Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,958
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
36 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$14,456.20
Current Value
$12,646.85
Period P&L
$-1,809.42
Max Drawdown
-26.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.26

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
5 / 13
Best Trade
+6.30%
Worst Trade
-10.41%
Avg Trade Return
-0.79%
Avg Hold Time
16.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$508,367.60
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,809.42
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,809.42
Gross Return
-12.52%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.52%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 36 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $14,456.20 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 1:15pm ET $114.35 128 $14,636.80
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:45am ET $113.31 128 $14,503.68 $14,568.90 $-133.12
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 1:15pm ET $121.49 119 $14,456.72
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 1:55pm ET $122.07 119 $14,526.33 $14,638.52 +$69.61
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET $118.46 123 $14,570.15
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 11:05am ET $118.84 123 $14,617.32 $14,685.69 +$47.17
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 2:55pm ET $115.76 126 $14,585.76
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 9:30am ET $117.10 126 $14,753.97 $14,853.90 +$168.21
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 12:35pm ET $117.74 126 $14,834.61
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 2:15pm ET $117.64 126 $14,822.63 $14,841.91 $-11.98
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 9:35am ET $118.35 125 $14,793.75
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:40am ET $116.86 125 $14,606.88 $14,655.04 $-186.87
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:40am ET $117.37 124 $14,553.88
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 12:05pm ET $115.86 124 $14,366.64 $14,467.80 $-187.24
(-1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 2:15pm ET $109.19 132 $14,412.47
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $105.79 132 $13,964.29 $14,019.62 $-448.18
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:35am ET $106.51 131 $13,952.81
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 1:25pm ET $105.92 131 $13,875.52 $13,942.33 $-77.29
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 3:00pm ET $107.97 129 $13,928.76
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:50am ET $107.74 129 $13,897.82 $13,911.38 $-30.95
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 12:45pm ET $105.53 131 $13,824.46
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 2:15pm ET $105.42 131 $13,810.02 $13,896.95 $-14.44
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 2:25pm ET $103.35 134 $13,848.90
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:35am ET $102.42 134 $13,724.28 $13,772.33 $-124.62
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.2h held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 11:20am ET $101.70 135 $13,729.50
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 2:20pm ET $100.84 135 $13,613.40 $13,656.23 $-116.10
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3h held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:55pm ET $88.92 153 $13,604.00
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 3:15pm ET $89.63 153 $13,713.39 $13,765.62 +$109.39
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $82.66 166 $13,721.63
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 12:00pm ET $80.77 166 $13,407.69 $13,451.68 $-313.94
(-2.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 12:50pm ET $75.45 178 $13,430.10
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $80.20 178 $14,275.60 $14,297.18 +$845.50
(+6.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.7h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 3:30pm ET $87.54 163 $14,269.02
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:50pm ET $86.39 163 $14,081.57 $14,109.73 $-187.45
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $85.72 164 $14,058.08
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $76.80 164 $12,595.20 $12,646.85 $-1,462.88
(-10.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,646.85
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,646.85
Total Return: +26.47%
Back to Professor Mean