Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 06:54:52

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
82.9 overbought
20d Trend
+25.5%
5d Trend
+7.3%
EMA20 Dist
+10.2%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
100%
Bounce Ratio
4.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

37
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.7/35
Total Return
13.8/25
Win Rate
6.5/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 37.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 36.9

30-Day Momentum

6
-3.9%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.0 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-31 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$15,027.68
Current Value
$14,737.40
Period P&L
$-290.24
Max Drawdown
-16.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
4 / 3
Best Trade
+2.26%
Worst Trade
-3.31%
Avg Trade Return
-0.24%
Avg Hold Time
3.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$205,202.66
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-290.24
Net P&L (after fees)
$-290.24
Gross Return
-1.93%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.93%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GILD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $15,027.68 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 11:30am ET $139.37 107 $14,912.59
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 11:30am ET $139.49 107 $14,925.43 $15,028.71 +$12.84
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 11:45am ET $137.98 108 $14,901.30
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 12:30pm ET $140.76 108 $15,202.08 $15,329.49 +$300.78
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 1:55pm ET $142.70 107 $15,268.90
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $137.97 107 $14,762.79 $14,823.38 $-506.11
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:25am ET $140.24 105 $14,724.68
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $138.05 105 $14,495.77 $14,594.48 $-228.90
(-1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $134.26 108 $14,499.54
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:40am ET $129.81 108 $14,019.48 $14,114.42 $-480.06
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:40am ET $129.04 109 $14,065.36
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:40am ET $131.96 109 $14,383.64 $14,432.70 +$318.28
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
7 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 12:50pm ET $130.62 110 $14,368.20
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 11:00am ET $133.39 110 $14,672.90 $14,737.40 +$304.70
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,737.40
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,737.40
Total Return: +47.37%
Back to Rebel Contraire