Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:52:14

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74 overbought
20d Trend
+6.1%
5d Trend
+7.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.2/35
Total Return
0.9/25
Win Rate
8.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 14.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 14.0

30-Day Momentum

14
-1.2%
30d Return
55%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.5 Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,430.21
Current Value
$9,990.71
Period P&L
$-1,439.45
Max Drawdown
-4.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.19

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
69
Winners / Losers
39 / 30
Best Trade
+1.56%
Worst Trade
-5.06%
Avg Trade Return
-0.19%
Avg Hold Time
8.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,491,779.17
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,439.45
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,439.45
Gross Return
-12.59%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.59%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WMT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 69 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,430.21 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 3:20pm ET $122.12 93 $11,357.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $123.11 93 $11,449.23 $11,522.23 +$92.07
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $122.55 94 $11,519.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:50am ET $123.36 94 $11,595.84 $11,598.37 +$76.14
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 2:25pm ET $122.89 94 $11,551.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 2:35pm ET $123.27 94 $11,587.38 $11,634.10 +$35.73
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:10pm ET $123.36 94 $11,596.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $123.83 94 $11,640.49 $11,678.59 +$44.49
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $126.23 92 $11,613.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 12:05pm ET $123.39 92 $11,351.88 $11,417.31 $-261.28
(-2.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 3:00pm ET $129.05 88 $11,356.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:10pm ET $129.43 88 $11,389.84 $11,450.31 +$33.00
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:40pm ET $126.34 90 $11,370.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $126.62 90 $11,395.80 $11,475.51 +$25.20
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $122.74 93 $11,414.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $122.66 93 $11,407.38 $11,468.07 $-7.44
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET $123.51 92 $11,362.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:50am ET $123.99 92 $11,407.08 $11,512.23 +$44.16
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 11:40am ET $124.67 92 $11,469.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 12:30pm ET $124.83 92 $11,484.36 $11,526.95 +$14.72
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 2:15pm ET $128.06 90 $11,525.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $127.99 90 $11,519.10 $11,520.65 $-6.30
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:40am ET $129.07 89 $11,487.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:00am ET $129.68 89 $11,541.51 $11,574.93 +$54.28
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 11:20am ET $130.79 88 $11,509.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 11:50am ET $131.61 88 $11,581.68 $11,647.53 +$72.60
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 2:35pm ET $129.52 89 $11,527.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 3:10pm ET $130.02 89 $11,571.78 $11,692.03 +$44.50
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:35pm ET $127.92 91 $11,640.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:00pm ET $127.15 91 $11,570.65 $11,621.96 $-70.07
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
16 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:15pm ET $131.35 88 $11,558.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:10pm ET $131.44 88 $11,566.72 $11,629.88 +$7.92
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
17 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $130.74 88 $11,505.12 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 11:50am ET $130.09 88 $11,447.92 $11,572.68 $-57.20
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.9h held
18 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 3:50pm ET $130.35 88 $11,470.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 12:55pm ET $127.07 88 $11,182.16 $11,284.04 $-288.64
(-2.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9d held
19 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $129.26 87 $11,245.62 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 9:40am ET $131.28 87 $11,421.36 $11,459.78 +$175.74
(+1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
20 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 2:15pm ET $131.96 86 $11,348.56 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 3:35pm ET $132.17 86 $11,366.62 $11,477.84 +$18.06
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
21 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 1:10pm ET $134.41 85 $11,424.85 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 2:55pm ET $134.25 85 $11,411.25 $11,464.24 $-13.60
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
22 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $130.43 87 $11,347.41 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $123.83 87 $10,773.21 $10,890.04 $-574.20
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
23 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $121.21 89 $10,787.69 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 11:05am ET $119.89 89 $10,670.21 $10,772.56 $-117.48
(-1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
24 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 1:25pm ET $118.18 91 $10,754.83 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 2:15pm ET $118.42 91 $10,776.22 $10,793.95 +$21.39
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
25 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 10:45am ET $118.21 91 $10,757.11 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 12:25pm ET $117.95 91 $10,733.45 $10,770.29 $-23.66
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $114.79 93 $10,675.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:50am ET $115.69 93 $10,759.01 $10,853.83 +$83.54
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:20pm ET $113.07 95 $10,742.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $114.43 95 $10,870.85 $10,982.56 +$128.73
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.2h held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:10am ET $118.10 92 $10,865.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 12:05pm ET $118.32 92 $10,885.44 $11,002.80 +$20.24
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 3:00pm ET $119.88 91 $10,909.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 10:05am ET $119.70 91 $10,892.47 $10,986.19 $-16.61
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 1:05pm ET $119.20 92 $10,966.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 2:30pm ET $118.67 92 $10,917.64 $10,937.34 $-48.85
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 3:50pm ET $120.44 90 $10,840.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET $120.90 90 $10,881.45 $10,978.74 +$41.40
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET $118.68 92 $10,919.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 10:25am ET $120.23 92 $11,060.90 $11,120.62 +$141.88
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $119.75 92 $11,017.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $117.81 92 $10,838.52 $10,941.68 $-178.94
(-1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6.2h held
34 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 12:50pm ET $117.41 93 $10,919.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 2:50pm ET $117.31 93 $10,909.37 $10,931.91 $-9.77
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
35 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 3:15pm ET $119.22 91 $10,849.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 3:35pm ET $119.58 91 $10,881.78 $10,964.67 +$32.76
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
36 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $117.73 93 $10,948.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 1:55pm ET $115.77 93 $10,766.61 $10,782.39 $-182.28
(-1.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
4.4h held
37 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 3:00pm ET $116.70 92 $10,736.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 3:05pm ET $116.25 92 $10,694.54 $10,740.53 $-41.86
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
38 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:35am ET $113.96 94 $10,712.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 10:45am ET $114.04 94 $10,719.29 $10,747.57 +$7.04
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
39 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:35am ET $111.54 96 $10,708.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 12:30pm ET $109.80 96 $10,540.80 $10,580.05 $-167.52
(-1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9h held
40 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 2:20pm ET $111.48 94 $10,479.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 2:45pm ET $111.68 94 $10,497.92 $10,598.85 +$18.80
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
41 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $111.49 95 $10,591.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:35am ET $111.89 95 $10,630.02 $10,637.32 +$38.47
(+0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
42 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 12:15pm ET $113.58 93 $10,563.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 12:45pm ET $113.72 93 $10,575.96 $10,649.88 +$12.56
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
43 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 3:45pm ET $114.56 92 $10,539.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $115.35 92 $10,612.20 $10,722.56 +$72.68
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
44 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 2:30pm ET $113.54 94 $10,672.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $114.21 94 $10,736.21 $10,786.00 +$63.45
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19h held
45 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 11:45am ET $115.62 93 $10,752.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $114.35 93 $10,634.09 $10,667.43 $-118.58
(-1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
46 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $111.44 95 $10,586.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 1:35pm ET $110.27 95 $10,475.65 $10,556.28 $-111.15
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
4.1h held
47 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $107.76 97 $10,452.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 10:50am ET $107.94 97 $10,470.18 $10,573.74 +$17.46
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
48 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 11:35am ET $114.26 92 $10,511.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 2:10pm ET $113.57 92 $10,448.44 $10,510.26 $-63.48
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held
49 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $112.24 93 $10,438.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 11:55am ET $111.54 93 $10,373.22 $10,445.16 $-65.10
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
50 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 1:25pm ET $111.19 93 $10,340.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 2:10pm ET $111.44 93 $10,363.92 $10,468.41 +$23.25
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
51 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 3:35pm ET $110.46 94 $10,383.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 3:50pm ET $110.71 94 $10,406.74 $10,491.91 +$23.50
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
52 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 1:50pm ET $111.61 94 $10,491.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 3:35pm ET $111.81 94 $10,510.14 $10,510.71 +$18.80
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
53 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $111.02 94 $10,435.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 9:55am ET $111.62 94 $10,492.28 $10,567.11 +$56.40
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
54 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 11:30am ET $115.01 91 $10,465.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 2:05pm ET $115.08 91 $10,472.28 $10,573.48 +$6.37
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held
55 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $115.25 91 $10,487.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $114.15 91 $10,387.65 $10,473.83 $-99.65
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
56 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 3:45pm ET $115.35 90 $10,381.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $114.81 90 $10,332.74 $10,425.07 $-48.76
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
57 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET $106.51 97 $10,331.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 12:10pm ET $103.64 97 $10,053.56 $10,147.16 $-277.91
(-2.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held
58 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:35am ET $104.96 96 $10,076.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 11:15am ET $105.14 96 $10,093.39 $10,163.91 +$16.75
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
59 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $103.47 98 $10,140.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 11:15am ET $102.84 98 $10,078.32 $10,102.17 $-61.74
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
60 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 11:20am ET $102.79 98 $10,073.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 11:55am ET $103.04 98 $10,097.92 $10,126.67 +$24.50
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
61 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 2:45pm ET $105.87 95 $10,057.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 3:05pm ET $106.13 95 $10,082.35 $10,151.37 +$24.70
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
62 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 3:05pm ET $105.89 95 $10,060.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $106.69 95 $10,135.56 $10,226.90 +$75.53
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held
63 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $108.36 94 $10,185.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET $108.75 94 $10,222.50 $10,263.56 +$36.66
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
64 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET $106.04 96 $10,180.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 11:25am ET $105.95 96 $10,171.20 $10,254.44 $-9.12
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
65 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $105.73 96 $10,150.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $106.23 96 $10,198.08 $10,302.44 +$48.00
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
66 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $109.06 94 $10,251.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $108.69 94 $10,216.86 $10,268.13 $-34.31
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
67 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:50pm ET $108.14 94 $10,165.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 12:00pm ET $106.47 94 $10,008.18 $10,111.15 $-156.98
(-1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
21.2h held
68 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $107.08 94 $10,065.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $106.21 94 $9,984.21 $10,029.84 $-81.31
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
69 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 9:35am ET $109.73 91 $9,985.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 11:10am ET $109.30 91 $9,946.30 $9,990.71 $-39.13
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,990.71
Net Profit/Loss: $-9.29
Total Return: -0.09%
Back to Professor Mean