Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:04:18

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.3/35
Total Return
11.9/25
Win Rate
6.2/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 27.9/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 27.5

30-Day Momentum

6
-6.4%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.0 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-21 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,508.13
Current Value
$12,225.06
Period P&L
$-1,283.03
Max Drawdown
-21.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.43

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
3 / 4
Best Trade
+3.31%
Worst Trade
-5.52%
Avg Trade Return
-1.34%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$175,284.37
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,283.03
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,283.03
Gross Return
-9.50%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.50%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $13,508.13 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:40am ET $361.65 37 $13,381.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 12:10pm ET $350.62 37 $12,972.94 $13,055.95 $-408.11
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 1:30pm ET $368.80 35 $12,908.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 1:30pm ET $369.53 35 $12,933.55 $13,081.50 +$25.55
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 1:55pm ET $367.20 35 $12,852.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $346.93 35 $12,142.55 $12,372.05 $-709.45
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:55am ET $357.09 34 $12,141.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET $368.92 34 $12,543.45 $12,774.44 +$402.39
(+3.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:45am ET $362.60 35 $12,691.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $349.22 35 $12,222.70 $12,306.14 $-468.30
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 10:00am ET $344.08 35 $12,042.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $352.42 35 $12,334.53 $12,597.87 +$291.73
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 12:40pm ET $360.17 34 $12,245.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $349.20 34 $11,872.97 $12,225.06 $-372.81
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,225.06
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,225.06
Total Return: +22.25%
Back to Rebel Contraire