BRK-B Professor Mean's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 49 trades in period
+1.77%
Year to Date Return
$11,841.52
Current Value
65%
Win Rate
$11,635.46
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
65.5 neutral
20d Trend
+1.8%
5d Trend
+4.8%
EMA20 Dist
+2.7%
ATR%
1.4%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
43
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
12.9/35
Total Return
10.7/25
Win Rate
8.9/15
Profit Factor
4.1/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality
43.1/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 42.5
30-Day Momentum
17
-0.4%
30d Return
62%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.1
Conf: 0.95×
Declining (-25 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,381
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$11,635.46
Current Value
$11,841.52
Period P&L
$206.09
Max Drawdown
-4.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
49
Winners / Losers
32 /
17
Best Trade
+1.03%
Worst Trade
-0.75%
Avg Trade Return
+0.04%
Avg Hold Time
6.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,132,850.54
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$206.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$206.09
Gross Return
+1.77%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.77%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 BRK-B Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 49 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,635.46 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $497.50 | 23 | $11,442.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 10:25am ET | $500.68 | 23 | $11,515.64 | $11,708.51 |
+$73.08 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 2:55pm ET | $499.95 | 23 | $11,498.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 10:20am ET | $498.18 | 23 | $11,458.06 | $11,667.72 |
$-40.79 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.4h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 11:55am ET | $493.86 | 23 | $11,358.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 12:10pm ET | $494.61 | 23 | $11,376.03 | $11,684.97 |
+$17.25 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 1:30pm ET | $501.67 | 23 | $11,538.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 3:10pm ET | $501.60 | 23 | $11,536.80 | $11,683.35 |
$-1.62 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $495.88 | 23 | $11,405.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 10:05am ET | $498.55 | 23 | $11,466.65 | $11,744.76 |
+$61.41 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 11:25am ET | $494.01 | 23 | $11,362.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 12:20pm ET | $494.42 | 23 | $11,371.55 | $11,754.08 |
+$9.32 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 12:20pm ET | $493.40 | 23 | $11,348.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 1:30pm ET | $493.23 | 23 | $11,344.29 | $11,750.28 |
$-3.79 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 1:55pm ET | $493.67 | 23 | $11,354.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 2:20pm ET | $494.45 | 23 | $11,372.35 | $11,768.34 |
+$18.05 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 10:40am ET | $484.44 | 24 | $11,626.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 11:45am ET | $484.05 | 24 | $11,617.08 | $11,758.86 |
$-9.48 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 2:30pm ET | $483.75 | 24 | $11,609.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 3:10pm ET | $484.19 | 24 | $11,620.44 | $11,769.42 |
+$10.56 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 3:25pm ET | $480.62 | 24 | $11,534.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 3:50pm ET | $479.41 | 24 | $11,505.84 | $11,740.38 |
$-29.04 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
24m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $482.73 | 24 | $11,585.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $481.63 | 24 | $11,559.00 | $11,713.86 |
$-26.52 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $472.62 | 24 | $11,342.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 10:35am ET | $474.60 | 24 | $11,390.40 | $11,761.50 |
+$47.64 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 1:15pm ET | $484.54 | 24 | $11,628.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 2:10pm ET | $484.96 | 24 | $11,639.04 | $11,771.70 |
+$10.20 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 3:45pm ET | $494.06 | 23 | $11,363.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $499.15 | 23 | $11,480.45 | $11,888.77 |
+$117.07 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $501.01 | 23 | $11,523.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $499.36 | 23 | $11,485.28 | $11,850.82 |
$-37.95 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 11:25am ET | $505.14 | 23 | $11,618.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 1:05pm ET | $505.31 | 23 | $11,622.13 | $11,854.84 |
+$4.02 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 1:05pm ET | $500.13 | 23 | $11,502.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 2:10pm ET | $500.61 | 23 | $11,514.03 | $11,865.88 |
+$11.04 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 3:50pm ET | $500.11 | 23 | $11,502.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $501.76 | 23 | $11,540.48 | $11,903.94 |
+$38.06 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 3:05pm ET | $503.20 | 23 | $11,573.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $504.55 | 23 | $11,604.65 | $11,934.99 |
+$31.05 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.5h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 11:20am ET | $498.15 | 23 | $11,457.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 12:00pm ET | $498.95 | 23 | $11,475.85 | $11,953.39 |
+$18.40 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 3:40pm ET | $494.85 | 24 | $11,876.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $492.57 | 24 | $11,821.56 | $11,898.45 |
$-54.94 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 9:55am ET | $492.31 | 24 | $11,815.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 11:05am ET | $492.93 | 24 | $11,830.27 | $11,913.28 |
+$14.83 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 12:55pm ET | $502.90 | 23 | $11,566.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 2:00pm ET | $503.70 | 23 | $11,584.99 | $11,931.59 |
+$18.31 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 2:05pm ET | $478.18 | 24 | $11,476.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 2:25pm ET | $480.68 | 24 | $11,536.32 | $11,991.47 |
+$59.88 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $497.08 | 24 | $11,929.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 11:50am ET | $493.65 | 24 | $11,847.62 | $11,909.17 |
$-82.30 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $495.50 | 24 | $11,892.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 11:20am ET | $491.81 | 24 | $11,803.44 | $11,820.61 |
$-88.56 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
21.1h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 3:05pm ET | $491.37 | 24 | $11,792.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 3:10pm ET | $492.15 | 24 | $11,811.60 | $11,839.33 |
+$18.72 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 12:25pm ET | $491.74 | 24 | $11,801.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 1:25pm ET | $492.03 | 24 | $11,808.75 | $11,846.32 |
+$6.99 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $490.21 | 24 | $11,765.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 1:00pm ET | $486.56 | 24 | $11,677.45 | $11,758.61 |
$-87.71 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.5h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 3:35pm ET | $481.15 | 24 | $11,547.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $483.12 | 24 | $11,594.88 | $11,805.89 |
+$47.28 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $479.14 | 24 | $11,499.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 10:05am ET | $481.08 | 24 | $11,546.04 | $11,852.57 |
+$46.68 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 3:50pm ET | $477.41 | 24 | $11,457.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $475.79 | 24 | $11,418.84 | $11,813.57 |
$-39.00 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $472.15 | 25 | $11,803.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 10:35am ET | $473.82 | 25 | $11,845.50 | $11,855.20 |
+$41.63 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 2:05pm ET | $475.89 | 24 | $11,421.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 2:20pm ET | $476.58 | 24 | $11,437.92 | $11,871.65 |
+$16.45 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 11:50am ET | $479.11 | 24 | $11,498.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 12:40pm ET | $479.72 | 24 | $11,513.28 | $11,886.29 |
+$14.64 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:10pm ET | $477.55 | 24 | $11,461.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 2:55pm ET | $476.86 | 24 | $11,444.52 | $11,869.49 |
$-16.80 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 3:10pm ET | $476.77 | 24 | $11,442.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET | $477.87 | 24 | $11,468.88 | $11,895.77 |
+$26.28 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 3:15pm ET | $485.98 | 24 | $11,663.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $483.69 | 24 | $11,608.61 | $11,840.74 |
$-55.03 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $478.37 | 24 | $11,480.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 10:15am ET | $479.59 | 24 | $11,510.16 | $11,870.02 |
+$29.28 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:45am ET | $475.33 | 24 | $11,407.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 11:05am ET | $475.40 | 24 | $11,409.60 | $11,871.82 |
+$1.80 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 12:10pm ET | $472.42 | 25 | $11,810.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 1:35pm ET | $472.51 | 25 | $11,812.70 | $11,873.90 |
+$2.08 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 3:35pm ET | $475.63 | 24 | $11,415.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 10:15am ET | $475.30 | 24 | $11,407.20 | $11,866.10 |
$-7.80 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 2:25pm ET | $468.51 | 25 | $11,712.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 3:20pm ET | $468.96 | 25 | $11,723.98 | $11,877.34 |
+$11.24 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 3:50pm ET | $471.51 | 25 | $11,787.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $469.52 | 25 | $11,738.00 | $11,827.59 |
$-49.75 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 1:10pm ET | $474.21 | 24 | $11,381.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 2:55pm ET | $473.60 | 24 | $11,366.40 | $11,812.95 |
$-14.64 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 1:25pm ET | $475.25 | 24 | $11,406.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 2:15pm ET | $475.96 | 24 | $11,423.16 | $11,830.11 |
+$17.16 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 12:30pm ET | $475.30 | 24 | $11,407.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 1:30pm ET | $475.52 | 24 | $11,412.36 | $11,835.27 |
+$5.16 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 1:10pm ET | $464.88 | 25 | $11,622.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 1:50pm ET | $465.13 | 25 | $11,628.25 | $11,841.52 |
+$6.25 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,841.52
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,841.52
Total Return:
+18.42%