Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:01:11

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
38.6 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.1%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 9.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 9.3

30-Day Momentum

53
+10.2%
30d Return
73%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 59.1 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+44 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$3,558.61
Current Value
$3,773.53
Period P&L
$214.95
Max Drawdown
-57.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.40

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
9 / 3
Best Trade
+4.42%
Worst Trade
-3.66%
Avg Trade Return
+1.04%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$83,949.62
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$214.95
Net P&L (after fees)
$214.95
Gross Return
+6.04%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.04%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $3,558.61 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 12:30pm ET $2.54 1,254 $3,188.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $2.65 1,254 $3,329.37 $3,495.88 +$140.82
(+4.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 10:05am ET $2.69 1,300 $3,494.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 10:30am ET $2.74 1,300 $3,565.25 $3,567.12 +$71.24
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
25m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 12:25pm ET $2.64 1,349 $3,564.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 2:45pm ET $2.56 1,349 $3,453.44 $3,455.83 $-111.29
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 3:35pm ET $2.64 1,306 $3,454.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:45am ET $2.70 1,306 $3,532.73 $3,534.19 +$78.36
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 11:30am ET $2.73 1,294 $3,532.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 3:35pm ET $2.63 1,294 $3,403.22 $3,404.79 $-129.40
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:40am ET $2.54 1,343 $3,404.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 10:00am ET $2.59 1,343 $3,478.37 $3,478.65 +$73.86
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
20m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 11:25am ET $2.49 1,397 $3,478.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 2:10pm ET $2.41 1,397 $3,366.63 $3,366.75 $-111.90
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 2:25pm ET $2.45 1,372 $3,364.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:45am ET $2.51 1,372 $3,443.72 $3,445.91 +$79.16
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 11:25am ET $2.62 1,315 $3,445.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 1:00pm ET $2.68 1,315 $3,530.77 $3,531.39 +$85.48
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 2:30pm ET $2.70 1,307 $3,528.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:35am ET $2.77 1,307 $3,613.86 $3,616.35 +$84.96
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 10:50am ET $2.91 1,240 $3,614.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:15am ET $2.98 1,240 $3,695.20 $3,696.95 +$80.60
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 10:55am ET $2.73 1,353 $3,694.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 2:35pm ET $2.79 1,353 $3,771.49 $3,773.53 +$76.58
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $3,773.53
Net Profit/Loss: $-6,226.47
Total Return: -62.26%
Back to Rebel Contraire