Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-23 14:44:05

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.9/35
Total Return
10.9/25
Win Rate
8.4/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 29.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 29.5

30-Day Momentum

78
+11.4%
30d Return
92%
Win Rate
12
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 84.7 Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+49 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
13,119
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
131 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,294.76
Current Value
$12,195.63
Period P&L
$1,900.88
Max Drawdown
-17.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.22

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
73
Winners / Losers
49 / 24
Best Trade
+3.20%
Worst Trade
-3.04%
Avg Trade Return
+0.24%
Avg Hold Time
6.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,526,075.69
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,900.88
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,900.88
Gross Return
+18.46%
Net Return (after fees)
+18.46%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 131 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 73 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,294.76 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 10:00am ET $53.92 190 $10,244.80
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 10:30am ET $54.25 190 $10,308.34 $10,358.31 +$63.54
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 3:50pm ET $55.26 187 $10,333.84
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $54.38 187 $10,168.31 $10,192.77 $-165.53
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 9:35am ET $54.21 188 $10,191.35
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 9:50am ET $54.51 188 $10,248.52 $10,249.94 +$57.17
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 2:30pm ET $53.25 192 $10,223.04
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $54.13 192 $10,392.96 $10,419.86 +$169.92
(+1.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 12:20pm ET $53.87 193 $10,396.91
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 2:00pm ET $53.78 193 $10,379.31 $10,402.26 $-17.60
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 1:20pm ET $55.83 186 $10,385.09
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 1:40pm ET $56.02 186 $10,420.19 $10,437.36 +$35.10
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 2:10pm ET $53.77 194 $10,431.36
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:00pm ET $53.92 194 $10,459.86 $10,465.86 +$28.50
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $55.77 187 $10,428.99
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $55.31 187 $10,342.05 $10,378.92 $-86.94
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET $55.77 186 $10,372.94
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 11:10am ET $55.61 186 $10,342.53 $10,348.51 $-30.41
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 12:30pm ET $55.33 187 $10,345.78
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 1:25pm ET $55.50 187 $10,378.50 $10,381.24 +$32.72
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $52.05 199 $10,357.57
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET $51.76 199 $10,300.22 $10,323.89 $-57.35
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:40am ET $51.65 199 $10,278.35
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 1:10pm ET $51.29 199 $10,206.71 $10,252.25 $-71.64
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 1:55pm ET $53.99 189 $10,203.17
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 2:10pm ET $54.16 189 $10,235.30 $10,284.38 +$32.13
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 3:05pm ET $54.23 189 $10,248.53
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 3:45pm ET $54.41 189 $10,283.49 $10,319.34 +$34.96
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 3:50pm ET $55.18 187 $10,318.66
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $55.84 187 $10,441.15 $10,441.83 +$122.49
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 11:40am ET $56.87 183 $10,407.21
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 12:15pm ET $57.13 183 $10,453.88 $10,488.49 +$46.67
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 11:20am ET $54.58 192 $10,479.36
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 1:50pm ET $54.28 192 $10,422.03 $10,431.16 $-57.33
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:35pm ET $55.40 188 $10,416.14
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 2:55pm ET $55.06 188 $10,351.28 $10,366.30 $-64.86
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:55am ET $50.97 203 $10,346.91
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 1:25pm ET $49.42 203 $10,032.26 $10,051.65 $-314.65
(-3.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.5h held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 2:55pm ET $50.13 200 $10,026.00
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:05pm ET $50.30 200 $10,060.00 $10,085.65 +$34.00
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 3:30pm ET $51.81 194 $10,050.17
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $51.92 194 $10,072.62 $10,108.09 +$22.45
(+0.2%)
📅 Sim Ended
24m held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:15am ET $50.49 200 $10,098.00
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:50am ET $51.27 200 $10,254.00 $10,264.09 +$156.00
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $47.72 215 $10,259.80
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 11:00am ET $47.30 215 $10,169.50 $10,173.79 $-90.30
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 1:45pm ET $49.81 204 $10,160.22
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 3:45pm ET $49.29 204 $10,055.16 $10,068.73 $-105.06
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
25 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET $47.95 209 $10,021.55
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 9:35am ET $48.63 209 $10,163.42 $10,210.60 +$141.87
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
26 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:40am ET $49.47 206 $10,190.82
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 12:25pm ET $48.18 206 $9,925.59 $9,945.37 $-265.23
(-2.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
27 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 3:35pm ET $51.72 192 $9,931.20
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 3:40pm ET $51.81 192 $9,947.50 $9,961.67 +$16.30
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
28 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $48.49 205 $9,940.45
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 10:40am ET $49.38 205 $10,121.88 $10,143.09 +$181.42
(+1.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
29 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 2:00pm ET $49.40 205 $10,127.00
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 2:10pm ET $49.74 205 $10,195.68 $10,211.76 +$68.67
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
30 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 3:10pm ET $50.42 202 $10,184.13
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $49.47 202 $9,992.94 $10,020.57 $-191.19
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
31 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $47.67 210 $10,011.27
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 10:30am ET $48.52 210 $10,190.02 $10,199.32 +$178.75
(+1.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
32 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET $49.77 204 $10,153.08
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $49.82 204 $10,163.28 $10,209.52 +$10.20
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held
33 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $48.17 211 $10,164.92
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 11:40am ET $47.53 211 $10,028.83 $10,073.42 $-136.10
(-1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
34 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 1:50pm ET $45.74 220 $10,061.70
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 2:35pm ET $46.13 220 $10,147.68 $10,159.40 +$85.98
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
35 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $47.68 213 $10,155.84
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 11:10am ET $47.64 213 $10,147.87 $10,151.43 $-7.97
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
36 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 10:00am ET $44.06 230 $10,133.57
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 11:35am ET $44.06 230 $10,133.80 $10,151.66 +$0.23
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
37 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET $45.36 223 $10,115.30
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 1:35pm ET $44.87 223 $10,004.90 $10,041.25 $-110.41
(-1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
38 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 3:00pm ET $44.21 227 $10,035.67
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $44.44 227 $10,089.01 $10,094.60 +$53.35
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
39 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $40.44 249 $10,069.56
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 11:05am ET $39.89 249 $9,932.61 $9,957.65 $-136.95
(-1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
40 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 1:35pm ET $38.06 261 $9,933.69
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $37.96 261 $9,907.56 $9,931.52 $-26.13
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
41 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $43.54 228 $9,928.26
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:20pm ET $43.30 228 $9,872.97 $9,876.23 $-55.29
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
42 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET $43.35 227 $9,840.93
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:30pm ET $43.81 227 $9,944.87 $9,980.17 +$103.94
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
43 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $42.67 233 $9,942.11
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $43.74 233 $10,191.12 $10,229.18 +$249.01
(+2.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
44 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:55am ET $49.09 208 $10,210.72
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 1:50pm ET $49.03 208 $10,199.28 $10,217.74 $-11.44
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
45 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:25pm ET $52.75 193 $10,180.75
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:05pm ET $53.07 193 $10,242.45 $10,279.44 +$61.70
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
46 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 2:10pm ET $55.88 183 $10,226.04
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:00pm ET $56.17 183 $10,280.02 $10,333.42 +$53.98
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
47 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET $58.04 178 $10,331.10
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 12:10pm ET $57.58 178 $10,250.13 $10,252.45 $-80.97
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held
48 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 1:05pm ET $57.51 178 $10,237.67
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:40pm ET $57.92 178 $10,309.76 $10,324.54 +$72.09
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
49 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 3:05pm ET $59.66 173 $10,321.18
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:10pm ET $59.87 173 $10,357.79 $10,361.15 +$36.61
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
50 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET $62.15 166 $10,317.73
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET $61.71 166 $10,243.86 $10,287.28 $-73.87
(-0.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
51 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $60.56 169 $10,234.66
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:40am ET $60.87 169 $10,287.03 $10,339.65 +$52.37
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
52 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:10am ET $61.04 169 $10,315.76
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:50am ET $61.56 169 $10,403.66 $10,427.55 +$87.90
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
53 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:45pm ET $65.18 159 $10,363.95
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:15pm ET $65.54 159 $10,420.86 $10,484.46 +$56.91
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
54 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 12:40pm ET $67.14 156 $10,473.54
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 1:05pm ET $67.36 156 $10,508.94 $10,519.86 +$35.40
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
55 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 11:55am ET $72.31 145 $10,485.14
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 2:00pm ET $71.47 145 $10,363.87 $10,398.60 $-121.26
(-1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
56 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 3:00pm ET $76.67 135 $10,350.45
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $76.93 135 $10,385.55 $10,433.70 +$35.10
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
57 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 1:10pm ET $78.89 132 $10,414.14
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 1:45pm ET $79.09 132 $10,439.88 $10,459.44 +$25.74
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
58 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $75.18 139 $10,450.16
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 10:15am ET $75.65 139 $10,515.35 $10,524.63 +$65.19
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
59 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 10:15am ET $71.51 147 $10,512.70
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 11:15am ET $72.32 147 $10,631.03 $10,642.95 +$118.32
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
60 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $75.17 141 $10,598.97
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 10:10am ET $75.93 141 $10,706.13 $10,750.11 +$107.16
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
61 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 3:15pm ET $78.17 137 $10,709.30
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $80.67 137 $11,051.79 $11,092.60 +$342.49
(+3.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8d held
62 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:35am ET $81.18 136 $11,040.48
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 10:10am ET $81.57 136 $11,093.52 $11,145.64 +$53.04
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
63 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 1:55pm ET $83.96 132 $11,082.06
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 2:30pm ET $84.53 132 $11,157.70 $11,221.28 +$75.64
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
64 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 3:40pm ET $86.25 130 $11,212.21
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:00am ET $86.20 130 $11,206.00 $11,215.07 $-6.21
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
65 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 11:40am ET $86.33 129 $11,136.45
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 12:55pm ET $86.36 129 $11,140.44 $11,219.06 +$3.99
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
66 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 3:15pm ET $85.68 130 $11,137.75
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:25pm ET $86.18 130 $11,203.30 $11,284.61 +$65.55
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
67 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:10pm ET $76.28 147 $11,213.16
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $78.39 147 $11,522.60 $11,594.05 +$309.44
(+2.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
68 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET $70.61 164 $11,579.92
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $71.24 164 $11,683.34 $11,697.47 +$103.42
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
69 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 3:35pm ET $77.03 151 $11,631.53
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $77.63 151 $11,721.38 $11,787.32 +$89.85
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
70 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $84.24 139 $11,709.36
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:50am ET $84.70 139 $11,773.30 $11,851.26 +$63.94
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
71 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 1:05pm ET $80.48 147 $11,830.56
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 1:55pm ET $81.10 147 $11,920.97 $11,941.66 +$90.40
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
72 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 2:35pm ET $82.75 144 $11,916.09
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 2:55pm ET $82.98 144 $11,949.06 $11,974.64 +$32.98
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
73 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $74.96 159 $11,918.64
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 12:05pm ET $76.35 159 $12,139.63 $12,195.63 +$220.99
(+1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,195.63
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,195.63
Total Return: +21.96%
Back to Professor Mean