Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:41:38

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
23.9 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-9.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
3.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality 8.6/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 8.6

30-Day Momentum

9
-14.5%
30d Return
30%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$6,956.78
Current Value
$5,947.48
Period P&L
$-1,009.27
Max Drawdown
-40.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.56

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
3 / 7
Best Trade
+3.60%
Worst Trade
-4.17%
Avg Trade Return
-1.53%
Avg Hold Time
2.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$125,390.31
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,009.27
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,009.27
Gross Return
-14.51%
Net Return (after fees)
-14.51%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ADBE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $6,956.78 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 2:10pm ET $275.83 25 $6,895.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $265.52 25 $6,638.00 $6,698.87 $-257.88
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 10:20am ET $285.02 23 $6,555.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 11:05am ET $290.83 23 $6,689.09 $6,832.61 +$133.74
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
45m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 11:40am ET $292.61 23 $6,730.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET $283.71 23 $6,525.33 $6,627.80 $-204.81
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 11:40am ET $292.61 23 $6,730.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $285.82 23 $6,573.75 $6,471.40 $-156.40
(-2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:55pm ET $268.08 24 $6,433.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $256.90 24 $6,165.60 $6,203.20 $-268.20
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:55am ET $256.21 24 $6,149.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 1:45pm ET $247.81 24 $5,947.44 $6,001.60 $-201.60
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 1:45pm ET $252.27 23 $5,802.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $261.36 23 $6,011.28 $6,210.67 +$209.07
(+3.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:50am ET $261.41 23 $6,012.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:35am ET $252.68 23 $5,811.53 $6,009.76 $-200.91
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET $246.79 24 $5,923.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 3:45pm ET $251.95 24 $6,046.68 $6,133.36 +$123.60
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $248.65 24 $5,967.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 11:30am ET $240.91 24 $5,781.84 $5,947.48 $-185.88
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,947.48
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,052.52
Total Return: -40.53%
Back to Rebel Contraire