BTCUSD Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 15 trades in period
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
Quality Components
30-Day Momentum
Data Transparency (Last Month)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Month)
Trade Statistics (Last Month)
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 BTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
Trade History (Last Month - 15 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $248.88 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 6:00am ET | $77,826.90 | 0 | $623.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 6:00am ET | $78,434.70 | 0 | $628.24 | $642.61 |
+$1.74 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 7:00am ET | $78,697.90 | 0 | $642.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 5:30am ET | $80,337.00 | 0 | $655.99 | $655.99 |
+$10.14 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.5h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 5:55am ET | $80,054.20 | 0 | $655.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 12:25pm ET | $77,097.70 | 0 | $631.76 | $631.76 |
$-27.45 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 2:15pm ET | $77,728.40 | 0 | $631.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 30, 2026 1:00pm ET | $79,288.40 | 0 | $644.44 | $644.44 |
+$9.49 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 30, 2026 1:10pm ET | $79,132.60 | 0 | $644.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 2:35pm ET | $76,653.00 | 0 | $624.25 | $624.25 |
$-23.37 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 2:40pm ET | $76,552.20 | 0 | $624.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 8:30am ET | $78,266.00 | 0 | $638.22 | $638.22 |
+$10.82 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 1:00pm ET | $80,919.00 | 0 | $638.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 2:05am ET | $78,452.80 | 0 | $618.77 | $618.77 |
$-22.59 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.5d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 2:25am ET | $78,390.80 | 0 | $618.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 13, 2026 2:25am ET | $77,270.50 | 0 | $609.93 | $609.93 |
$-11.91 (-1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 13, 2026 2:55am ET | $77,108.70 | 0 | $609.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 12:20pm ET | $78,730.50 | 0 | $622.76 | $622.76 |
+$9.75 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.4d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 1:00pm ET | $78,751.00 | 0 | $622.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 9:45am ET | $76,300.10 | 0 | $603.38 | $603.38 |
$-22.45 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 10:35am ET | $76,036.10 | 0 | $603.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 1:30am ET | $77,587.90 | 0 | $615.69 | $615.69 |
+$9.27 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.6d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 1:45am ET | $77,489.60 | 0 | $615.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 9:45am ET | $79,347.70 | 0 | $630.45 | $630.45 |
+$11.65 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 11:35am ET | $80,730.60 | 0 | $630.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 4:35am ET | $82,669.40 | 0 | $645.59 | $645.59 |
+$11.95 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.7d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 6:00am ET | $84,574.10 | 0 | $645.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 3:20pm ET | $86,351.10 | 0 | $659.15 | $659.15 |
+$10.30 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 4:40pm ET | $86,907.40 | 0 | $659.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 10:25am ET | $84,223.60 | 0 | $638.79 | $638.79 |
$-23.60 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held |