Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-05-09 11:05:38

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.6
Active
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
68.5 neutral
20d Trend
+6.3%
5d Trend
+4.4%
EMA20 Dist
+5.2%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 9, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.8/10
Raw Quality 6.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 6.0

30-Day Momentum

3
-8.9%
30d Return
17%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-09 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$5,655.78
Current Value
$5,215.04
Period P&L
$-440.73
Max Drawdown
-47.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.71

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
1 / 5
Best Trade
+2.08%
Worst Trade
-4.87%
Avg Trade Return
-1.52%
Avg Hold Time
4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$66,999.06
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-440.73
Net P&L (after fees)
$-440.73
Gross Return
-7.79%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.79%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CMCSA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $5,655.78 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:10am ET $28.06 204 $5,723.22
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $27.91 204 $5,693.64 $5,694.53 $-29.58
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $27.90 204 $5,691.60
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 1:15pm ET $28.48 204 $5,809.92 $5,812.85 +$118.32
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 11:15am ET $29.70 195 $5,792.47
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 11:15am ET $29.35 195 $5,724.22 $5,744.60 $-68.25
(-1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:05pm ET $31.84 180 $5,731.20
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $30.29 180 $5,452.20 $5,465.60 $-279.00
(-4.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $27.43 199 $5,458.57
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $26.99 199 $5,371.01 $5,378.04 $-87.56
(-1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
6 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:45am ET $26.78 200 $5,357.00
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:45am ET $25.97 200 $5,194.00 $5,215.04 $-163.00
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,215.04
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,784.96
Total Return: -47.85%
Back to Rebel Contraire