Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,851
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
36 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$11,015.04
Current Value
$10,962.12
Period P&L
$-52.88
Max Drawdown
-5.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.05

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
12 / 7
Best Trade
+0.46%
Worst Trade
-1.30%
Avg Trade Return
-0.02%
Avg Hold Time
10.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$410,066.99
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-52.88
Net P&L (after fees)
$-52.88
Gross Return
-0.48%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.48%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VOO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 36 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,015.04 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 3:55pm ET $627.08 17 $10,660.36
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $629.77 17 $10,706.06 $11,046.95 +$45.70
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 1:15pm ET $632.74 17 $10,756.55
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 1:40pm ET $633.27 17 $10,765.59 $11,055.99 +$9.04
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:15am ET $635.73 17 $10,807.41
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:30am ET $636.53 17 $10,821.01 $11,069.59 +$13.60
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 1:10pm ET $633.56 17 $10,770.52
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:10pm ET $633.87 17 $10,775.79 $11,074.86 +$5.27
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 3:50pm ET $638.74 17 $10,858.62
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $638.25 17 $10,850.25 $11,066.49 $-8.37
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:45am ET $638.99 17 $10,862.83
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 11:10am ET $638.11 17 $10,847.87 $11,051.53 $-14.96
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 12:55pm ET $638.23 17 $10,849.83
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 1:25pm ET $639.08 17 $10,864.36 $11,066.06 +$14.54
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $636.03 17 $10,812.51
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $627.78 17 $10,672.26 $10,925.81 $-140.25
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:40am ET $626.49 17 $10,650.33
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 1:10pm ET $625.58 17 $10,634.86 $10,910.34 $-15.47
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 1:55pm ET $634.59 17 $10,788.09
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 2:05pm ET $635.19 17 $10,798.23 $10,920.49 +$10.14
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 3:50pm ET $637.39 17 $10,835.66
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $637.06 17 $10,830.02 $10,914.84 $-5.64
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $639.74 17 $10,875.58
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET $641.36 17 $10,903.04 $10,942.30 +$27.46
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:40am ET $637.50 17 $10,837.50
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 11:30am ET $632.90 17 $10,759.30 $10,864.10 $-78.20
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 12:00pm ET $634.32 17 $10,783.50
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 12:25pm ET $635.58 17 $10,804.86 $10,885.45 +$21.36
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:55pm ET $639.62 17 $10,873.54
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $640.20 17 $10,883.40 $10,895.31 +$9.86
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.6h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 11:00am ET $631.89 17 $10,742.13
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 1:25pm ET $629.83 17 $10,707.11 $10,860.29 $-35.02
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 1:50pm ET $623.54 17 $10,600.18
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 2:10pm ET $625.91 17 $10,640.47 $10,900.58 +$40.29
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:25pm ET $638.50 17 $10,854.50
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 1:40pm ET $639.21 17 $10,866.57 $10,912.65 +$12.07
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:35pm ET $637.26 17 $10,833.42
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $640.17 17 $10,882.89 $10,962.12 +$49.47
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,962.12
Net Profit/Loss: +$962.12
Total Return: +9.62%
Back to Professor Mean