Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
2,934
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
33 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$12,332.03
Current Value
$12,211.45
Period P&L
$-120.56
Max Drawdown
-4.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
7 / 11
Best Trade
+0.65%
Worst Trade
-1.07%
Avg Trade Return
-0.05%
Avg Hold Time
4.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$433,480.34
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-120.56
Net P&L (after fees)
$-120.56
Gross Return
-0.98%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.98%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MCD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 33 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $12,332.03 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 3:00pm ET $306.21 40 $12,248.20
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $302.95 40 $12,117.80 $12,191.80 $-130.40
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $301.21 40 $12,048.40
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 11:20am ET $301.16 40 $12,046.40 $12,189.80 $-2.00
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 1:40pm ET $303.25 40 $12,130.00
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 3:20pm ET $302.98 40 $12,119.20 $12,179.00 $-10.80
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:40am ET $303.51 40 $12,140.20
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:45am ET $304.92 40 $12,196.80 $12,235.60 +$56.60
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 9:45am ET $306.71 39 $11,961.69
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 11:20am ET $306.06 39 $11,936.27 $12,210.19 $-25.42
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 1:40pm ET $306.46 39 $11,951.94
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 3:45pm ET $306.46 39 $11,951.94 $12,210.19 $0.00
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 1:25pm ET $307.01 39 $11,973.39
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 3:05pm ET $306.69 39 $11,960.91 $12,197.71 $-12.48
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 9:40am ET $306.92 39 $11,970.06
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 11:15am ET $306.59 39 $11,956.82 $12,184.47 $-13.24
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 1:35pm ET $304.54 40 $12,181.60
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 1:40pm ET $303.85 40 $12,153.80 $12,156.67 $-27.80
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 2:30pm ET $306.15 39 $11,939.66
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:30pm ET $306.03 39 $11,935.17 $12,152.18 $-4.49
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 11:10am ET $311.47 39 $12,147.33
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 12:50pm ET $311.18 39 $12,136.02 $12,140.87 $-11.31
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 3:40pm ET $313.57 38 $11,915.66
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $314.14 38 $11,937.32 $12,162.53 +$21.66
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 12:55pm ET $315.73 38 $11,997.74
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 1:20pm ET $316.48 38 $12,026.24 $12,191.03 +$28.50
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 12:40pm ET $316.95 38 $12,044.29
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 1:45pm ET $316.78 38 $12,037.64 $12,184.38 $-6.65
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 1:55pm ET $319.94 38 $12,157.72
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 3:05pm ET $320.18 38 $12,166.84 $12,193.50 +$9.12
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $322.20 37 $11,921.58
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:45am ET $324.10 37 $11,991.70 $12,263.62 +$70.12
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:45am ET $323.82 37 $11,981.16
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:25am ET $325.90 37 $12,058.48 $12,340.95 +$77.33
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:20pm ET $326.62 37 $12,084.94
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $323.12 37 $11,955.44 $12,211.45 $-129.50
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,211.45
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,211.45
Total Return: +22.11%
Back to Professor Mean