Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-21 11:14:07

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
65.5 neutral
20d Trend
+1.8%
5d Trend
+4.8%
EMA20 Dist
+2.7%
ATR%
1.4%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

49
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
17.9/35
Total Return
14.2/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
3.2/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 49.4/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 48.6

30-Day Momentum

27
+2.5%
30d Return
80%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 38.0 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-22 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,508.85
Current Value
$15,090.52
Period P&L
$581.65
Max Drawdown
-10.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.29

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
4 / 1
Best Trade
+2.37%
Worst Trade
-2.56%
Avg Trade Return
+0.53%
Avg Hold Time
4.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$144,839.80
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$581.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$581.65
Gross Return
+4.01%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.01%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BRK-B Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $14,508.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 3:25pm ET $483.27 30 $14,498.10
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $485.28 30 $14,558.40 $14,776.02 +$60.30
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.8d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 10:45am ET $483.65 30 $14,509.50
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:45am ET $471.26 30 $14,137.75 $14,404.27 $-371.75
(-2.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:30pm ET $470.80 30 $14,123.85
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $481.57 30 $14,447.10 $14,727.52 +$323.25
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 11:45am ET $488.13 30 $14,643.75
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:45am ET $488.80 30 $14,664.15 $14,747.92 +$20.40
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 11:50am ET $481.91 30 $14,457.30
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 10:25am ET $493.33 30 $14,799.90 $15,090.52 +$342.60
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,090.52
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,090.52
Total Return: +50.91%
Back to Rebel Contraire