Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:05:29

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.3 oversold
20d Trend
-26.5%
5d Trend
-29.8%
EMA20 Dist
-27.1%
ATR%
8.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
8.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.8/10
Raw Quality 10.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 10.7

30-Day Momentum

76
+15.0%
30d Return
73%
Win Rate
15
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 75.7 Conf: 1.00×
Accelerating (+65 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,822
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
31 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$486.71
Current Value
$743.81
Period P&L
$56.64
Max Drawdown
-95.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.50

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
12 / 4
Best Trade
+2.67%
Worst Trade
-3.28%
Avg Trade Return
+1.04%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$21,946.01
Estimated Fees
$54.87
Gross P&L
$56.64
Net P&L (after fees)
$1.77
Gross Return
+11.64%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.36%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 31 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $486.71 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 5, 2026 8:35pm ET $69,087.60 0 $632.29
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 6:35pm ET $70,929.80 0 $649.15 $649.15 +$13.66
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 8:00pm ET $71,915.60 0 $649.15
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 4:30pm ET $73,453.40 0 $663.03 $663.03 +$10.60
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 5:10pm ET $73,229.30 0 $663.03
🔴 SELL Apr 12, 2026 9:40am ET $70,989.60 0 $642.75 $642.75 $-23.54
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 12, 2026 9:45am ET $70,999.90 0 $642.75
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 1:30pm ET $72,561.30 0 $656.89 $656.89 +$10.89
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 1:55pm ET $72,160.30 0 $656.89
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 6:15pm ET $73,881.90 0 $672.56 $672.56 +$12.35
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 7:20pm ET $74,643.10 0 $672.56
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 5:30am ET $76,294.80 0 $687.44 $687.44 +$11.48
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.4d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 6:10am ET $75,693.80 0 $687.44
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:55am ET $77,286.90 0 $701.91 $701.91 +$10.99
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 10:55am ET $77,793.80 0 $701.91
🔴 SELL Apr 19, 2026 2:10am ET $75,452.80 0 $680.79 $680.79 $-24.58
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 19, 2026 2:15am ET $75,335.80 0 $680.79
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 6:55am ET $76,850.10 0 $694.47 $694.47 +$10.25
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 7:05am ET $76,710.70 0 $694.47
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 1:25am ET $78,343.40 0 $709.25 $709.25 +$11.27
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 1:40am ET $78,015.60 0 $709.25
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 1:40am ET $77,751.40 0 $706.85 $706.85 $-5.94
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 2:05am ET $77,711.90 0 $706.85
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:10pm ET $75,163.20 0 $683.67 $683.67 $-26.66
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 6:00pm ET $75,892.80 0 $683.67
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 4:25am ET $77,428.70 0 $697.51 $697.51 +$10.38
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.4d held
14 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 4:35am ET $77,385.80 0 $697.51
🔴 SELL May 3, 2026 4:25pm ET $78,946.50 0 $711.58 $711.58 +$10.54
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.5d held
15 🟢 BUY May 3, 2026 6:25pm ET $78,984.70 0 $711.58
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:40pm ET $80,708.20 0 $727.11 $727.11 +$11.93
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
16 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 12:00am ET $80,838.50 0 $727.11
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 7:20am ET $82,695.10 0 $743.81 $743.81 +$13.02
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $743.81
Net Profit/Loss: $-9,256.19
Total Return: -92.56%
Back to Rebel Contraire