Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-23 15:57:08

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
24.1 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

34
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.5/35
Total Return
12.0/25
Win Rate
8.3/15
Profit Factor
2.5/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 34.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 33.7

30-Day Momentum

17
-2.6%
30d Return
62%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.1 Conf: 0.95×
Declining (-16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,731
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
123 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$12,424.54
Current Value
$12,635.70
Period P&L
$211.15
Max Drawdown
-17.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
69
Winners / Losers
41 / 28
Best Trade
+2.19%
Worst Trade
-3.15%
Avg Trade Return
+0.03%
Avg Hold Time
4.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,706,467.50
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$211.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$211.15
Gross Return
+1.70%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.70%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 123 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 69 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $12,424.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 12:55pm ET $556.32 22 $12,239.04
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 2:10pm ET $557.54 22 $12,265.88 $12,451.38 +$26.84
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $564.03 22 $12,408.66
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 3:35pm ET $565.72 22 $12,445.84 $12,488.56 +$37.18
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 1:15pm ET $597.23 20 $11,944.60
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET $587.58 20 $11,751.60 $12,295.56 $-193.00
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 10:40am ET $582.95 21 $12,241.95
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 11:40am ET $583.16 21 $12,246.36 $12,299.97 +$4.41
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET $570.41 21 $11,978.61
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 11:00am ET $564.79 21 $11,860.59 $12,181.95 $-118.02
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 10:50am ET $543.45 22 $11,955.79
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 1:30pm ET $538.57 22 $11,848.54 $12,074.70 $-107.25
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 2:10pm ET $534.51 22 $11,759.22
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 3:15pm ET $534.35 22 $11,755.70 $12,071.18 $-3.52
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $524.39 23 $12,060.97
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET $526.95 23 $12,119.85 $12,130.06 +$58.88
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 1:50pm ET $529.61 22 $11,651.42
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 1:55pm ET $528.35 22 $11,623.70 $12,102.34 $-27.72
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $520.71 23 $11,976.33
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:35am ET $524.59 23 $12,065.57 $12,191.58 +$89.24
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:45am ET $526.94 23 $12,119.51
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 10:35am ET $530.33 23 $12,197.48 $12,269.55 +$77.97
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 10:50am ET $523.64 23 $12,043.61
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 12:05pm ET $523.53 23 $12,041.19 $12,267.14 $-2.42
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 12:05pm ET $503.96 24 $12,095.04
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 2:05pm ET $504.34 24 $12,104.16 $12,276.26 +$9.12
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 3:10pm ET $503.60 24 $12,086.40
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 3:25pm ET $504.99 24 $12,119.76 $12,309.62 +$33.36
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:40am ET $493.77 24 $11,850.48
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:55am ET $497.52 24 $11,940.54 $12,399.68 +$90.06
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:55am ET $466.44 26 $12,127.44
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 10:15am ET $476.12 26 $12,379.17 $12,651.41 +$251.73
(+2.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 12:40pm ET $481.96 26 $12,530.96
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 2:10pm ET $480.05 26 $12,481.30 $12,601.75 $-49.66
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:35pm ET $490.68 25 $12,267.00
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 2:10pm ET $492.11 25 $12,302.75 $12,637.50 +$35.75
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $495.48 25 $12,386.88
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:35am ET $493.39 25 $12,334.75 $12,585.38 $-52.12
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 9:35am ET $492.00 25 $12,300.00
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 9:40am ET $494.50 25 $12,362.50 $12,647.88 +$62.50
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 2:40pm ET $496.84 25 $12,421.00
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 3:50pm ET $498.61 25 $12,465.25 $12,692.13 +$44.25
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $500.00 25 $12,500.00
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:45am ET $496.48 25 $12,411.88 $12,604.01 $-88.12
(-0.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 10:05am ET $489.25 25 $12,231.25
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 10:20am ET $492.36 25 $12,309.12 $12,681.88 +$77.87
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $499.71 25 $12,492.75
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 11:35am ET $501.45 25 $12,536.37 $12,725.50 +$43.62
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
25 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $490.45 25 $12,261.25
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 11:10am ET $490.44 25 $12,261.00 $12,725.25 $-0.25
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
26 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 2:00pm ET $502.49 25 $12,562.25
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 3:45pm ET $502.01 25 $12,550.25 $12,713.25 $-12.00
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $485.30 26 $12,617.93
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 11:00am ET $484.43 26 $12,595.18 $12,690.50 $-22.75
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
28 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 10:15am ET $484.95 26 $12,608.57
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 10:50am ET $490.12 26 $12,743.12 $12,825.05 +$134.55
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
29 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:45am ET $488.14 26 $12,691.64
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 1:00pm ET $478.36 26 $12,437.23 $12,570.64 $-254.41
(-2.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held
30 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 3:40pm ET $470.82 26 $12,241.32
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $478.56 26 $12,442.56 $12,771.88 +$201.24
(+1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
31 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 1:40pm ET $484.70 26 $12,602.33
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 3:15pm ET $484.74 26 $12,603.33 $12,772.88 +$1.00
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
32 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 11:45am ET $480.13 26 $12,483.25
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 1:30pm ET $478.99 26 $12,453.74 $12,743.37 $-29.51
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
33 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $479.19 26 $12,458.94
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $473.75 26 $12,317.50 $12,601.93 $-141.44
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
34 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 10:00am ET $470.38 26 $12,229.88
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 10:50am ET $473.21 26 $12,303.46 $12,675.51 +$73.58
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
35 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 12:20pm ET $474.67 26 $12,341.55
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 1:35pm ET $474.48 26 $12,336.48 $12,670.44 $-5.07
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
36 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 12:50pm ET $451.88 28 $12,652.64
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 2:50pm ET $451.77 28 $12,649.59 $12,667.39 $-3.05
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
37 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $465.63 27 $12,572.01
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 2:40pm ET $467.02 27 $12,609.54 $12,704.92 +$37.53
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
38 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET $451.39 28 $12,639.06
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:25pm ET $451.42 28 $12,639.90 $12,705.76 +$0.84
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
39 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $458.45 27 $12,378.15
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:35am ET $454.86 27 $12,281.35 $12,608.96 $-96.80
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
40 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:45am ET $449.99 28 $12,599.72
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 12:50pm ET $450.80 28 $12,622.54 $12,631.78 +$22.82
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
41 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 1:10pm ET $468.49 26 $12,180.87
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 1:45pm ET $470.05 26 $12,221.43 $12,672.34 +$40.56
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
42 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:40am ET $465.02 27 $12,555.67
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 11:20am ET $460.29 27 $12,427.83 $12,544.50 $-127.84
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
43 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $471.58 26 $12,261.08
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:50pm ET $468.56 26 $12,182.56 $12,465.98 $-78.52
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
44 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:40am ET $461.01 27 $12,447.27
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:50am ET $465.15 27 $12,559.05 $12,577.76 +$111.78
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
45 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 3:10pm ET $483.42 26 $12,569.05
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:40pm ET $485.52 26 $12,623.65 $12,632.36 +$54.60
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
46 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:35am ET $475.44 26 $12,361.44
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:35am ET $477.32 26 $12,410.37 $12,681.29 +$48.93
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
47 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 1:00pm ET $473.82 26 $12,319.32
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:30pm ET $471.93 26 $12,270.18 $12,632.15 $-49.14
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held
48 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $460.00 27 $12,420.00
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 11:45am ET $451.55 27 $12,191.85 $12,404.00 $-228.15
(-1.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
49 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $457.46 27 $12,351.55
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:00pm ET $458.81 27 $12,387.87 $12,440.32 +$36.32
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
50 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $447.42 27 $12,080.34
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:00am ET $451.11 27 $12,180.06 $12,540.04 +$99.72
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
51 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $450.23 27 $12,156.21
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 10:40am ET $450.50 27 $12,163.50 $12,547.33 +$7.29
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
52 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:35am ET $428.13 29 $12,415.77
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 10:10am ET $431.68 29 $12,518.86 $12,650.42 +$103.09
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
53 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 11:25am ET $430.13 29 $12,473.77
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 11:50am ET $432.39 29 $12,539.17 $12,715.82 +$65.40
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
54 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $435.96 29 $12,642.84
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:50am ET $445.52 29 $12,919.94 $12,992.92 +$277.10
(+2.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
55 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 11:30am ET $437.05 29 $12,674.31
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 12:30pm ET $437.29 29 $12,681.41 $13,000.02 +$7.10
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
56 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 3:35pm ET $437.82 29 $12,696.78
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $441.03 29 $12,789.88 $13,093.12 +$93.10
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.7d held
57 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:35am ET $432.42 30 $12,972.60
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 1:15pm ET $418.80 30 $12,563.85 $12,684.37 $-408.75
(-3.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.7h held
58 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:40am ET $421.81 30 $12,654.30
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 10:15am ET $423.30 30 $12,699.00 $12,729.07 +$44.70
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
59 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 1:40pm ET $416.32 30 $12,489.60
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 1:45pm ET $417.93 30 $12,537.90 $12,777.37 +$48.30
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
60 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:20pm ET $401.22 31 $12,437.82
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 3:25pm ET $400.23 31 $12,407.13 $12,746.68 $-30.69
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
61 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:25pm ET $414.40 30 $12,432.00
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 1:45pm ET $415.89 30 $12,476.70 $12,791.38 +$44.70
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
62 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:50pm ET $422.58 30 $12,677.25
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:55pm ET $421.12 30 $12,633.60 $12,747.73 $-43.65
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
63 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 12:40pm ET $423.48 30 $12,704.40
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 1:40pm ET $425.21 30 $12,756.30 $12,799.63 +$51.90
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
64 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 1:40pm ET $416.70 30 $12,501.00
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $408.00 30 $12,240.00 $12,538.63 $-261.00
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held
65 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $407.17 30 $12,215.25
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 10:50am ET $409.30 30 $12,279.00 $12,602.38 +$63.75
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
66 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:10pm ET $415.40 30 $12,462.00
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 1:10pm ET $415.45 30 $12,463.50 $12,603.88 +$1.50
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
67 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 3:25pm ET $416.51 30 $12,495.30
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $413.00 30 $12,390.00 $12,498.58 $-105.30
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held
68 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $400.80 31 $12,424.65
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:50am ET $405.90 31 $12,583.05 $12,656.99 +$158.41
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
69 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 11:05am ET $401.49 31 $12,446.34
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 12:35pm ET $400.81 31 $12,425.05 $12,635.70 $-21.29
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,635.70
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,635.70
Total Return: +26.36%
Back to Professor Mean