Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:09:25

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
48.3 neutral
20d Trend
+3.5%
5d Trend
-2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.0%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
51%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

57
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
24.8/35
Total Return
15.8/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
3.4/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 58.5/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 57.3

30-Day Momentum

2
-6.2%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-55 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$19,018.58
Current Value
$17,985.58
Period P&L
$-1,033.07
Max Drawdown
-11.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.67

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
1 / 4
Best Trade
+2.03%
Worst Trade
-3.22%
Avg Trade Return
-1.29%
Avg Hold Time
4.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$180,737.07
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,033.07
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,033.07
Gross Return
-5.43%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.43%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GLD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $19,018.58 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 10:00am ET $427.66 44 $18,817.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 12:00pm ET $414.55 44 $18,240.20 $18,607.25 $-576.84
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 1:05pm ET $406.46 45 $18,290.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $403.56 45 $18,160.20 $18,476.75 $-130.50
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 11:00am ET $405.13 45 $18,230.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $392.07 45 $17,643.15 $17,889.28 $-587.47
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 10:30am ET $392.69 45 $17,671.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET $400.67 45 $18,030.15 $18,248.38 +$359.10
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:45am ET $399.08 45 $17,958.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:45am ET $393.23 45 $17,695.57 $17,985.58 $-262.80
(-1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,985.58
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,985.58
Total Return: +79.86%
Back to Rebel Contraire