $12,177.14
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:45am ET $114.68 107 $12,271.29 $12,273.86 +$94.16
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
37 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 12:00pm ET $109.24 112 $12,234.88
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 2:40pm ET $108.12 112 $12,109.44 $12,148.42 $-125.44
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held
38 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:05pm ET $107.14 113 $12,106.82
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $107.11 113 $12,103.43 $12,145.03 $-3.39
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
39 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $115.31 105 $12,107.03
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:20pm ET $114.98 105 $12,072.90 $12,110.91 $-34.12
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
40 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:10pm ET $116.32 104 $12,097.28
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:05pm ET $116.65 104 $12,131.60 $12,145.23 +$34.32
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
41 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:50pm ET $116.45 104 $12,110.80
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $117.14 104 $12,182.56 $12,216.99 +$71.76
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
42 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET $124.21 98 $12,172.58
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:25am ET $124.74 98 $12,224.52 $12,268.93 +$51.94
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
43 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:20pm ET $129.72 94 $12,193.78
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $131.36 94 $12,347.84 $12,422.99 +$154.06
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.2h held
44 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET $131.19 94 $12,331.86
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 12:00pm ET $130.24 94 $12,242.56 $12,333.69 $-89.30
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
45 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $132.60 93 $12,331.80
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $132.48 93 $12,320.18 $12,322.07 $-11.63
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
46 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET $132.69 92 $12,207.48
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 12:30pm ET $132.90 92 $12,227.26 $12,341.85 +$19.78
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
47 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 2:05pm ET $129.95 94 $12,215.30
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:30pm ET $129.81 94 $12,202.14 $12,328.69 $-13.16
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
48 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $127.61 96 $12,250.56
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:15am ET $128.18 96 $12,305.28 $12,383.41 +$54.72
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
49 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 3:05pm ET $128.12 96 $12,299.52
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $128.46 96 $12,332.16 $12,416.05 +$32.64
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held
50 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $126.86 97 $12,304.94
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:35am ET $126.12 97 $12,233.64 $12,344.75 $-71.30
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
51 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 1:15pm ET $127.71 96 $12,260.16
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 1:25pm ET $127.96 96 $12,283.68 $12,368.27 +$23.52
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
52 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $127.61 96 $12,250.08
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $128.36 96 $12,322.56 $12,440.75 +$72.48
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
53 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 12:45pm ET $128.30 96 $12,316.80
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:45am ET $125.82 96 $12,078.72 $12,202.67 $-238.08
(-1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9d held
54 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:45am ET $123.88 98 $12,140.24
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 11:00am ET $124.78 98 $12,228.44 $12,290.87 +$88.20
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
55 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 11:45am ET $124.98 98 $12,248.04
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 12:25pm ET $125.26 98 $12,275.48 $12,318.31 +$27.44
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
56 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 12:35pm ET $124.49 98 $12,200.02
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 1:40pm ET $124.51 98 $12,202.47 $12,320.76 +$2.45
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
57 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 2:25pm ET $122.11 100 $12,211.00
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 3:05pm ET $122.74 100 $12,274.00 $12,383.76 +$63.00
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
58 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 3:05pm ET $120.36 102 $12,276.72
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:40am ET $121.21 102 $12,363.42 $12,470.46 +$86.70
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.6h held
59 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:40am ET $124.12 100 $12,412.00
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:55am ET $125.27 100 $12,527.00 $12,585.46 +$115.00
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
60 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 12:10pm ET $125.12 100 $12,512.00
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 12:30pm ET $125.43 100 $12,543.00 $12,616.46 +$31.00
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
61 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 3:10pm ET $125.31 100 $12,530.50
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 3:35pm ET $125.64 100 $12,564.00 $12,649.96 +$33.50
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
62 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $124.47 101 $12,571.47
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:45am ET $125.20 101 $12,645.20 $12,723.69 +$73.73
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
63 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $125.74 101 $12,699.75
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:55am ET $126.21 101 $12,747.21 $12,771.15 +$47.46
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
64 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $130.22 98 $12,761.56
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 11:35am ET $129.14 98 $12,655.72 $12,665.31 $-105.84
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
65 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $134.32 94 $12,626.08
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:35am ET $133.19 94 $12,519.86 $12,559.09 $-106.22
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
66 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 1:10pm ET $134.07 93 $12,468.05
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 2:10pm ET $134.31 93 $12,490.83 $12,581.87 +$22.78
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
67 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:45am ET $133.59 94 $12,557.46
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 12:10pm ET $133.26 94 $12,526.44 $12,550.85 $-31.02
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
68 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $139.83 89 $12,444.87
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $143.01 89 $12,727.45 $12,833.43 +$282.58
(+2.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
69 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 2:05pm ET $142.54 90 $12,828.60
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 3:25pm ET $142.51 90 $12,826.35 $12,831.18 $-2.25
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
70 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 3:25pm ET $144.26 88 $12,694.77
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $147.15 88 $12,949.20 $13,085.61 +$254.43
(+2.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held
71 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $144.29 90 $12,986.10
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 10:20am ET $144.96 90 $13,046.40 $13,145.91 +$60.30
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,145.91
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,145.91
Total Return: +31.46%
Back to Professor Mean