Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-07-26 19:39:12

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026

23
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.3/35
Total Return
10.1/25
Win Rate
7.2/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 24.2/100
× Confidence 0.95 = 23.0

30-Day Momentum

51
+9.8%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
5.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 69.3 Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+28 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,838
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-26 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
126 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,833.59
Current Value
$11,552.26
Period P&L
$1,718.70
Max Drawdown
-42.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
68
Winners / Losers
41 / 27
Best Trade
+6.92%
Worst Trade
-4.84%
Avg Trade Return
+0.23%
Avg Hold Time
4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,417,616.93
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,718.70
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,718.70
Gross Return
+17.48%
Net Return (after fees)
+17.48%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 126 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 68 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,833.59 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 3:15pm ET $217.20 46 $9,991.20
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:35am ET $213.59 46 $9,825.14 $9,825.28 $-166.06
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:35am ET $209.32 46 $9,628.49
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:40am ET $208.60 46 $9,595.60 $9,792.39 $-32.89
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 12:30pm ET $207.56 47 $9,755.26
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 12:50pm ET $208.89 47 $9,817.83 $9,854.96 +$62.57
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 1:30pm ET $194.72 50 $9,736.00
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 2:15pm ET $196.72 50 $9,836.00 $9,954.97 +$100.01
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 3:30pm ET $192.13 51 $9,798.68
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 3:45pm ET $194.23 51 $9,905.73 $10,062.02 +$107.05
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $186.02 54 $10,045.09
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:35am ET $183.56 54 $9,912.24 $9,929.17 $-132.85
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:50am ET $172.26 57 $9,818.82
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 1:25pm ET $167.37 57 $9,540.09 $9,650.44 $-278.73
(-2.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:10pm ET $148.65 64 $9,513.28
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:15pm ET $147.83 64 $9,461.12 $9,598.28 $-52.16
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $159.67 60 $9,580.20
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:40am ET $163.57 60 $9,814.50 $9,832.58 +$234.30
(+2.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 1:05pm ET $165.27 59 $9,750.93
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 2:20pm ET $164.64 59 $9,713.76 $9,795.41 $-37.17
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $162.49 60 $9,749.40
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 10:35am ET $162.90 60 $9,774.00 $9,820.01 +$24.60
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 2:35pm ET $165.24 59 $9,749.16
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 3:45pm ET $164.87 59 $9,727.33 $9,798.18 $-21.83
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 12:15pm ET $169.30 57 $9,650.10
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 1:35pm ET $169.55 57 $9,664.35 $9,812.43 +$14.25
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 2:00pm ET $159.77 61 $9,745.97
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 3:35pm ET $159.73 61 $9,743.53 $9,809.99 $-2.44
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 3:30pm ET $183.05 53 $9,701.65
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 3:50pm ET $184.67 53 $9,787.51 $9,895.85 +$85.86
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $175.71 56 $9,839.76
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 10:45am ET $176.49 56 $9,883.44 $9,939.53 +$43.68
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 1:25pm ET $181.44 54 $9,797.76
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 1:45pm ET $183.25 54 $9,895.50 $10,037.27 +$97.74
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 3:15pm ET $183.03 54 $9,883.62
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET $195.70 54 $10,567.80 $10,721.45 +$684.18
(+6.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $206.02 52 $10,713.04
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 9:35am ET $210.62 52 $10,952.24 $10,960.65 +$239.20
(+2.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET $199.60 54 $10,778.13
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 11:20am ET $197.43 54 $10,661.06 $10,843.58 $-117.07
(-1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 12:15pm ET $194.99 55 $10,724.45
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 12:30pm ET $197.05 55 $10,838.02 $10,957.15 +$113.57
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET $196.71 55 $10,819.05
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 3:20pm ET $197.97 55 $10,888.35 $11,026.45 +$69.30
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $196.13 56 $10,983.28
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 10:15am ET $197.00 56 $11,032.00 $11,075.17 +$48.72
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $205.69 53 $10,901.57
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 11:35am ET $203.12 53 $10,765.36 $10,938.96 $-136.21
(-1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
25 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 10:00am ET $198.75 55 $10,931.25
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 10:40am ET $201.80 55 $11,099.00 $11,106.71 +$167.75
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
26 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:45am ET $198.86 55 $10,937.30
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 1:15pm ET $198.46 55 $10,915.29 $11,084.70 $-22.01
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:10am ET $185.43 59 $10,940.37
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 12:30pm ET $184.60 59 $10,891.40 $11,035.73 $-48.97
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
28 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $166.16 66 $10,966.56
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 11:30am ET $161.50 66 $10,658.99 $10,728.16 $-307.57
(-2.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
29 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 12:55pm ET $161.40 66 $10,652.40
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 2:35pm ET $160.64 66 $10,602.24 $10,678.00 $-50.16
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
30 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET $172.80 61 $10,541.10
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 10:30am ET $174.62 61 $10,651.82 $10,788.72 +$110.72
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
31 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET $174.71 61 $10,657.61
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:15pm ET $175.48 61 $10,704.28 $10,835.38 +$46.66
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
32 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 1:05pm ET $178.42 60 $10,705.20
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:05pm ET $179.21 60 $10,752.30 $10,882.48 +$47.10
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
33 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $165.76 65 $10,774.40
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:25am ET $166.87 65 $10,846.23 $10,954.31 +$71.83
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
34 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 1:55pm ET $171.76 63 $10,820.88
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:15pm ET $172.10 63 $10,842.61 $10,976.05 +$21.74
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
35 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET $189.90 57 $10,824.30
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 10:55am ET $192.67 57 $10,982.19 $11,133.94 +$157.89
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
36 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $210.76 52 $10,959.26
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $200.56 52 $10,429.17 $10,603.85 $-530.09
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
37 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $207.38 51 $10,576.38
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 12:50pm ET $201.48 51 $10,275.48 $10,302.95 $-300.90
(-2.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held
38 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $204.27 50 $10,213.75
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:55am ET $202.18 50 $10,109.25 $10,198.45 $-104.50
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
39 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $199.22 51 $10,160.22
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET $203.05 51 $10,355.80 $10,394.03 +$195.58
(+1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
40 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:40am ET $191.94 54 $10,364.76
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 11:05am ET $192.96 54 $10,419.84 $10,449.11 +$55.08
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
41 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:55am ET $200.04 52 $10,402.08
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 11:10am ET $199.32 52 $10,364.48 $10,411.51 $-37.60
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
42 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 11:55am ET $193.59 53 $10,260.27
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 2:00pm ET $193.62 53 $10,261.86 $10,413.10 +$1.59
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
43 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:30am ET $211.90 49 $10,383.10
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 9:35am ET $215.85 49 $10,576.41 $10,606.41 +$193.31
(+1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
44 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:35am ET $201.85 52 $10,496.20
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 10:50am ET $201.96 52 $10,501.92 $10,612.13 +$5.72
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
45 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $203.30 52 $10,571.60
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 12:25pm ET $194.48 52 $10,112.96 $10,153.49 $-458.64
(-4.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9h held
46 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 2:20pm ET $185.00 54 $9,990.00
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 3:05pm ET $187.69 54 $10,135.26 $10,298.75 +$145.26
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
47 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:35am ET $191.29 53 $10,138.37
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 10:15am ET $192.57 53 $10,206.21 $10,366.59 +$67.84
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
48 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:35am ET $192.10 53 $10,181.30
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:45am ET $194.24 53 $10,294.72 $10,480.01 +$113.42
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
49 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 11:55am ET $183.68 57 $10,469.76
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 12:35pm ET $185.59 57 $10,578.35 $10,588.60 +$108.59
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
50 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $170.41 62 $10,565.54
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 10:00am ET $174.92 62 $10,845.04 $10,868.10 +$279.50
(+2.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
51 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:25am ET $180.43 60 $10,825.50
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 11:00am ET $183.09 60 $10,985.27 $11,027.87 +$159.77
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
52 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $176.94 62 $10,970.28
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 12:05pm ET $174.12 62 $10,795.13 $10,852.72 $-175.15
(-1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held
53 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 3:00pm ET $164.74 65 $10,708.10
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:20pm ET $163.43 65 $10,622.95 $10,767.57 $-85.15
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
54 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $164.17 65 $10,671.05
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $157.92 65 $10,264.80 $10,361.32 $-406.25
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
55 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $157.30 65 $10,224.50
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:45am ET $163.23 65 $10,609.95 $10,746.77 +$385.45
(+3.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
56 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 12:50pm ET $156.22 68 $10,622.96
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 2:25pm ET $156.35 68 $10,631.80 $10,755.61 +$8.84
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
57 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 3:00pm ET $169.83 63 $10,699.29
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 3:45pm ET $170.51 63 $10,742.13 $10,798.45 +$42.84
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
58 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $169.81 63 $10,698.03
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $166.84 63 $10,510.92 $10,611.34 $-187.11
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
59 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 1:25pm ET $162.73 65 $10,577.45
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 1:50pm ET $163.56 65 $10,631.40 $10,665.29 +$53.95
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
60 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 2:55pm ET $163.79 65 $10,646.03
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $164.85 65 $10,714.93 $10,734.19 +$68.90
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
61 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 9:40am ET $156.40 68 $10,634.86
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 11:00am ET $154.32 68 $10,493.42 $10,592.75 $-141.44
(-1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
62 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 2:30pm ET $143.90 73 $10,504.70
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 2:40pm ET $142.95 73 $10,434.99 $10,523.04 $-69.71
(-0.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
63 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 2:45pm ET $146.60 71 $10,408.25
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 3:30pm ET $148.00 71 $10,508.00 $10,622.79 +$99.75
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
64 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET $145.78 72 $10,496.25
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 9:35am ET $144.92 72 $10,434.24 $10,560.78 $-62.01
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
65 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 2:40pm ET $161.64 65 $10,506.60
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $170.60 65 $11,088.68 $11,142.86 +$582.08
(+5.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held
66 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $161.28 69 $11,128.32
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:55am ET $165.04 69 $11,387.76 $11,402.30 +$259.44
(+2.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
67 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:55am ET $165.95 68 $11,284.60
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 11:10am ET $165.00 68 $11,220.00 $11,337.70 $-64.60
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
68 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $156.70 72 $11,282.40
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 10:55am ET $159.68 72 $11,496.96 $11,552.26 +$214.56
(+1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,552.26
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,552.26
Total Return: +15.52%
Back to Professor Mean