Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-21 11:13:37

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
82.9 overbought
20d Trend
+25.5%
5d Trend
+7.3%
EMA20 Dist
+10.2%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
100%
Bounce Ratio
4.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

36
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.4/35
Total Return
13.7/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 36.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 36.4

30-Day Momentum

13
+0.5%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 16.8 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-23 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,084.81
Current Value
$14,301.60
Period P&L
$216.83
Max Drawdown
-16.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
4 / 3
Best Trade
+2.24%
Worst Trade
-3.13%
Avg Trade Return
+0.11%
Avg Hold Time
2.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$200,911.87
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$216.83
Net P&L (after fees)
$216.83
Gross Return
+1.54%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.54%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GILD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $14,084.81 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 2:25pm ET $130.89 108 $14,136.12
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:50am ET $133.59 108 $14,427.72 $14,517.85 +$291.60
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
2 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 10:35am ET $134.45 107 $14,386.15
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $132.47 107 $14,174.29 $14,305.99 $-211.86
(-1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:55am ET $128.41 111 $14,253.51
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:15pm ET $130.98 111 $14,538.78 $14,591.26 +$285.27
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 12:15pm ET $127.69 114 $14,556.66
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:00am ET $123.70 114 $14,101.80 $14,136.40 $-454.86
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:25am ET $123.25 114 $14,050.50
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 11:05am ET $126.01 114 $14,365.14 $14,451.04 +$314.64
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 11:25am ET $124.76 115 $14,347.40
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 11:30am ET $127.46 115 $14,657.90 $14,761.54 +$310.50
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 11:50am ET $126.62 116 $14,687.92
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 11:05am ET $122.65 116 $14,227.98 $14,301.60 $-459.94
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,301.60
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,301.60
Total Return: +43.02%
Back to Rebel Contraire