Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:41:28

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.1/35
Total Return
14.9/25
Win Rate
7.4/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 32.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 32.1

30-Day Momentum

69
+18.9%
30d Return
80%
Win Rate
10
Trades
2.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 78.7 Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+37 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,610.51
Current Value
$16,544.54
Period P&L
$2,934.05
Max Drawdown
-52.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.59

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
9 / 2
Best Trade
+7.48%
Worst Trade
-4.69%
Avg Trade Return
+1.88%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$309,706.69
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,934.05
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,934.05
Gross Return
+21.56%
Net Return (after fees)
+21.56%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $13,610.51 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:40am ET $455.89 29 $13,220.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $477.38 29 $13,844.02 $14,233.70 +$623.21
(+4.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 10:10am ET $483.73 29 $14,028.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 12:00pm ET $467.65 29 $13,561.99 $13,767.52 $-466.18
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 12:00pm ET $465.36 29 $13,495.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $443.55 29 $12,862.81 $13,134.89 $-632.63
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:45am ET $464.91 28 $13,017.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 12:40pm ET $475.24 28 $13,306.76 $13,424.30 +$289.41
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 1:45pm ET $509.28 26 $13,241.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:50am ET $519.92 26 $13,518.05 $13,701.07 +$276.77
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 10:20am ET $505.94 27 $13,660.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 10:00am ET $518.28 27 $13,993.43 $14,034.12 +$333.05
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 10:05am ET $484.62 28 $13,569.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 1:20pm ET $494.95 28 $13,858.60 $14,323.36 +$289.24
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 1:40pm ET $503.38 28 $14,094.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $519.12 28 $14,535.36 $14,764.08 +$440.72
(+3.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 10:10am ET $534.89 27 $14,442.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 11:50am ET $546.82 27 $14,764.14 $15,086.19 +$322.11
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 12:25pm ET $543.24 27 $14,667.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $583.88 27 $15,764.76 $16,183.47 +$1,097.28
(+7.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:35am ET $613.44 26 $15,949.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 1:05pm ET $627.33 26 $16,310.45 $16,544.54 +$361.07
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,544.54
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,544.54
Total Return: +65.45%
Back to Rebel Contraire