Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-23 13:37:52

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
62.3 neutral
20d Trend
+5.9%
5d Trend
+0.9%
EMA20 Dist
+1.9%
ATR%
1.9%
Range Pos
83%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 12.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 12.7

30-Day Momentum

49
+1.8%
30d Return
85%
Win Rate
13
Trades
3.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 51.7 Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+37 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,949
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
126 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,080.71
Current Value
$9,537.85
Period P&L
$457.09
Max Drawdown
-13.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
70
Winners / Losers
46 / 24
Best Trade
+1.52%
Worst Trade
-1.66%
Avg Trade Return
+0.07%
Avg Hold Time
6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,278,603.02
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$457.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$457.09
Gross Return
+5.03%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.03%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MDT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 126 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 70 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,080.71 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 9:45am ET $97.24 93 $9,043.32
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2025 10:30am ET $97.27 93 $9,046.11 $9,083.55 +$2.79
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 3:50pm ET $96.07 94 $9,030.11
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET $96.31 94 $9,053.14 $9,106.58 +$23.03
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 2:50pm ET $96.38 94 $9,059.91
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:40am ET $95.30 94 $8,958.21 $9,004.88 $-101.70
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:40am ET $95.49 94 $8,976.06
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:30am ET $95.86 94 $9,010.84 $9,039.66 +$34.78
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:55am ET $99.96 90 $8,996.40
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 1:05pm ET $99.93 90 $8,993.70 $9,036.96 $-2.70
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 1:35pm ET $99.58 90 $8,961.75
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:30pm ET $99.25 90 $8,932.50 $9,007.71 $-29.25
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $97.05 92 $8,928.60
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:35am ET $96.93 92 $8,917.56 $8,996.67 $-11.04
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 12:55pm ET $96.45 93 $8,969.85
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 1:55pm ET $96.43 93 $8,967.99 $8,994.81 $-1.86
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:35am ET $97.65 92 $8,983.80
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:00am ET $98.31 92 $9,044.52 $9,055.53 +$60.72
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 2:25pm ET $97.60 92 $8,979.20
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $95.98 92 $8,829.70 $8,906.03 $-149.50
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:05am ET $99.63 89 $8,867.07
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 12:25pm ET $99.44 89 $8,850.16 $8,889.12 $-16.91
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 1:50pm ET $101.62 87 $8,840.94
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:45pm ET $101.24 87 $8,807.88 $8,856.06 $-33.06
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 1:55pm ET $101.55 87 $8,834.85
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:45am ET $101.11 87 $8,796.14 $8,817.35 $-38.71
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 12:55pm ET $100.91 87 $8,778.74
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 2:30pm ET $100.81 87 $8,770.47 $8,809.08 $-8.26
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:20pm ET $102.25 86 $8,793.10
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 2:55pm ET $102.45 86 $8,810.70 $8,826.68 +$17.60
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 3:45pm ET $103.34 85 $8,783.90
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $104.91 85 $8,917.35 $8,960.13 +$133.45
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 1:45pm ET $103.86 86 $8,931.96
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 2:25pm ET $103.98 86 $8,942.28 $8,970.45 +$10.32
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:40am ET $101.96 87 $8,870.52
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:10am ET $101.99 87 $8,873.13 $8,973.06 +$2.61
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 1:40pm ET $102.06 87 $8,879.22
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 2:25pm ET $102.29 87 $8,899.23 $8,993.07 +$20.01
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $95.91 93 $8,919.63
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 11:15am ET $96.76 93 $8,998.68 $9,072.12 +$79.05
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 11:25am ET $98.04 92 $9,019.68
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 1:15pm ET $97.71 92 $8,989.32 $9,041.76 $-30.36
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $96.86 93 $9,007.98
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:35am ET $97.44 93 $9,061.92 $9,095.70 +$53.94
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:35am ET $98.43 92 $9,055.56
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 12:20pm ET $97.68 92 $8,986.56 $9,026.70 $-69.00
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 12:50pm ET $96.09 93 $8,936.37
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 1:15pm ET $96.29 93 $8,955.43 $9,045.77 +$19.07
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
25 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 2:10pm ET $97.50 92 $8,970.00
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 3:20pm ET $97.54 92 $8,973.22 $9,048.99 +$3.22
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
26 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $97.18 93 $9,037.74
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 11:15am ET $96.56 93 $8,979.62 $8,990.87 $-58.13
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $94.51 95 $8,978.45
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 11:30am ET $93.18 95 $8,852.57 $8,864.99 $-125.88
(-1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
28 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $89.89 98 $8,809.22
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 10:25am ET $90.65 98 $8,883.70 $8,939.47 +$74.48
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
29 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 11:10am ET $89.27 100 $8,927.00
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 11:35am ET $90.10 100 $9,010.00 $9,022.47 +$83.00
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
30 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 3:50pm ET $87.73 102 $8,948.46
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:40am ET $88.29 102 $9,006.09 $9,080.10 +$57.63
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
31 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 12:00pm ET $87.88 103 $9,051.13
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 12:40pm ET $88.19 103 $9,083.57 $9,112.55 +$32.45
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
32 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 2:25pm ET $88.23 103 $9,087.69
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 2:55pm ET $88.52 103 $9,117.56 $9,142.42 +$29.87
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
33 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 12:50pm ET $87.10 104 $9,057.88
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 3:00pm ET $86.86 104 $9,032.92 $9,117.46 $-24.96
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
34 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $86.61 105 $9,094.05
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:25am ET $87.05 105 $9,140.25 $9,163.66 +$46.20
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
35 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 3:15pm ET $87.59 104 $9,109.36
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $87.82 104 $9,133.28 $9,187.58 +$23.92
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
36 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $86.75 105 $9,109.27
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 10:45am ET $86.91 105 $9,125.55 $9,203.86 +$16.28
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
37 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 11:15am ET $86.33 106 $9,150.98
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 12:15pm ET $86.47 106 $9,165.82 $9,218.70 +$14.84
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
38 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 10:05am ET $85.76 107 $9,176.32
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 11:05am ET $86.16 107 $9,219.12 $9,261.50 +$42.80
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
39 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:45pm ET $86.44 107 $9,249.08
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $86.29 107 $9,233.03 $9,245.45 $-16.05
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
40 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $87.82 105 $9,221.10
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:50am ET $87.78 105 $9,216.38 $9,240.73 $-4.72
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
41 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 1:10pm ET $87.18 105 $9,154.42
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 2:10pm ET $87.24 105 $9,160.20 $9,246.51 +$5.78
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
42 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 12:55pm ET $88.38 104 $9,191.52
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 1:30pm ET $88.54 104 $9,207.64 $9,262.63 +$16.12
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
43 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:40am ET $86.32 107 $9,236.24
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 11:15am ET $86.42 107 $9,246.94 $9,273.33 +$10.70
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
44 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $86.62 107 $9,268.34
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $86.18 107 $9,221.79 $9,226.78 $-46.55
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
45 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 3:40pm ET $85.11 108 $9,191.88
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 10:05am ET $85.27 108 $9,209.16 $9,244.06 +$17.28
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held
46 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 12:25pm ET $82.93 111 $9,205.23
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 1:30pm ET $83.03 111 $9,216.33 $9,255.16 +$11.10
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
47 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $83.58 110 $9,193.80
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:35am ET $83.66 110 $9,202.60 $9,263.96 +$8.80
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held
48 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 11:40am ET $83.08 111 $9,221.88
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 12:10pm ET $83.47 111 $9,265.17 $9,307.25 +$43.29
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
49 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 2:25pm ET $81.62 114 $9,304.68
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:50pm ET $81.61 114 $9,302.97 $9,305.54 $-1.71
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
50 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:35am ET $80.32 115 $9,237.37
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:00am ET $80.74 115 $9,285.10 $9,353.27 +$47.73
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
51 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:50am ET $79.13 118 $9,337.34
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 2:45pm ET $78.64 118 $9,279.52 $9,295.45 $-57.82
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9h held
52 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:45am ET $77.49 119 $9,221.31
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:15am ET $77.99 119 $9,280.22 $9,354.36 +$58.91
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
53 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:40am ET $77.27 121 $9,349.67
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 12:05pm ET $76.99 121 $9,315.79 $9,320.48 $-33.88
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
54 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $76.36 122 $9,316.19
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 11:35am ET $75.93 122 $9,263.46 $9,267.75 $-52.73
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
55 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 1:55pm ET $76.48 121 $9,254.08
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 2:20pm ET $76.70 121 $9,280.49 $9,294.16 +$26.41
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
56 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 1:00pm ET $78.17 118 $9,224.06
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 1:45pm ET $78.42 118 $9,254.10 $9,324.20 +$30.04
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
57 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $77.40 120 $9,288.01
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 10:25am ET $77.77 120 $9,332.40 $9,368.59 +$44.39
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
58 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 3:30pm ET $78.67 119 $9,361.73
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $78.37 119 $9,326.03 $9,332.89 $-35.70
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
59 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 10:00am ET $77.39 120 $9,286.80
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 10:10am ET $77.85 120 $9,342.00 $9,388.09 +$55.20
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
60 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 10:45am ET $75.53 124 $9,365.41
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 11:50am ET $75.64 124 $9,379.36 $9,402.04 +$13.95
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
61 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 12:55pm ET $74.50 126 $9,387.39
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 1:40pm ET $74.57 126 $9,395.82 $9,410.47 +$8.43
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
62 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $73.84 127 $9,377.68
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:25am ET $74.07 127 $9,406.89 $9,439.68 +$29.21
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
63 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:00pm ET $81.01 116 $9,397.16
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 1:40pm ET $81.17 116 $9,415.72 $9,458.24 +$18.56
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
64 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:50pm ET $81.44 116 $9,447.62
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:35pm ET $81.60 116 $9,465.60 $9,476.22 +$17.98
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
65 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 3:10pm ET $82.00 115 $9,430.00
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $82.07 115 $9,438.05 $9,484.27 +$8.05
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
66 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $79.97 118 $9,436.46
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:55am ET $80.36 118 $9,482.48 $9,530.29 +$46.02
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
67 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 1:00pm ET $80.31 118 $9,476.58
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 2:15pm ET $80.32 118 $9,477.76 $9,531.47 +$1.18
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
68 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:55am ET $80.67 118 $9,518.47
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 11:25am ET $80.47 118 $9,496.05 $9,509.05 $-22.42
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
69 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 1:55pm ET $78.86 120 $9,462.60
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 2:40pm ET $78.99 120 $9,478.80 $9,525.25 +$16.20
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
70 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 2:55pm ET $79.19 120 $9,502.80
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 3:45pm ET $79.29 120 $9,515.40 $9,537.85 +$12.60
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,537.85
Net Profit/Loss: $-462.15
Total Return: -4.62%
Back to Professor Mean