Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:04:23

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
88.4 overbought
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+5.8%
EMA20 Dist
+6.5%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
40.5×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

55
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
21.3/35
Total Return
14.8/25
Win Rate
7.4/15
Profit Factor
4.0/15
Consistency
7.6/10
Raw Quality 55.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 54.8

30-Day Momentum

30
+3.3%
30d Return
63%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 36.9 Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-25 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$15,325.84
Current Value
$16,289.21
Period P&L
$963.37
Max Drawdown
-9.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.31

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
6 / 3
Best Trade
+3.45%
Worst Trade
-3.29%
Avg Trade Return
+0.62%
Avg Hold Time
3.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$280,395.98
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$963.37
Net P&L (after fees)
$963.37
Gross Return
+6.29%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.29%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $15,325.84 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:10am ET $271.17 56 $15,185.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 10:10am ET $271.86 56 $15,224.16 $15,486.56 +$38.36
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 10:40am ET $271.60 57 $15,481.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 10:40am ET $266.58 57 $15,194.92 $15,200.28 $-286.28
(-1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 11:10am ET $268.41 56 $15,030.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $277.66 56 $15,548.96 $15,718.28 +$518.00
(+3.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 10:40am ET $271.60 57 $15,481.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $277.98 57 $15,844.86 $16,081.94 +$363.66
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:00pm ET $276.40 58 $16,031.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET $267.30 58 $15,503.69 $15,554.14 $-527.80
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:35am ET $268.53 57 $15,306.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:35am ET $270.11 57 $15,396.27 $15,644.20 +$90.06
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET $262.83 59 $15,506.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:10pm ET $268.27 59 $15,827.93 $15,965.45 +$321.25
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:15pm ET $269.56 59 $15,904.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 3:15pm ET $269.42 59 $15,896.07 $15,957.48 $-7.97
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 3:30pm ET $268.64 59 $15,849.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:40am ET $274.27 59 $16,181.64 $16,289.21 +$331.73
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,289.21
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,289.21
Total Return: +62.89%
Back to Rebel Contraire