Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
3,938
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
36 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$8,982.87
Current Value
$8,593.61
Period P&L
$-389.22
Max Drawdown
-18.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
9 / 10
Best Trade
+2.69%
Worst Trade
-3.47%
Avg Trade Return
-0.22%
Avg Hold Time
6.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$319,695.57
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-389.22
Net P&L (after fees)
$-389.22
Gross Return
-4.33%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.33%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ADBE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 36 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $8,982.87 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $345.96 25 $8,649.00
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:35am ET $342.68 25 $8,566.88 $8,900.72 $-82.12
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 1:35pm ET $332.79 26 $8,652.54
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 1:55pm ET $333.74 26 $8,677.24 $8,925.42 +$24.70
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 1:55pm ET $339.80 26 $8,834.80
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 2:05pm ET $339.14 26 $8,817.64 $8,908.26 $-17.16
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 2:40pm ET $340.00 26 $8,840.00
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 9:30am ET $331.48 26 $8,618.48 $8,686.74 $-221.52
(-2.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $325.71 26 $8,468.46
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:35am ET $325.37 26 $8,459.62 $8,677.90 $-8.84
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET $320.98 27 $8,666.46
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 2:30pm ET $309.83 27 $8,365.41 $8,376.85 $-301.05
(-3.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
4.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:35am ET $302.84 27 $8,176.61
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:20am ET $303.77 27 $8,201.66 $8,401.90 +$25.05
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 3:10pm ET $296.71 28 $8,307.81
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $292.98 28 $8,203.44 $8,297.53 $-104.37
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:05am ET $289.67 28 $8,110.62
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 10:25am ET $291.39 28 $8,158.92 $8,345.83 +$48.30
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 11:40am ET $298.70 27 $8,064.90
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 2:00pm ET $298.56 27 $8,061.12 $8,342.05 $-3.78
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 1:40pm ET $304.26 27 $8,215.02
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 2:30pm ET $305.19 27 $8,240.13 $8,367.16 +$25.11
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 2:25pm ET $297.95 28 $8,342.46
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 2:30pm ET $299.48 28 $8,385.44 $8,410.14 +$42.98
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 12:10pm ET $291.79 28 $8,169.98
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 12:40pm ET $292.96 28 $8,202.88 $8,443.04 +$32.90
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 12:40pm ET $294.66 28 $8,250.35
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 3:20pm ET $292.59 28 $8,192.52 $8,385.20 $-57.83
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $264.94 31 $8,213.14
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 10:05am ET $272.06 31 $8,433.86 $8,605.92 +$220.72
(+2.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 12:50pm ET $270.92 31 $8,398.67
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 2:05pm ET $271.45 31 $8,414.95 $8,622.20 +$16.28
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 2:10pm ET $266.81 32 $8,537.92
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $267.85 32 $8,571.20 $8,655.48 +$33.28
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 2:30pm ET $267.80 32 $8,569.60
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $266.64 32 $8,532.48 $8,618.36 $-37.12
(-0.4%)
📅 Sim Ended
1.4h held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $259.82 33 $8,574.06
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:35am ET $259.07 33 $8,549.31 $8,593.61 $-24.75
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,593.61
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,406.39
Total Return: -14.06%
Back to Professor Mean