Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:18:13

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
68.5 neutral
20d Trend
+6.3%
5d Trend
+4.4%
EMA20 Dist
+5.2%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 6.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 6.5

30-Day Momentum

6
-12.0%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1 Conf: 0.81×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$-15.29
Current Value
$4,784.14
Period P&L
$-567.56
Max Drawdown
-47.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.66

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
2 / 6
Best Trade
+2.15%
Worst Trade
-4.25%
Avg Trade Return
-1.56%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$81,728.66
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-567.56
Net P&L (after fees)
$-567.56
Gross Return
+0.00%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.00%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CMCSA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $-15.29 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 12:40pm ET $27.05 200 $5,409.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $26.78 200 $5,356.00 $5,382.70 $-53.00
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 12:40pm ET $27.05 200 $5,409.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:35am ET $26.63 200 $5,326.00 $5,299.70 $-83.00
(-1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 11:35am ET $26.41 200 $5,281.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 11:25am ET $25.44 200 $5,088.00 $5,105.82 $-193.88
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 11:40am ET $24.86 205 $5,097.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $25.39 205 $5,204.95 $5,213.44 +$107.62
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:45am ET $25.24 206 $5,199.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 3:50pm ET $24.42 206 $5,031.55 $5,045.55 $-167.89
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:40am ET $23.55 214 $5,038.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $22.55 214 $4,824.63 $4,831.55 $-214.00
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:45am ET $22.55 214 $4,824.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 10:25am ET $23.03 214 $4,928.42 $4,935.34 +$103.79
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
40m held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 10:50am ET $22.83 216 $4,930.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:50am ET $22.13 216 $4,779.00 $4,784.14 $-151.20
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,784.14
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,215.86
Total Return: -52.16%
Back to Rebel Contraire