Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:45:49

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

29
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.9/35
Total Return
12.4/25
Win Rate
8.3/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 29.5/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 29.0

30-Day Momentum

55
+12.7%
30d Return
73%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 61.7 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+26 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,571.08
Current Value
$12,631.64
Period P&L
$1,060.58
Max Drawdown
-36.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
8 / 4
Best Trade
+4.55%
Worst Trade
-6.03%
Avg Trade Return
+0.80%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$285,881.83
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,060.58
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,060.58
Gross Return
+9.17%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.17%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $11,571.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:40am ET $237.31 48 $11,390.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $245.73 48 $11,795.04 $11,975.22 +$404.16
(+3.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $240.53 49 $11,785.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 12:30pm ET $246.67 49 $12,086.83 $12,276.08 +$300.86
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 12:40pm ET $251.22 48 $12,058.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 11:50am ET $243.51 48 $11,688.48 $11,906.00 $-370.08
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 11:50am ET $238.99 49 $11,710.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:35am ET $231.30 49 $11,333.70 $11,529.19 $-376.81
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:55am ET $231.72 49 $11,354.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:05am ET $236.47 49 $11,587.03 $11,761.94 +$232.75
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 11:25am ET $251.93 46 $11,588.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $261.48 46 $12,028.08 $12,201.24 +$439.30
(+3.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 10:55am ET $268.28 45 $12,072.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $252.10 45 $11,344.50 $11,473.14 $-728.10
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 12:35pm ET $258.50 44 $11,374.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 1:25pm ET $265.32 44 $11,674.08 $11,773.22 +$300.08
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
50m held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 2:20pm ET $242.05 48 $11,618.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:50am ET $250.61 48 $12,029.13 $12,183.95 +$410.73
(+3.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 10:35am ET $246.78 49 $12,092.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $258.01 49 $12,642.49 $12,734.22 +$550.27
(+4.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 1:05pm ET $267.32 47 $12,564.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $273.90 47 $12,873.30 $13,043.48 +$309.26
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 11:30am ET $328.21 39 $12,800.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $317.65 39 $12,388.54 $12,631.64 $-411.84
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,631.64
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,631.64
Total Return: +26.32%
Back to Rebel Contraire