Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 12:27:11

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
36.8 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.3%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
26%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.3/35
Total Return
12.6/25
Win Rate
6.0/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 32.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 32.4

30-Day Momentum

13
+0.5%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.0 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-19 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,166.38
Current Value
$13,206.58
Period P&L
$40.18
Max Drawdown
-17.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
4 / 2
Best Trade
+2.30%
Worst Trade
-3.56%
Avg Trade Return
+0.10%
Avg Hold Time
3.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$148,983.38
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$40.18
Net P&L (after fees)
$40.18
Gross Return
+0.31%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.31%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $13,166.38 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 1:00pm ET $1,045.89 12 $12,550.68
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $1,069.25 12 $12,831.00 $13,426.68 +$280.32
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
2 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 10:15am ET $1,074.38 12 $12,892.50
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $1,044.37 12 $12,532.44 $13,066.62 $-360.06
(-2.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:50am ET $1,028.32 12 $12,339.90
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $991.68 12 $11,900.16 $12,626.88 $-439.74
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:55am ET $1,005.26 12 $12,063.12
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:55am ET $1,008.58 12 $12,102.96 $12,666.72 +$39.84
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:35am ET $1,005.05 12 $12,060.56
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $1,028.15 12 $12,337.80 $12,943.96 +$277.24
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 10:10am ET $1,046.23 12 $12,554.82
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 12:55pm ET $1,068.12 12 $12,817.44 $13,206.58 +$262.62
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,206.58
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,206.58
Total Return: +32.07%
Back to Rebel Contraire