Compendium › Rebel Contraire › LCID
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
LCID
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-24 to present • 13 trades in period

+8.01%
Last Month Return
$3,283.79
Current Value
69%
Win Rate
$3,040.13
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:57:32

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.3/10
Raw Quality 8.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 8.9

30-Day Momentum

53
+9.4%
30d Return
73%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 59.2 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+44 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$3,040.13
Current Value
$3,283.79
Period P&L
$243.65
Max Drawdown
-69.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
9 / 4
Best Trade
+4.15%
Worst Trade
-3.75%
Avg Trade Return
+0.63%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$78,861.56
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$243.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$243.65
Gross Return
+8.01%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.01%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $3,040.13 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:55am ET $5.43 560 $3,038.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 11:35am ET $5.24 560 $2,931.60 $2,933.73 $-106.40
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 1:10pm ET $5.22 562 $2,933.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 2:35pm ET $5.32 562 $2,992.65 $2,992.74 +$59.01
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 2:45pm ET $4.94 605 $2,988.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 11:00am ET $5.04 605 $3,049.26 $3,053.24 +$60.50
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 11:15am ET $5.01 609 $3,051.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:45am ET $4.85 609 $2,953.65 $2,955.43 $-97.81
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:45am ET $4.61 640 $2,953.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 11:20am ET $4.72 640 $3,020.80 $3,023.02 +$67.58
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 12:05pm ET $4.66 648 $3,022.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET $4.49 648 $2,909.52 $2,909.62 $-113.40
(-3.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 12:15pm ET $4.67 623 $2,909.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 1:30pm ET $4.76 623 $2,968.59 $2,968.80 +$59.18
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 2:35pm ET $4.25 698 $2,968.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 12:40pm ET $4.38 698 $3,057.24 $3,057.86 +$89.06
(+3.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 1:40pm ET $4.26 718 $3,055.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 12:30pm ET $4.12 718 $2,956.72 $2,959.49 $-98.37
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 12:45pm ET $4.04 732 $2,958.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $4.21 732 $3,081.72 $3,082.39 +$122.90
(+4.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 10:05am ET $4.18 738 $3,081.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 12:20pm ET $4.26 738 $3,143.88 $3,145.12 +$62.73
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 2:30pm ET $4.28 733 $3,140.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 3:40pm ET $4.37 733 $3,204.53 $3,208.74 +$63.62
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 10:00am ET $4.06 790 $3,207.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 12:20pm ET $4.16 790 $3,282.45 $3,283.79 +$75.05
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $3,283.79
Net Profit/Loss: $-6,716.21
Total Return: -67.16%
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