Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-23 14:44:06

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
62.8 neutral
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+8.3%
EMA20 Dist
+8.3%
ATR%
4.8%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.4/35
Total Return
12.3/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 30.4/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 29.9

30-Day Momentum

53
+4.5%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
12
Trades
2.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 57.7 Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+24 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,076
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
131 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,339.19
Current Value
$12,943.97
Period P&L
$1,604.82
Max Drawdown
-19.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
72
Winners / Losers
43 / 29
Best Trade
+6.47%
Worst Trade
-3.33%
Avg Trade Return
+0.20%
Avg Hold Time
7.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,748,464.75
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,604.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,604.82
Gross Return
+14.15%
Net Return (after fees)
+14.15%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VXX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 131 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 72 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,339.19 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 1:20pm ET $26.99 420 $11,335.80
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 2:40pm ET $27.01 420 $11,342.10 $11,345.43 +$6.30
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 12:25pm ET $26.96 420 $11,321.10
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 1:20pm ET $27.05 420 $11,361.00 $11,385.33 +$39.90
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 1:20pm ET $26.71 426 $11,379.78
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 3:40pm ET $26.56 426 $11,314.56 $11,320.11 $-65.22
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 11:20am ET $26.33 429 $11,295.27
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 12:45pm ET $26.32 429 $11,291.28 $11,316.12 $-3.99
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 2:20pm ET $26.05 434 $11,305.70
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 2:55pm ET $26.21 434 $11,375.18 $11,385.60 +$69.48
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:45am ET $26.06 436 $11,362.16
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:35am ET $26.18 436 $11,414.48 $11,437.92 +$52.32
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 10:05am ET $26.24 435 $11,414.40
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 11:50am ET $26.13 435 $11,366.55 $11,390.07 $-47.85
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 11:50am ET $25.64 444 $11,384.16
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 12:25pm ET $25.78 444 $11,446.32 $11,452.23 +$62.16
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 11:50am ET $25.91 442 $11,450.01
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 12:35pm ET $26.07 442 $11,520.73 $11,522.95 +$70.72
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 3:05pm ET $27.15 424 $11,511.60
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $26.25 424 $11,127.88 $11,139.23 $-383.72
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 1:05pm ET $26.13 426 $11,129.25
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 1:55pm ET $26.18 426 $11,152.68 $11,162.66 +$23.43
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $28.29 394 $11,146.26
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET $28.19 394 $11,105.01 $11,121.41 $-41.25
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 9:35am ET $26.32 422 $11,105.61
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 11:55am ET $26.31 422 $11,102.82 $11,118.63 $-2.79
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:50am ET $26.30 422 $11,098.64
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 10:25am ET $26.47 422 $11,170.34 $11,190.32 +$71.70
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 2:00pm ET $26.80 417 $11,173.52
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 3:25pm ET $26.80 417 $11,175.60 $11,192.41 +$2.08
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 9:35am ET $27.01 414 $11,180.07
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:55am ET $27.26 414 $11,285.64 $11,297.98 +$105.57
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 3:30pm ET $27.23 414 $11,273.22
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:55am ET $27.47 414 $11,372.58 $11,397.34 +$99.36
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:05pm ET $28.40 401 $11,388.40
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $28.96 401 $11,612.96 $11,621.90 +$224.56
(+2.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:30pm ET $27.50 422 $11,605.00
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:40am ET $26.77 422 $11,296.94 $11,313.84 $-308.06
(-2.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 12:15pm ET $26.67 424 $11,305.96
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 1:05pm ET $26.78 424 $11,354.72 $11,362.60 +$48.76
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 11:15am ET $28.98 392 $11,358.20
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 12:45pm ET $29.17 392 $11,432.68 $11,437.08 +$74.48
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 10:00am ET $28.86 396 $11,430.54
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 11:30am ET $28.51 396 $11,289.96 $11,296.50 $-140.58
(-1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:45am ET $29.00 389 $11,281.00
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 11:50am ET $28.55 389 $11,104.01 $11,119.51 $-176.99
(-1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 2:10pm ET $27.83 399 $11,106.16
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 9:55am ET $27.62 399 $11,020.38 $11,033.73 $-85.78
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.8h held
25 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 3:15pm ET $28.85 382 $11,022.61
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $30.60 382 $11,689.20 $11,700.32 +$666.59
(+6.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
26 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 1:20pm ET $30.82 379 $11,681.58
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 2:35pm ET $30.56 379 $11,580.35 $11,599.09 $-101.23
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 3:10pm ET $31.82 364 $11,582.48
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $33.88 364 $12,332.32 $12,348.93 +$749.84
(+6.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
28 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 3:25pm ET $33.23 371 $12,328.33
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 10:10am ET $32.94 371 $12,220.74 $12,241.34 $-107.59
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held
29 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $33.55 364 $12,212.20
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 10:45am ET $33.97 364 $12,366.90 $12,396.04 +$154.70
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
30 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET $31.90 388 $12,377.20
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 11:05am ET $31.80 388 $12,338.67 $12,357.51 $-38.53
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
31 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 2:00pm ET $33.67 366 $12,325.05
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 2:35pm ET $34.21 366 $12,519.03 $12,551.49 +$193.98
(+1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
32 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 3:05pm ET $33.37 376 $12,547.12
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 3:50pm ET $33.93 376 $12,757.68 $12,762.05 +$210.56
(+1.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
33 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $33.70 378 $12,738.60
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 10:50am ET $33.90 378 $12,812.31 $12,835.76 +$73.71
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
34 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $33.99 377 $12,814.23
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 10:00am ET $34.64 377 $13,059.28 $13,080.81 +$245.05
(+1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
35 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $38.03 343 $13,044.29
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 10:45am ET $38.91 343 $13,346.13 $13,382.65 +$301.84
(+2.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
36 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET $36.27 368 $13,347.36
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 2:00pm ET $36.24 368 $13,338.16 $13,373.45 $-9.20
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
37 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 3:50pm ET $34.78 384 $13,355.52
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 11:35am ET $33.98 384 $13,048.32 $13,066.25 $-307.20
(-2.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8d held
38 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 12:05pm ET $35.05 372 $13,038.41
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 1:10pm ET $35.38 372 $13,161.36 $13,189.20 +$122.95
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
39 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:55am ET $31.45 419 $13,177.55
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:05pm ET $30.68 419 $12,857.01 $12,868.66 $-320.54
(-2.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.2h held
40 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:05pm ET $30.70 419 $12,865.39
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:40pm ET $30.83 419 $12,915.68 $12,918.94 +$50.28
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
41 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 3:40pm ET $29.75 434 $12,913.67
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $28.94 434 $12,559.96 $12,565.23 $-353.71
(-2.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
42 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $29.03 432 $12,540.96
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:35am ET $29.27 432 $12,644.64 $12,668.91 +$103.68
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
43 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $28.61 442 $12,645.62
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:35am ET $28.85 442 $12,751.70 $12,774.99 +$106.08
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
44 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $29.30 436 $12,774.80
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 10:20am ET $29.47 436 $12,846.74 $12,846.93 +$71.94
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
45 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 1:10pm ET $29.53 435 $12,845.55
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 2:20pm ET $29.66 435 $12,902.10 $12,903.48 +$56.55
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
46 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $29.54 436 $12,879.44
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 11:25am ET $29.42 436 $12,829.30 $12,853.34 $-50.14
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.5h held
47 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 3:05pm ET $29.07 442 $12,846.73
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:10pm ET $29.01 442 $12,824.63 $12,831.24 $-22.10
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
48 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 3:40pm ET $28.67 447 $12,813.26
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:45am ET $28.49 447 $12,732.80 $12,750.78 $-80.46
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.1h held
49 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:50pm ET $28.33 450 $12,748.50
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 2:25pm ET $28.25 450 $12,714.75 $12,717.03 $-33.75
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
50 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:50am ET $28.00 454 $12,709.73
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:50am ET $27.98 454 $12,700.65 $12,707.95 $-9.08
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
51 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 2:10pm ET $28.14 451 $12,691.14
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 2:20pm ET $28.20 451 $12,720.45 $12,737.27 +$29.32
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
52 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 2:25pm ET $27.95 455 $12,719.52
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 2:40pm ET $28.04 455 $12,759.34 $12,777.08 +$39.81
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
53 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $27.72 460 $12,751.20
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 10:10am ET $27.89 460 $12,827.10 $12,852.98 +$75.90
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
54 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 11:10am ET $27.92 460 $12,840.90
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 12:00pm ET $27.99 460 $12,873.10 $12,885.18 +$32.20
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
55 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 1:05pm ET $28.44 453 $12,883.32
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 10:55am ET $27.91 453 $12,643.23 $12,645.09 $-240.09
(-1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
21.8h held
56 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 12:15pm ET $28.20 448 $12,635.84
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 3:50pm ET $27.75 448 $12,432.00 $12,441.25 $-203.84
(-1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.6h held
57 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 3:50pm ET $27.84 446 $12,416.68
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $27.45 446 $12,242.70 $12,267.27 $-173.98
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
58 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 12:40pm ET $27.33 448 $12,243.84
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 1:15pm ET $27.43 448 $12,290.88 $12,314.31 +$47.04
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
59 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 1:20pm ET $27.07 454 $12,289.78
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 2:40pm ET $27.08 454 $12,292.05 $12,316.58 +$2.27
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
60 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 3:35pm ET $26.15 470 $12,290.50
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $26.31 470 $12,363.35 $12,389.43 +$72.85
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
61 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $25.69 482 $12,383.21
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 11:30am ET $25.55 482 $12,315.10 $12,321.32 $-68.11
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
62 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 3:35pm ET $25.18 489 $12,313.02
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 11:35am ET $24.85 489 $12,151.65 $12,159.95 $-161.37
(-1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20h held
63 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 12:20pm ET $24.02 506 $12,154.12
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 1:55pm ET $23.99 506 $12,136.41 $12,142.24 $-17.71
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
64 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:00pm ET $24.42 497 $12,136.74
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 12:50pm ET $24.52 497 $12,188.92 $12,194.42 +$52.18
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
65 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 2:15pm ET $24.44 498 $12,173.61
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:00pm ET $24.53 498 $12,215.94 $12,236.76 +$42.33
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
66 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 3:30pm ET $23.66 517 $12,232.22
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $23.78 517 $12,294.21 $12,298.75 +$61.99
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held
67 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $24.61 499 $12,280.39
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 11:30am ET $24.65 499 $12,297.86 $12,316.21 +$17.46
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
68 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 2:00pm ET $26.07 472 $12,305.04
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 2:35pm ET $26.29 472 $12,408.88 $12,420.05 +$103.84
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
69 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $24.98 497 $12,412.58
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 10:45am ET $25.16 497 $12,502.04 $12,509.51 +$89.46
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
70 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:25pm ET $22.75 549 $12,487.01
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 1:45pm ET $22.73 549 $12,478.77 $12,501.27 $-8.24
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
71 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 1:40pm ET $22.60 553 $12,500.56
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $23.13 553 $12,790.89 $12,791.59 +$290.32
(+2.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
72 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $22.21 575 $12,770.75
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 10:30am ET $22.48 575 $12,923.13 $12,943.97 +$152.38
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,943.97
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,943.97
Total Return: +29.44%
Back to Professor Mean