Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
2,911
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
34 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,958.01
Current Value
$10,874.40
Period P&L
$-83.65
Max Drawdown
-9.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
9 / 7
Best Trade
+2.74%
Worst Trade
-3.39%
Avg Trade Return
-0.04%
Avg Hold Time
11h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$338,987.77
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-83.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$-83.65
Gross Return
-0.76%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.76%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 34 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,958.01 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 2:35pm ET $187.56 58 $10,878.48
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:55am ET $186.84 58 $10,836.80 $10,916.37 $-41.68
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET $185.52 58 $10,760.16
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 11:40am ET $185.33 58 $10,749.14 $10,905.35 $-11.02
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 1:35pm ET $185.36 58 $10,750.88
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:20pm ET $185.19 58 $10,741.02 $10,895.49 $-9.86
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $184.52 59 $10,886.68
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 11:15am ET $184.78 59 $10,902.02 $10,910.83 +$15.34
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 1:00pm ET $182.67 59 $10,777.53
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 1:35pm ET $183.40 59 $10,820.60 $10,953.90 +$43.07
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 3:45pm ET $179.91 60 $10,794.60
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 3:50pm ET $180.77 60 $10,846.20 $11,005.50 +$51.60
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 2:20pm ET $190.99 57 $10,886.34
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $184.51 57 $10,517.08 $10,636.23 $-369.27
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 12:10pm ET $182.12 58 $10,562.96
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 12:55pm ET $182.80 58 $10,602.40 $10,675.67 +$39.44
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 1:20pm ET $184.45 57 $10,513.65
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET $179.71 57 $10,243.47 $10,405.49 $-270.18
(-2.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $182.70 56 $10,231.20
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 11:35am ET $181.60 56 $10,169.60 $10,343.89 $-61.60
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $181.00 57 $10,317.00
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:55am ET $181.83 57 $10,364.31 $10,391.20 +$47.31
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 3:30pm ET $184.65 56 $10,340.40
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 3:35pm ET $184.48 56 $10,330.74 $10,381.54 $-9.66
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:50am ET $180.42 57 $10,283.94
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 10:20am ET $182.05 57 $10,377.13 $10,474.73 +$93.19
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:45pm ET $175.18 59 $10,335.62
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $179.99 59 $10,619.12 $10,758.23 +$283.50
(+2.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:15pm ET $182.64 58 $10,593.12
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 1:35pm ET $183.06 58 $10,617.48 $10,782.59 +$24.36
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 1:40pm ET $174.15 61 $10,623.15
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 2:25pm ET $175.65 61 $10,714.95 $10,874.40 +$91.81
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,874.40
Net Profit/Loss: +$874.40
Total Return: +8.74%
Back to Professor Mean