Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 07:53:53

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
82.9 overbought
20d Trend
+25.5%
5d Trend
+7.3%
EMA20 Dist
+10.2%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
100%
Bounce Ratio
4.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 25, 2026

43
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.4/35
Total Return
14.9/25
Win Rate
6.8/15
Profit Factor
2.4/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 43.2/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 43.0

30-Day Momentum

19
+1.0%
30d Return
63%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 22.9 Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-24 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$16,047.46
Current Value
$16,119.52
Period P&L
$72.10
Max Drawdown
-16.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
6 / 3
Best Trade
+2.07%
Worst Trade
-3.56%
Avg Trade Return
+0.23%
Avg Hold Time
3.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$280,518.31
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$72.10
Net P&L (after fees)
$72.10
Gross Return
+0.45%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.45%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GILD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $16,047.46 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:05am ET $145.23 108 $15,684.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 10:05am ET $146.52 108 $15,824.16 $15,958.32 +$139.86
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 10:35am ET $148.96 107 $15,938.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $143.65 107 $15,370.55 $15,390.15 $-568.17
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 2:45pm ET $148.84 103 $15,330.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET $151.92 103 $15,647.76 $15,707.90 +$317.75
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 10:35am ET $148.96 107 $15,938.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $150.02 107 $16,052.14 $15,821.32 +$113.42
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
8d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:55pm ET $150.82 104 $15,685.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET $146.11 104 $15,195.44 $15,331.48 $-489.84
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 10:15am ET $146.15 104 $15,199.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 10:15am ET $144.74 104 $15,053.48 $15,185.36 $-146.12
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 10:50am ET $144.54 105 $15,176.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:45am ET $147.47 105 $15,484.35 $15,493.01 +$307.65
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 10:05am ET $147.18 105 $15,453.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 3:20pm ET $150.15 105 $15,765.75 $15,805.38 +$312.37
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 3:20pm ET $150.98 104 $15,701.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:20am ET $154.00 104 $16,016.06 $16,119.52 +$314.14
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,119.52
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,119.52
Total Return: +61.20%
Back to Rebel Contraire