Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:21:48

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.2/35
Total Return
12.5/25
Win Rate
6.1/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 31.8/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 31.7

30-Day Momentum

12
-6.1%
30d Return
56%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 14.4 Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-20 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,231.88
Current Value
$13,103.21
Period P&L
$-1,128.68
Max Drawdown
-20.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.20

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
5 / 4
Best Trade
+2.45%
Worst Trade
-7.88%
Avg Trade Return
-0.65%
Avg Hold Time
3.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$238,331.73
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,128.68
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,128.68
Gross Return
-7.93%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.93%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $14,231.88 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:00am ET $436.13 31 $13,519.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $441.50 31 $13,686.42 $14,118.96 +$166.55
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:35am ET $440.25 32 $14,087.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $426.77 32 $13,656.64 $13,687.68 $-431.28
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 10:25am ET $433.77 31 $13,446.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET $444.38 31 $13,775.78 $14,016.75 +$329.06
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:35am ET $440.25 32 $14,087.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:35am ET $442.70 32 $14,166.56 $14,095.39 +$78.64
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:45pm ET $437.78 32 $14,008.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $403.29 32 $12,905.28 $12,991.71 $-1,103.68
(-7.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 10:15am ET $393.93 32 $12,605.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 12:50pm ET $382.02 32 $12,224.80 $12,610.59 $-381.12
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 1:10pm ET $379.33 33 $12,517.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 1:10pm ET $377.70 33 $12,464.10 $12,556.80 $-53.79
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 1:15pm ET $380.23 33 $12,547.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:45am ET $389.04 33 $12,838.32 $12,847.53 +$290.73
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 10:05am ET $398.99 32 $12,767.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 11:00am ET $406.98 32 $13,023.36 $13,103.21 +$255.68
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
55m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,103.21
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,103.21
Total Return: +31.03%
Back to Rebel Contraire