Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:30:58

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
43.2 neutral
20d Trend
-4.5%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-2.7%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
74%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

63
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
24.9/35
Total Return
18.7/25
Win Rate
8.4/15
Profit Factor
4.2/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 62.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 62.6

30-Day Momentum

58
+11.2%
30d Return
83%
Win Rate
6
Trades
8.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 78.4 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$25,452.98
Current Value
$27,845.01
Period P&L
$2,392.04
Max Drawdown
-25.1%
Sharpe Ratio
1.28

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
5 / 1
Best Trade
+3.50%
Worst Trade
-0.76%
Avg Trade Return
+1.81%
Avg Hold Time
4.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$311,145.08
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,392.04
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,392.04
Gross Return
+9.40%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.40%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GOOGL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $25,452.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 10:25am ET $343.60 72 $24,738.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $346.58 72 $24,953.76 $25,259.77 +$214.92
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
9d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 10:25am ET $339.55 74 $25,126.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 10:50am ET $346.96 74 $25,675.04 $25,808.11 +$548.34
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 1:25pm ET $338.37 76 $25,716.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $335.79 76 $25,520.04 $25,612.03 $-196.08
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 11:10am ET $329.04 77 $25,336.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:35am ET $340.54 77 $26,221.58 $26,497.53 +$885.50
(+3.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 10:05am ET $346.24 76 $26,314.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $356.73 76 $27,111.48 $27,294.77 +$797.24
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:55am ET $354.48 76 $26,940.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:40am ET $361.72 76 $27,490.72 $27,845.01 +$550.24
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $27,845.01
Net Profit/Loss: +$17,845.01
Total Return: +178.45%
Back to Rebel Contraire