Compendium › Rebel Contraire › CSCO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
CSCO
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-06-26 to present • 3 trades in period

-1.13%
Last Month Return
$20,161.09
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$20,392.48
Period Start
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PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-07-26 19:35:17

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+11.3%
5d Trend
+5.7%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
89%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026

68
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
16.7/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
5.3/15
Consistency
7.1/10
Raw Quality 71.2/100
× Confidence 0.95 = 67.5

30-Day Momentum

0
-5.1%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-68 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-26 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$20,392.48
Current Value
$20,161.09
Period P&L
$-231.34
Max Drawdown
-9.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.62

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+2.17%
Worst Trade
-4.04%
Avg Trade Return
-1.71%
Avg Hold Time
2.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$121,372.03
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-231.34
Net P&L (after fees)
$-231.34
Gross Return
-1.13%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.13%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CSCO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $20,392.48 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 1:25pm ET $120.01 177 $21,241.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $115.16 177 $20,383.32 $20,392.43 $-858.45
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 1:40pm ET $117.90 172 $20,279.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:25am ET $114.07 172 $19,620.04 $19,732.81 $-659.62
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 12:40pm ET $114.59 172 $19,709.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:50am ET $117.08 172 $20,137.76 $20,161.09 +$428.28
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $20,161.09
Net Profit/Loss: +$10,161.09
Total Return: +101.61%
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