Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-23 15:59:38

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
49.5 neutral
20d Trend
-1.8%
5d Trend
-1.9%
EMA20 Dist
-0.6%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

41
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.1/35
Total Return
11.1/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
2.3/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 41.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 40.6

30-Day Momentum

51
+5.1%
30d Return
64%
Win Rate
11
Trades
2.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 56.6 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+10 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,862
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
124 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,640.40
Current Value
$12,053.67
Period P&L
$413.32
Max Drawdown
-5.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
70
Winners / Losers
39 / 31
Best Trade
+4.11%
Worst Trade
-2.40%
Avg Trade Return
+0.05%
Avg Hold Time
5.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,584,454.21
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$413.32
Net P&L (after fees)
$413.32
Gross Return
+3.55%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.55%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VRTX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 124 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 70 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,640.40 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 3:00pm ET $458.46 25 $11,461.50
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 3:35pm ET $459.96 25 $11,498.93 $11,677.77 +$37.43
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 12:35pm ET $461.12 25 $11,528.00
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 12:50pm ET $461.77 25 $11,544.25 $11,694.02 +$16.25
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET $456.99 25 $11,424.65
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 11:00am ET $456.50 25 $11,412.38 $11,681.74 $-12.27
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 2:40pm ET $455.05 25 $11,376.25
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $450.34 25 $11,258.50 $11,563.99 $-117.75
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $448.78 25 $11,219.50
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:55am ET $447.57 25 $11,189.25 $11,533.74 $-30.25
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 1:55pm ET $464.75 24 $11,154.00
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 2:10pm ET $466.96 24 $11,206.92 $11,586.66 +$52.92
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET $479.37 24 $11,504.88
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:40am ET $484.81 24 $11,635.44 $11,717.22 +$130.56
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 2:00pm ET $469.86 24 $11,276.64
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 2:05pm ET $467.49 24 $11,219.76 $11,660.34 $-56.88
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET $457.89 25 $11,447.25
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:05am ET $460.61 25 $11,515.25 $11,728.34 +$68.00
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 10:45am ET $449.27 26 $11,681.02
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 12:45pm ET $448.97 26 $11,673.22 $11,720.54 $-7.80
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 12:55pm ET $442.08 26 $11,494.08
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $438.92 26 $11,411.92 $11,638.38 $-82.16
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3h held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $431.19 26 $11,210.87
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:25am ET $438.73 26 $11,406.98 $11,834.49 +$196.11
(+1.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 2:50pm ET $469.24 25 $11,730.94
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:35am ET $468.34 25 $11,708.50 $11,812.06 $-22.44
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 12:20pm ET $481.20 24 $11,548.80
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 12:35pm ET $477.48 24 $11,459.40 $11,722.66 $-89.40
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 2:10pm ET $476.73 24 $11,441.40
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 3:25pm ET $476.33 24 $11,431.92 $11,713.18 $-9.48
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 9:45am ET $470.46 24 $11,291.10
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 11:05am ET $470.84 24 $11,300.16 $11,722.24 +$9.06
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:05pm ET $471.83 24 $11,323.92
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 2:40pm ET $472.57 24 $11,341.67 $11,739.99 +$17.75
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 3:45pm ET $464.70 25 $11,617.50
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $465.84 25 $11,646.00 $11,768.49 +$28.50
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 12:50pm ET $464.60 25 $11,614.88
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 1:40pm ET $465.49 25 $11,637.25 $11,790.86 +$22.37
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:45am ET $473.19 24 $11,356.66
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:15am ET $472.38 24 $11,337.12 $11,771.33 $-19.53
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 11:45am ET $468.39 25 $11,709.75
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 1:30pm ET $467.71 25 $11,692.75 $11,754.33 $-17.00
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:05am ET $483.96 24 $11,615.04
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $476.96 24 $11,447.04 $11,586.33 $-168.00
(-1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET $469.00 24 $11,256.00
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 10:25am ET $468.49 24 $11,243.76 $11,574.09 $-12.24
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 3:25pm ET $483.35 23 $11,116.94
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 9:40am ET $485.13 23 $11,157.99 $11,615.15 +$41.06
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
25 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 12:40pm ET $482.36 24 $11,576.64
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 1:15pm ET $484.36 24 $11,624.52 $11,663.03 +$47.88
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
26 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 3:45pm ET $478.27 24 $11,478.48
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $479.86 24 $11,516.76 $11,701.31 +$38.28
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:45am ET $492.96 23 $11,338.08
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 11:55am ET $486.93 23 $11,199.39 $11,562.62 $-138.69
(-1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
28 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 3:45pm ET $473.91 24 $11,373.90
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET $475.30 24 $11,407.20 $11,595.92 +$33.30
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
29 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $475.93 24 $11,422.44
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 9:35am ET $473.22 24 $11,357.28 $11,530.76 $-65.16
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
30 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 11:35am ET $453.24 25 $11,331.00
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $452.58 25 $11,314.50 $11,514.26 $-16.50
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
31 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 1:00pm ET $453.76 25 $11,344.00
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 2:15pm ET $454.18 25 $11,354.50 $11,524.76 +$10.50
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
32 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 10:00am ET $494.01 23 $11,362.23
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 12:10pm ET $493.19 23 $11,343.37 $11,505.90 $-18.86
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
33 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 12:10pm ET $476.80 24 $11,443.08
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 12:35pm ET $480.32 24 $11,527.68 $11,590.50 +$84.60
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
34 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 3:35pm ET $471.17 24 $11,308.08
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $475.14 24 $11,403.36 $11,685.78 +$95.28
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
35 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:45am ET $457.89 25 $11,447.25
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 11:15am ET $456.29 25 $11,407.25 $11,645.78 $-40.00
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
36 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 2:25pm ET $454.99 25 $11,374.75
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:20pm ET $455.54 25 $11,388.38 $11,659.41 +$13.63
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
37 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $448.00 26 $11,648.00
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:35am ET $446.00 26 $11,596.00 $11,607.41 $-52.00
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
38 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 3:30pm ET $456.48 25 $11,412.00
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $450.89 25 $11,272.25 $11,467.66 $-139.75
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held
39 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $450.95 25 $11,273.75
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 1:35pm ET $440.11 25 $11,002.75 $11,196.66 $-271.00
(-2.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
4.1h held
40 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 12:15pm ET $450.03 24 $10,800.72
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 1:25pm ET $450.12 24 $10,802.88 $11,198.82 +$2.16
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
41 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 3:25pm ET $434.54 25 $10,863.38
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 12:00pm ET $427.45 25 $10,686.25 $11,021.70 $-177.12
(-1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.6h held
42 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:45pm ET $438.94 25 $10,973.50
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:30pm ET $439.54 25 $10,988.38 $11,036.58 +$14.88
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
43 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 1:40pm ET $435.89 25 $10,897.25
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:05pm ET $435.77 25 $10,894.25 $11,033.58 $-3.00
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
44 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $437.00 25 $10,925.00
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $440.55 25 $11,013.75 $11,122.33 +$88.75
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
45 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 1:00pm ET $439.17 25 $10,979.37
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:50pm ET $434.55 25 $10,863.75 $11,006.71 $-115.63
(-1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
46 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET $439.15 25 $10,978.75
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 10:20am ET $440.52 25 $11,012.88 $11,040.84 +$34.13
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
47 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:35am ET $436.09 25 $10,902.25
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:50am ET $438.93 25 $10,973.22 $11,111.81 +$70.97
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
48 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $437.52 25 $10,938.12
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $435.48 25 $10,887.00 $11,060.69 $-51.12
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held
49 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $427.01 25 $10,675.25
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET $431.93 25 $10,798.25 $11,183.69 +$123.00
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
50 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:55pm ET $428.36 26 $11,137.36
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 1:55pm ET $429.27 26 $11,161.02 $11,207.35 +$23.66
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
51 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 1:55pm ET $429.00 26 $11,154.00
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:50pm ET $428.94 26 $11,152.44 $11,205.79 $-1.56
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
52 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 12:30pm ET $424.48 26 $11,036.48
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 1:40pm ET $424.79 26 $11,044.54 $11,213.85 +$8.06
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
53 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $423.59 26 $11,013.34
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:45am ET $427.97 26 $11,127.22 $11,327.73 +$113.88
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
54 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 2:00pm ET $450.83 25 $11,270.75
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $448.72 25 $11,218.00 $11,274.98 $-52.75
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
55 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 9:35am ET $451.39 24 $10,833.24
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 10:10am ET $453.53 24 $10,884.72 $11,326.46 +$51.48
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
56 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 12:55pm ET $437.90 25 $10,947.50
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 2:25pm ET $438.43 25 $10,960.87 $11,339.84 +$13.38
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
57 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 2:50pm ET $435.54 26 $11,323.91
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $436.67 26 $11,353.42 $11,369.35 +$29.51
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
58 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 10:05am ET $431.73 26 $11,224.98
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 11:00am ET $434.26 26 $11,290.76 $11,435.13 +$65.78
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
59 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 12:20pm ET $433.99 26 $11,283.74
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 1:25pm ET $435.13 26 $11,313.25 $11,464.64 +$29.51
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
60 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $435.53 26 $11,323.78
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $437.85 26 $11,383.97 $11,524.83 +$60.19
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
61 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $436.70 26 $11,354.20
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:45am ET $439.78 26 $11,434.28 $11,604.91 +$80.08
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
62 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:45am ET $445.67 26 $11,587.55
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:50am ET $443.66 26 $11,535.16 $11,552.52 $-52.39
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
63 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $432.39 26 $11,242.14
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 12:45pm ET $426.85 26 $11,097.97 $11,408.35 $-144.17
(-1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held
64 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 3:45pm ET $428.34 26 $11,136.84
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $445.95 26 $11,594.57 $11,866.08 +$457.73
(+4.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
65 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 12:25pm ET $443.78 26 $11,538.28
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 2:05pm ET $443.42 26 $11,529.05 $11,856.85 $-9.23
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
66 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:00am ET $440.65 26 $11,456.90
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $436.23 26 $11,341.98 $11,741.93 $-114.92
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
4.9h held
67 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 11:35am ET $442.73 26 $11,510.85
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 12:40pm ET $444.35 26 $11,553.10 $11,784.18 +$42.25
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
68 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 3:40pm ET $450.77 26 $11,720.15
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $452.82 26 $11,773.32 $11,837.35 +$53.17
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
69 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $450.63 26 $11,716.38
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:40am ET $454.29 26 $11,811.54 $11,932.51 +$95.16
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
70 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:30pm ET $451.51 26 $11,739.26
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $456.17 26 $11,860.42 $12,053.67 +$121.16
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,053.67
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,053.67
Total Return: +20.54%
Back to Professor Mean