Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 07:54:03

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 25, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 9.5/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 9.3

30-Day Momentum

13
-1.4%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 13.8 Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$3,638.29
Current Value
$3,773.07
Period P&L
$134.79
Max Drawdown
-67.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
6 / 6
Best Trade
+4.84%
Worst Trade
-3.44%
Avg Trade Return
-0.07%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$88,217.06
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$134.79
Net P&L (after fees)
$134.79
Gross Return
+3.70%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.70%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $3,638.29 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 11:15am ET $188.49 20 $3,769.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $182.01 20 $3,640.20 $3,697.08 $-129.60
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:35am ET $181.60 20 $3,632.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:45am ET $186.10 20 $3,722.00 $3,787.08 +$90.00
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
10m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:45am ET $185.54 20 $3,710.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 12:05pm ET $179.68 20 $3,593.70 $3,669.88 $-117.20
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $181.00 20 $3,620.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 2:40pm ET $175.26 20 $3,505.10 $3,554.98 $-114.90
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 2:50pm ET $176.53 20 $3,530.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $185.08 20 $3,701.60 $3,725.98 +$171.00
(+4.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 10:50am ET $183.14 20 $3,662.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 10:50am ET $179.79 20 $3,595.70 $3,658.88 $-67.10
(-1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 11:25am ET $172.68 21 $3,626.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:50am ET $176.62 21 $3,709.02 $3,741.62 +$82.74
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 10:30am ET $185.28 20 $3,705.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 12:20pm ET $190.64 20 $3,812.84 $3,848.86 +$107.24
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 1:05pm ET $179.29 21 $3,764.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 2:40pm ET $173.36 21 $3,640.56 $3,724.43 $-124.43
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:40pm ET $164.04 22 $3,608.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $168.38 22 $3,704.36 $3,819.81 +$95.38
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 11:40am ET $192.06 19 $3,649.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 2:00pm ET $196.00 19 $3,724.00 $3,894.67 +$74.86
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 2:40pm ET $202.85 19 $3,854.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:45am ET $196.46 19 $3,732.65 $3,773.07 $-121.60
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $3,773.07
Net Profit/Loss: $-6,226.93
Total Return: -62.27%
Back to Rebel Contraire