Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-23 14:43:46

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
31.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-4.6%
EMA20 Dist
-3.6%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
21%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

33
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.3/35
Total Return
9.2/25
Win Rate
8.8/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 33.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 33.4

30-Day Momentum

55
+3.5%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
12
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 59.1 Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+21 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
13,114
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
131 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,674.28
Current Value
$11,204.96
Period P&L
$530.66
Max Drawdown
-4.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
72
Winners / Losers
50 / 22
Best Trade
+1.05%
Worst Trade
-1.00%
Avg Trade Return
+0.07%
Avg Hold Time
6.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,502,815.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$530.66
Net P&L (after fees)
$530.66
Gross Return
+4.97%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.97%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 QQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 131 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 72 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,674.28 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 10:00am ET $618.01 17 $10,506.17
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 10:30am ET $619.30 17 $10,528.05 $10,696.18 +$21.88
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 3:50pm ET $623.77 17 $10,604.09
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $620.45 17 $10,547.65 $10,639.74 $-56.44
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 9:35am ET $619.82 17 $10,536.94
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 9:50am ET $621.02 17 $10,557.34 $10,660.14 +$20.40
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 2:30pm ET $616.27 17 $10,476.59
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $619.90 17 $10,538.30 $10,721.85 +$61.71
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 12:20pm ET $619.00 17 $10,523.00
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 2:00pm ET $618.63 17 $10,516.71 $10,715.56 $-6.29
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 1:20pm ET $626.59 17 $10,652.10
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 1:40pm ET $627.33 17 $10,664.61 $10,728.07 +$12.51
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 2:10pm ET $618.83 17 $10,520.11
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:00pm ET $619.41 17 $10,529.97 $10,737.93 +$9.86
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $626.67 17 $10,653.39
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $624.95 17 $10,624.13 $10,708.67 $-29.26
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:55am ET $627.20 17 $10,662.40
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 11:10am ET $626.14 17 $10,644.38 $10,690.65 $-18.02
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 12:30pm ET $625.35 17 $10,630.99
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 1:25pm ET $626.00 17 $10,642.00 $10,701.67 +$11.02
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $613.05 17 $10,421.85
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET $611.95 17 $10,403.15 $10,682.97 $-18.70
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:40am ET $611.82 17 $10,400.94
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 1:10pm ET $610.34 17 $10,375.78 $10,657.81 $-25.16
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 1:55pm ET $621.06 17 $10,558.02
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 2:10pm ET $621.72 17 $10,569.24 $10,669.03 +$11.22
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 3:05pm ET $622.12 17 $10,576.04
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 3:45pm ET $622.85 17 $10,588.51 $10,681.50 +$12.47
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 3:50pm ET $625.88 17 $10,639.88
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $628.37 17 $10,682.32 $10,723.94 +$42.45
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 11:40am ET $632.33 16 $10,117.20
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 12:15pm ET $633.27 16 $10,132.32 $10,739.06 +$15.12
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 11:20am ET $624.03 17 $10,608.51
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 1:50pm ET $622.93 17 $10,589.73 $10,720.28 $-18.79
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:35pm ET $627.33 17 $10,664.61
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 2:55pm ET $626.04 17 $10,642.68 $10,698.35 $-21.93
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:55am ET $610.44 17 $10,377.48
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 1:25pm ET $604.34 17 $10,273.78 $10,594.65 $-103.70
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.5h held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 2:55pm ET $607.71 17 $10,331.07
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:05pm ET $608.37 17 $10,342.29 $10,605.87 +$11.22
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 3:30pm ET $614.60 17 $10,448.20
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $615.05 17 $10,455.85 $10,613.52 +$7.65
(+0.1%)
📅 Sim Ended
24m held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $598.59 17 $10,176.03
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 11:00am ET $597.05 17 $10,149.85 $10,587.34 $-26.18
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 1:45pm ET $607.38 17 $10,325.46
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 3:45pm ET $605.22 17 $10,288.74 $10,550.62 $-36.72
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET $600.12 17 $10,202.04
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 9:35am ET $602.84 17 $10,248.28 $10,596.86 +$46.24
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
25 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:35am ET $606.71 17 $10,314.07
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 12:25pm ET $601.17 17 $10,219.89 $10,502.68 $-94.18
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
26 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 3:35pm ET $615.89 17 $10,470.13
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 3:40pm ET $616.22 17 $10,475.82 $10,508.37 +$5.69
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
27 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $602.99 17 $10,250.83
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 10:40am ET $606.63 17 $10,312.71 $10,570.25 +$61.88
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
28 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 2:00pm ET $606.91 17 $10,317.55
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 2:10pm ET $608.28 17 $10,340.76 $10,593.46 +$23.21
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
29 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 3:10pm ET $611.32 17 $10,392.44
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $607.47 17 $10,326.99 $10,528.01 $-65.45
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
30 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $600.25 17 $10,204.25
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 10:30am ET $604.08 17 $10,269.28 $10,593.04 +$65.03
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
31 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET $609.11 17 $10,354.87
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $609.54 17 $10,362.18 $10,600.35 +$7.31
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held
32 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $602.99 17 $10,250.83
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 11:40am ET $600.23 17 $10,203.91 $10,553.43 $-46.92
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
33 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 1:50pm ET $592.73 17 $10,076.41
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 2:35pm ET $594.56 17 $10,107.52 $10,584.54 +$31.11
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
34 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 11:40am ET $602.52 17 $10,242.84
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 12:25pm ET $603.48 17 $10,259.16 $10,600.86 +$16.32
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
35 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 12:35pm ET $599.55 17 $10,192.35
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 1:40pm ET $599.88 17 $10,197.96 $10,606.47 +$5.61
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
36 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET $591.56 17 $10,056.52
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 1:35pm ET $589.26 17 $10,017.42 $10,567.37 $-39.10
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
37 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 3:00pm ET $586.97 18 $10,565.46
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $587.96 18 $10,583.28 $10,585.19 +$17.82
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
38 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $570.44 18 $10,267.92
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 11:05am ET $567.78 18 $10,220.04 $10,537.31 $-47.88
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
39 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 1:35pm ET $559.22 18 $10,065.96
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $558.80 18 $10,058.40 $10,529.75 $-7.56
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
40 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $585.78 17 $9,958.26
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:20pm ET $584.63 17 $9,938.71 $10,510.20 $-19.55
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
41 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET $585.32 17 $9,950.44
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:30pm ET $587.15 17 $9,981.55 $10,541.31 +$31.11
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
42 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $582.10 18 $10,477.75
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $586.33 18 $10,554.02 $10,617.58 +$76.27
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
43 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:55am ET $610.78 17 $10,383.26
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 1:50pm ET $610.43 17 $10,377.39 $10,611.71 $-5.87
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
44 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:45pm ET $631.95 16 $10,111.20
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 1:30pm ET $633.10 16 $10,129.60 $10,630.11 +$18.40
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
45 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 2:10pm ET $638.34 16 $10,213.44
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:00pm ET $639.36 16 $10,229.76 $10,646.43 +$16.32
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
46 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET $646.71 16 $10,347.36
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 12:10pm ET $645.05 16 $10,320.80 $10,619.87 $-26.56
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held
47 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 1:05pm ET $644.72 16 $10,315.57
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:40pm ET $646.19 16 $10,339.04 $10,643.34 +$23.47
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
48 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 3:05pm ET $652.86 16 $10,445.76
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:10pm ET $653.75 16 $10,460.00 $10,657.58 +$14.24
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
49 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET $662.50 16 $10,600.00
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 11:45am ET $662.47 16 $10,599.52 $10,657.10 $-0.48
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
50 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $656.82 16 $10,509.04
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:40am ET $658.20 16 $10,531.20 $10,679.26 +$22.16
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
51 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:10am ET $658.81 16 $10,540.95
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:50am ET $660.52 16 $10,568.32 $10,706.63 +$27.37
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
52 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:45pm ET $673.65 15 $10,104.75
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:15pm ET $674.86 15 $10,122.90 $10,724.78 +$18.15
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
53 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 12:40pm ET $680.61 15 $10,209.22
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 1:05pm ET $681.39 15 $10,220.85 $10,736.41 +$11.63
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
54 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 11:55am ET $698.36 15 $10,475.40
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 2:00pm ET $695.26 15 $10,428.90 $10,689.91 $-46.50
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
55 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 3:00pm ET $712.47 15 $10,687.12
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $713.23 15 $10,698.45 $10,701.24 +$11.33
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
56 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 1:10pm ET $719.49 14 $10,072.86
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 1:45pm ET $720.17 14 $10,082.38 $10,710.76 +$9.52
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
57 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $708.63 15 $10,629.45
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 10:15am ET $709.83 15 $10,647.38 $10,728.69 +$17.93
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
58 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 10:15am ET $696.57 15 $10,448.48
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 11:15am ET $699.59 15 $10,493.78 $10,773.99 +$45.30
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
59 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $708.98 15 $10,634.70
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 10:05am ET $711.20 15 $10,668.00 $10,807.29 +$33.30
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
60 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 3:15pm ET $718.47 15 $10,777.12
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $726.04 15 $10,890.60 $10,920.77 +$113.48
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8d held
61 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 10:25am ET $727.09 15 $10,906.32
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 12:10pm ET $727.66 15 $10,914.90 $10,929.35 +$8.58
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
62 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 2:00pm ET $735.92 14 $10,302.88
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 2:30pm ET $738.16 14 $10,334.24 $10,960.71 +$31.36
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
63 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 3:35pm ET $743.38 14 $10,407.32
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:00am ET $743.42 14 $10,407.88 $10,961.27 +$0.56
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held
64 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 11:40am ET $743.63 14 $10,410.82
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 12:55pm ET $743.74 14 $10,412.36 $10,962.81 +$1.54
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
65 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 3:15pm ET $741.85 14 $10,385.90
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:25pm ET $743.28 14 $10,405.94 $10,982.85 +$20.04
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
66 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:10pm ET $716.25 15 $10,743.75
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $722.69 15 $10,840.35 $11,079.45 +$96.60
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
67 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET $698.49 15 $10,477.35
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $700.34 15 $10,505.17 $11,107.27 +$27.82
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
68 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 3:35pm ET $719.83 15 $10,797.45
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $721.72 15 $10,825.80 $11,135.62 +$28.35
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
69 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $742.47 14 $10,394.58
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:50am ET $743.63 14 $10,410.82 $11,151.86 +$16.24
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
70 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 1:05pm ET $731.45 15 $10,971.75
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 1:55pm ET $733.45 15 $11,001.75 $11,181.86 +$30.00
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
71 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 2:35pm ET $739.05 15 $11,085.75
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 3:35pm ET $739.41 15 $11,091.08 $11,187.19 +$5.33
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
72 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $715.38 15 $10,730.70
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:35am ET $716.57 15 $10,748.48 $11,204.96 +$17.77
(+0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,204.96
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,204.96
Total Return: +12.05%
Back to Professor Mean