Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:09:42

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
18.8 oversold
20d Trend
-22.1%
5d Trend
-11.2%
EMA20 Dist
-13.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 10.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 10.6

30-Day Momentum

9
-6.4%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.9 Conf: 0.81×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$6,453.13
Current Value
$6,039.48
Period P&L
$-413.65
Max Drawdown
-46.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.24

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
4 / 4
Best Trade
+2.74%
Worst Trade
-5.08%
Avg Trade Return
-0.78%
Avg Hold Time
4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$99,575.28
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-413.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$-413.65
Gross Return
-6.41%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.41%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $6,453.13 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 11:25am ET $206.65 30 $6,199.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $199.45 30 $5,983.50 $6,236.83 $-216.15
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:55am ET $241.80 25 $6,045.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 10:15am ET $247.64 25 $6,191.00 $6,382.81 +$145.98
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
20m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 10:30am ET $257.92 24 $6,189.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $263.95 24 $6,334.80 $6,527.65 +$144.84
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 10:30am ET $257.92 24 $6,189.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $263.74 24 $6,329.78 $6,667.47 +$139.82
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:50pm ET $259.90 25 $6,497.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $248.48 25 $6,212.02 $6,381.87 $-285.60
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 10:25am ET $249.15 25 $6,228.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $255.98 25 $6,399.50 $6,552.74 +$170.87
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET $256.95 25 $6,423.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $243.89 25 $6,097.25 $6,226.16 $-326.58
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:50am ET $239.22 26 $6,219.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:45am ET $232.04 26 $6,033.04 $6,039.48 $-186.68
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,039.48
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,960.52
Total Return: -39.61%
Back to Rebel Contraire