Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:26:08

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
68.2 neutral
20d Trend
+5.1%
5d Trend
+5.5%
EMA20 Dist
+3.1%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

34
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.3/35
Total Return
13.1/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 34.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 34.3

30-Day Momentum

6
-1.4%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.0 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-28 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,109.09
Current Value
$13,641.50
Period P&L
$-467.60
Max Drawdown
-17.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.14

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
3 / 3
Best Trade
+2.15%
Worst Trade
-2.25%
Avg Trade Return
-0.22%
Avg Hold Time
5.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$160,800.23
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-467.60
Net P&L (after fees)
$-467.60
Gross Return
-3.31%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.31%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COST Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $14,109.09 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 10:55am ET $948.66 14 $13,281.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 10:55am ET $955.81 14 $13,381.34 $13,930.74 +$100.17
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 10:55am ET $939.53 14 $13,153.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 10:55am ET $947.25 14 $13,261.50 $14,038.75 +$108.01
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 10:55am ET $939.53 14 $13,153.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $928.48 14 $12,998.72 $13,883.98 $-154.77
(-1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 11:45am ET $915.93 15 $13,738.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 11:45am ET $900.95 15 $13,514.25 $13,659.28 $-224.70
(-1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 1:35pm ET $899.58 15 $13,493.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:35am ET $918.91 15 $13,783.72 $13,949.30 +$290.02
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET $911.59 15 $13,673.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $891.07 15 $13,366.05 $13,641.50 $-307.80
(-2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,641.50
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,641.50
Total Return: +36.41%
Back to Rebel Contraire