Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,125
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
36 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,283.40
Current Value
$9,547.44
Period P&L
$-735.89
Max Drawdown
-10.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.48

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
9 / 9
Best Trade
+0.42%
Worst Trade
-2.28%
Avg Trade Return
-0.42%
Avg Hold Time
11.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$356,117.79
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-735.89
Net P&L (after fees)
$-735.89
Gross Return
-7.16%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.16%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MSFT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 36 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,283.40 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 9:35am ET $482.32 21 $10,128.68
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:40am ET $480.15 21 $10,083.15 $10,237.79 $-45.53
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 1:05pm ET $473.98 21 $9,953.58
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 1:45pm ET $475.19 21 $9,978.89 $10,263.09 +$25.30
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 1:55pm ET $487.58 21 $10,239.18
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 2:00pm ET $486.79 21 $10,222.59 $10,246.50 $-16.59
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 2:10pm ET $476.49 21 $10,006.29
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:10pm ET $477.66 21 $10,030.76 $10,270.97 +$24.46
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 10:25am ET $478.59 21 $10,050.39
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 11:10am ET $479.46 21 $10,068.66 $10,289.24 +$18.27
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 12:55pm ET $467.69 22 $10,289.18
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 3:00pm ET $467.91 22 $10,293.91 $10,293.97 +$4.73
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 10:45am ET $457.65 22 $10,068.19
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:55am ET $459.46 22 $10,108.12 $10,333.90 +$39.93
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 3:20pm ET $461.27 22 $10,147.94
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $451.40 22 $9,930.69 $10,116.64 $-217.25
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $450.65 22 $9,914.30
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET $449.43 22 $9,887.37 $10,089.72 $-26.93
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 2:45pm ET $450.53 22 $9,911.66
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:45pm ET $450.90 22 $9,919.80 $10,097.86 +$8.14
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $465.81 21 $9,782.01
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:45am ET $467.70 21 $9,821.70 $10,137.55 +$39.69
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 3:25pm ET $480.60 21 $10,092.60
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 9:45am ET $481.31 21 $10,107.51 $10,152.46 +$14.91
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:45am ET $432.38 23 $9,944.74
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 11:35am ET $425.12 23 $9,777.76 $9,985.48 $-166.98
(-1.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 3:00pm ET $428.52 23 $9,855.96
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 3:05pm ET $427.64 23 $9,835.72 $9,965.24 $-20.24
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $416.55 23 $9,580.76
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 1:05pm ET $412.42 23 $9,485.77 $9,870.25 $-94.99
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.6h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 3:25pm ET $415.16 23 $9,548.68
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $405.70 23 $9,331.10 $9,652.67 $-217.58
(-2.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 3:30pm ET $412.59 23 $9,489.59
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:45pm ET $414.33 23 $9,529.56 $9,692.64 +$39.97
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:35am ET $409.70 23 $9,423.10
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 12:20pm ET $403.39 23 $9,277.90 $9,547.44 $-145.20
(-1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,547.44
Net Profit/Loss: $-452.56
Total Return: -4.53%
Back to Professor Mean