Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:19:40

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 12.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 12.6

30-Day Momentum

18
+0.4%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 20.8 Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,782.67
Current Value
$8,701.07
Period P&L
$-81.64
Max Drawdown
-46.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
6 / 5
Best Trade
+2.59%
Worst Trade
-3.29%
Avg Trade Return
-0.20%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$197,919.41
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-81.64
Net P&L (after fees)
$-81.64
Gross Return
-0.93%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.93%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $8,782.67 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 11:40am ET $26.09 342 $8,922.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:50am ET $25.29 342 $8,649.18 $8,659.59 $-273.60
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 10:35am ET $24.71 350 $8,648.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 1:20pm ET $25.35 350 $8,872.50 $8,883.59 +$224.00
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:35am ET $23.54 377 $8,874.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 10:25am ET $24.05 377 $9,066.85 $9,075.86 +$192.27
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
50m held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 10:35am ET $24.31 373 $9,067.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 1:50pm ET $24.80 373 $9,250.40 $9,258.63 +$182.77
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 2:00pm ET $24.49 378 $9,257.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET $23.73 378 $8,968.05 $8,968.78 $-289.85
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 11:25am ET $23.55 380 $8,949.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 10:50am ET $24.16 380 $9,178.90 $9,198.68 +$229.90
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 11:20am ET $24.16 380 $9,180.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 3:40pm ET $24.65 380 $9,365.10 $9,382.98 +$184.30
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 3:50pm ET $24.78 378 $9,368.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:40am ET $23.98 378 $9,064.44 $9,078.69 $-304.29
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 10:00am ET $23.69 383 $9,075.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 1:35pm ET $22.92 383 $8,776.45 $8,779.95 $-298.74
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 2:35pm ET $21.98 399 $8,770.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:35am ET $22.46 399 $8,961.54 $8,971.47 +$191.52
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:35am ET $21.54 416 $8,960.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $20.89 416 $8,690.24 $8,701.07 $-270.40
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,701.07
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,298.93
Total Return: -12.99%
Back to Rebel Contraire