Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
3,491
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
34 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$11,784.69
Current Value
$11,633.95
Period P&L
$-150.73
Max Drawdown
-6.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
5 / 11
Best Trade
+1.13%
Worst Trade
-0.76%
Avg Trade Return
-0.08%
Avg Hold Time
3.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$372,940.71
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-150.73
Net P&L (after fees)
$-150.73
Gross Return
-1.28%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.28%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 C Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 34 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,784.69 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 2:05pm ET $123.66 95 $11,747.23
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 3:00pm ET $123.87 95 $11,767.18 $11,804.64 +$19.95
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET $121.63 97 $11,797.63
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 11:00am ET $121.34 97 $11,769.98 $11,776.99 $-27.64
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 1:00pm ET $121.49 96 $11,663.04
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:15pm ET $120.69 96 $11,586.24 $11,700.19 $-76.80
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $117.20 99 $11,602.31
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 11:45am ET $117.19 99 $11,601.61 $11,699.50 $-0.69
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 12:05pm ET $116.93 100 $11,693.00
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 2:55pm ET $116.38 100 $11,638.00 $11,644.50 $-55.00
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 1:55pm ET $118.47 98 $11,610.06
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 2:45pm ET $118.68 98 $11,630.64 $11,665.08 +$20.58
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:20am ET $114.09 102 $11,637.18
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 12:25pm ET $114.03 102 $11,630.55 $11,658.45 $-6.63
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 2:35pm ET $115.60 100 $11,559.50
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $115.66 100 $11,566.00 $11,664.95 +$6.50
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 3:40pm ET $114.85 101 $11,599.85
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $115.48 101 $11,663.48 $11,728.58 +$63.63
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 11:35am ET $114.30 102 $11,658.60
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 2:00pm ET $113.99 102 $11,626.47 $11,696.45 $-32.13
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 11:20am ET $115.41 101 $11,656.41
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 1:40pm ET $115.01 101 $11,615.51 $11,655.54 $-40.91
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 3:15pm ET $116.54 100 $11,654.00
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $117.86 100 $11,786.00 $11,787.54 +$132.00
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 12:30pm ET $118.43 99 $11,724.57
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 2:50pm ET $117.53 99 $11,635.47 $11,698.44 $-89.10
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:55pm ET $122.30 95 $11,618.50
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:35pm ET $122.21 95 $11,609.95 $11,689.89 $-8.55
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 3:35pm ET $124.09 94 $11,664.46
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $123.99 94 $11,654.59 $11,680.02 $-9.87
(-0.1%)
📅 Sim Ended
18m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:15am ET $120.20 97 $11,659.40
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 11:40am ET $119.72 97 $11,613.32 $11,633.95 $-46.07
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,633.95
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,633.95
Total Return: +16.34%
Back to Professor Mean