Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:21:30

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
73.4 overbought
20d Trend
+6.7%
5d Trend
+8.2%
EMA20 Dist
+6.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.0/35
Total Return
11.5/25
Win Rate
5.9/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 25.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 25.2

30-Day Momentum

3
-3.7%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-22 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,637.68
Current Value
$12,299.50
Period P&L
$-338.11
Max Drawdown
-39.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.42

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
2 / 4
Best Trade
+0.81%
Worst Trade
-3.72%
Avg Trade Return
-0.62%
Avg Hold Time
5.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$151,456.08
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-338.11
Net P&L (after fees)
$-338.11
Gross Return
-2.68%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.68%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BMY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $12,637.68 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 1:10pm ET $67.31 189 $12,721.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 1:10pm ET $67.68 189 $12,791.52 $12,846.46 +$69.93
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 3:10pm ET $67.04 191 $12,803.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 3:10pm ET $66.85 191 $12,768.35 $12,811.12 $-35.34
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 3:10pm ET $67.04 191 $12,803.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $67.58 191 $12,907.78 $12,915.21 +$104.09
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:15pm ET $66.93 192 $12,850.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $64.44 192 $12,372.48 $12,437.13 $-478.08
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 11:10am ET $64.37 193 $12,423.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 11:10am ET $64.26 193 $12,402.18 $12,415.90 $-21.23
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 11:55am ET $63.73 194 $12,363.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $63.13 194 $12,247.22 $12,299.50 $-116.40
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,299.50
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,299.50
Total Return: +22.99%
Back to Rebel Contraire