Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
2,867
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
35 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$12,424.54
Current Value
$12,585.38
Period P&L
$160.83
Max Drawdown
-17.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
11 / 8
Best Trade
+2.08%
Worst Trade
-1.62%
Avg Trade Return
+0.07%
Avg Hold Time
2.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$459,608.62
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$160.83
Net P&L (after fees)
$160.83
Gross Return
+1.29%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.29%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 35 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $12,424.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 12:55pm ET $556.32 22 $12,239.04
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 2:10pm ET $557.54 22 $12,265.88 $12,451.38 +$26.84
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $564.03 22 $12,408.66
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 3:35pm ET $565.72 22 $12,445.84 $12,488.56 +$37.18
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 1:15pm ET $597.23 20 $11,944.60
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET $587.58 20 $11,751.60 $12,295.56 $-193.00
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 10:40am ET $582.95 21 $12,241.95
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 11:40am ET $583.16 21 $12,246.36 $12,299.97 +$4.41
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET $570.41 21 $11,978.61
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 11:00am ET $564.79 21 $11,860.59 $12,181.95 $-118.02
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 10:50am ET $543.45 22 $11,955.79
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 1:30pm ET $538.57 22 $11,848.54 $12,074.70 $-107.25
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 2:10pm ET $534.51 22 $11,759.22
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 3:15pm ET $534.35 22 $11,755.70 $12,071.18 $-3.52
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $524.39 23 $12,060.97
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET $526.95 23 $12,119.85 $12,130.06 +$58.88
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 1:50pm ET $529.61 22 $11,651.42
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 1:55pm ET $528.35 22 $11,623.70 $12,102.34 $-27.72
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $520.71 23 $11,976.33
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:35am ET $524.59 23 $12,065.57 $12,191.58 +$89.24
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:45am ET $526.94 23 $12,119.51
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 10:35am ET $530.33 23 $12,197.48 $12,269.55 +$77.97
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 10:50am ET $523.64 23 $12,043.61
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 12:05pm ET $523.53 23 $12,041.19 $12,267.14 $-2.42
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 12:05pm ET $503.96 24 $12,095.04
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 2:05pm ET $504.34 24 $12,104.16 $12,276.26 +$9.12
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 3:10pm ET $503.60 24 $12,086.40
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 3:25pm ET $504.99 24 $12,119.76 $12,309.62 +$33.36
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:40am ET $493.77 24 $11,850.48
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:55am ET $497.52 24 $11,940.54 $12,399.68 +$90.06
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:55am ET $466.44 26 $12,127.44
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 10:15am ET $476.12 26 $12,379.17 $12,651.41 +$251.73
(+2.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 12:40pm ET $481.96 26 $12,530.96
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 2:10pm ET $480.05 26 $12,481.30 $12,601.75 $-49.66
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:35pm ET $490.68 25 $12,267.00
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 2:10pm ET $492.11 25 $12,302.75 $12,637.50 +$35.75
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $495.48 25 $12,386.88
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:35am ET $493.39 25 $12,334.75 $12,585.38 $-52.12
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,585.38
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,585.38
Total Return: +25.85%
Back to Professor Mean