Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,556
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
36 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$9,276.50
Current Value
$9,815.85
Period P&L
$539.35
Max Drawdown
-13.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.34

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
12 / 5
Best Trade
+3.31%
Worst Trade
-1.88%
Avg Trade Return
+0.34%
Avg Hold Time
8.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$328,032.61
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$539.35
Net P&L (after fees)
$539.35
Gross Return
+5.81%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.81%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 36 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,276.50 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 3:45pm ET $45.58 203 $9,251.73
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $47.09 203 $9,558.26 $9,583.01 +$306.53
(+3.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:35am ET $46.65 205 $9,563.25
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 2:25pm ET $45.78 205 $9,383.88 $9,403.64 $-179.38
(-1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
4.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 3:30pm ET $45.15 208 $9,390.16
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET $45.64 208 $9,493.12 $9,506.60 +$102.96
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 12:50pm ET $46.58 204 $9,502.32
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 1:45pm ET $46.68 204 $9,521.70 $9,525.98 +$19.38
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 2:20pm ET $46.18 206 $9,512.05
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 3:25pm ET $46.22 206 $9,520.29 $9,534.22 +$8.24
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 3:45pm ET $46.92 203 $9,523.75
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET $47.48 203 $9,638.24 $9,648.71 +$114.49
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $47.44 203 $9,630.32
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:40am ET $47.78 203 $9,699.34 $9,717.73 +$69.02
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 1:40pm ET $47.68 203 $9,678.03
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 3:25pm ET $47.59 203 $9,659.84 $9,699.54 $-18.19
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 9:40am ET $48.50 199 $9,651.50
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 10:35am ET $48.64 199 $9,678.37 $9,726.41 +$26.86
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 12:50pm ET $49.33 197 $9,718.01
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 2:00pm ET $49.35 197 $9,720.97 $9,729.36 +$2.96
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 12:55pm ET $49.73 195 $9,697.35
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 2:05pm ET $49.92 195 $9,734.40 $9,766.41 +$37.05
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 2:55pm ET $50.60 193 $9,764.84
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 10:35am ET $50.51 193 $9,748.43 $9,750.01 $-16.41
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 1:55pm ET $50.09 194 $9,717.46
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 2:25pm ET $50.38 194 $9,773.72 $9,806.27 +$56.26
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $51.83 189 $9,795.87
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 11:50am ET $51.76 189 $9,783.58 $9,793.98 $-12.29
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:05pm ET $53.21 184 $9,789.72
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $53.27 184 $9,801.68 $9,805.94 +$11.96
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:30am ET $53.55 183 $9,799.65
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 10:45am ET $53.47 183 $9,785.92 $9,792.21 $-13.73
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 1:05pm ET $54.83 178 $9,760.63
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 1:25pm ET $54.97 178 $9,784.27 $9,815.85 +$23.64
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,815.85
Net Profit/Loss: $-184.15
Total Return: -1.84%
Back to Professor Mean