Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,509
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
36 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$11,264.76
Current Value
$11,380.66
Period P&L
$115.91
Max Drawdown
-11.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
9 / 8
Best Trade
+1.60%
Worst Trade
-0.98%
Avg Trade Return
+0.06%
Avg Hold Time
5.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$385,251.28
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$115.91
Net P&L (after fees)
$115.91
Gross Return
+1.03%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.03%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 USO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 36 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,264.76 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:00am ET $69.73 161 $11,226.53
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:40am ET $70.32 161 $11,321.52 $11,359.74 +$94.99
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 11:55am ET $67.69 167 $11,303.86
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 1:55pm ET $67.49 167 $11,270.00 $11,325.87 $-33.87
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 2:25pm ET $71.15 159 $11,312.85
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 10:00am ET $70.89 159 $11,271.51 $11,284.53 $-41.34
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 12:00pm ET $73.49 153 $11,243.97
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 1:00pm ET $73.62 153 $11,263.86 $11,304.42 +$19.89
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 3:00pm ET $73.22 154 $11,275.88
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 3:05pm ET $72.50 154 $11,165.00 $11,193.54 $-110.88
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 3:25pm ET $71.08 157 $11,158.84
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET $72.21 157 $11,336.97 $11,371.68 +$178.13
(+1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 1:45pm ET $72.74 156 $11,347.44
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 2:25pm ET $72.93 156 $11,377.08 $11,401.32 +$29.64
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET $72.06 158 $11,384.69
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 9:35am ET $71.95 158 $11,368.10 $11,384.73 $-16.59
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $73.50 154 $11,318.23
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 11:30am ET $73.40 154 $11,303.60 $11,370.10 $-14.63
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 11:50am ET $75.85 149 $11,301.65
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 12:40pm ET $76.04 149 $11,329.96 $11,398.41 +$28.31
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 1:30pm ET $78.53 145 $11,386.85
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 2:05pm ET $79.22 145 $11,486.18 $11,497.73 +$99.33
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $75.31 152 $11,447.12
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 11:45am ET $75.11 152 $11,416.72 $11,467.33 $-30.40
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 2:00pm ET $76.04 150 $11,406.00
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 2:15pm ET $76.41 150 $11,461.50 $11,522.83 +$55.50
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 2:35pm ET $78.43 146 $11,450.78
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 2:45pm ET $77.79 146 $11,356.61 $11,428.66 $-94.17
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:30pm ET $77.65 147 $11,415.28
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $76.99 147 $11,316.80 $11,330.17 $-98.49
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 11:00am ET $77.63 145 $11,256.35
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:20pm ET $77.72 145 $11,269.40 $11,343.22 +$13.05
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 12:40pm ET $78.69 144 $11,331.36
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 1:20pm ET $78.95 144 $11,368.80 $11,380.66 +$37.44
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,380.66
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,380.66
Total Return: +13.81%
Back to Professor Mean