Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:29:18

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.8 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.3%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
26%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.4/35
Total Return
12.6/25
Win Rate
5.9/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 32.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 32.2

30-Day Momentum

4
-9.7%
30d Return
29%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.7 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-28 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,913.01
Current Value
$13,230.14
Period P&L
$-1,682.88
Max Drawdown
-17.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.60

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
2 / 5
Best Trade
+2.54%
Worst Trade
-5.05%
Avg Trade Return
-1.48%
Avg Hold Time
4.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$185,566.02
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,682.88
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,682.88
Gross Return
-11.28%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.28%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $14,913.01 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:40am ET $1,150.61 12 $13,807.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:40am ET $1,167.70 12 $14,012.40 $14,850.14 +$205.02
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 11:15am ET $1,174.22 12 $14,090.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 11:15am ET $1,152.19 12 $13,826.28 $14,585.78 $-264.36
(-1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 11:15am ET $1,174.22 12 $14,090.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:35am ET $1,114.90 12 $13,378.80 $13,873.94 $-711.84
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 11:35am ET $1,118.44 12 $13,421.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:45am ET $1,083.90 12 $13,006.80 $13,459.46 $-414.48
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 1:10pm ET $1,070.10 12 $12,841.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 1:10pm ET $1,056.00 12 $12,672.00 $13,290.26 $-169.20
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 1:25pm ET $1,050.85 12 $12,610.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:20pm ET $1,019.06 12 $12,228.72 $12,908.78 $-381.48
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:50pm ET $1,052.43 12 $12,629.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $1,079.21 12 $12,950.52 $13,230.14 +$321.36
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,230.14
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,230.14
Total Return: +32.30%
Back to Rebel Contraire