Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
3,114
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
35 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,416.21
Current Value
$12,385.36
Period P&L
$1,969.12
Max Drawdown
-16.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.29

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
8 / 8
Best Trade
+13.56%
Worst Trade
-2.57%
Avg Trade Return
+1.18%
Avg Hold Time
5.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$343,464.05
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,969.12
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,969.12
Gross Return
+18.90%
Net Return (after fees)
+18.90%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NET Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 35 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,416.21 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 2:25pm ET $198.90 52 $10,342.80
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 3:00pm ET $199.18 52 $10,357.36 $10,430.81 +$14.56
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 2:05pm ET $203.32 51 $10,369.32
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 3:50pm ET $203.12 51 $10,359.12 $10,420.61 $-10.20
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 9:45am ET $185.34 56 $10,379.04
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 11:05am ET $185.35 56 $10,379.60 $10,421.17 +$0.56
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 9:35am ET $187.23 55 $10,297.38
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:45am ET $189.02 55 $10,396.10 $10,519.90 +$98.73
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 2:20pm ET $186.34 56 $10,435.04
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 9:40am ET $181.55 56 $10,166.92 $10,251.77 $-268.12
(-2.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:40am ET $180.79 56 $10,123.96
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:40am ET $182.12 56 $10,198.44 $10,326.25 +$74.48
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:30am ET $175.50 58 $10,179.00
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 11:35am ET $174.01 58 $10,092.29 $10,239.54 $-86.71
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 12:40pm ET $175.55 58 $10,181.61
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 12:50pm ET $174.32 58 $10,110.56 $10,168.49 $-71.05
(-0.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 3:50pm ET $189.65 53 $10,051.45
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $215.36 53 $11,414.08 $11,531.12 +$1,362.63
(+13.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET $203.60 56 $11,401.60
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 9:35am ET $198.62 56 $11,122.72 $11,252.24 $-278.88
(-2.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:35am ET $179.96 62 $11,157.52
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:50am ET $178.99 62 $11,097.38 $11,192.10 $-60.14
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 12:05pm ET $177.51 63 $11,183.13
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 12:25pm ET $178.56 63 $11,249.28 $11,258.25 +$66.15
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:25pm ET $182.59 61 $11,137.99
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $182.54 61 $11,134.94 $11,255.20 $-3.05
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 1:10pm ET $165.84 67 $11,111.28
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $165.75 67 $11,105.25 $11,249.17 $-6.03
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 12:20pm ET $172.49 65 $11,212.17
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 12:45pm ET $174.16 65 $11,320.40 $11,357.40 +$108.23
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $180.39 62 $11,184.18
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $196.97 62 $12,212.14 $12,385.36 +$1,027.96
(+9.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,385.36
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,385.36
Total Return: +23.85%
Back to Professor Mean