Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-07-01 04:11:45

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
11
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.38%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.80
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.7
Storm
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.1%
ATR%
3.7%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 30, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.2/35
Total Return
11.1/25
Win Rate
6.9/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 25.0/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 24.6

30-Day Momentum

6
-0.2%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.0 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-19 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-01 → 2026-06-30
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,922.66
Current Value
$12,079.18
Period P&L
$156.51
Max Drawdown
-33.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
3 / 3
Best Trade
+2.43%
Worst Trade
-3.19%
Avg Trade Return
-0.04%
Avg Hold Time
3.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$136,038.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$156.51
Net P&L (after fees)
$156.51
Gross Return
+1.31%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.31%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $11,922.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:40am ET $1,113.70 10 $11,137.00
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:20am ET $1,078.16 10 $10,781.55 $11,746.62 $-355.45
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:30pm ET $1,065.34 11 $11,718.74
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 11:15am ET $1,087.85 11 $11,966.35 $11,994.23 +$247.61
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:20pm ET $1,134.43 10 $11,344.30
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:30am ET $1,157.48 10 $11,574.80 $12,224.73 +$230.50
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 12:10pm ET $1,159.75 10 $11,597.50
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $1,133.25 10 $11,332.50 $11,959.73 $-265.00
(-2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:50am ET $1,121.21 10 $11,212.10
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $1,106.42 10 $11,064.15 $11,811.78 $-147.95
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 10:00am ET $1,102.11 10 $11,021.10
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET $1,128.85 10 $11,288.50 $12,079.18 +$267.40
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,079.18
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,079.18
Total Return: +20.79%
Back to Rebel Contraire