LTCUSD Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last Month: 2026-01-14 to present • 59 trades in period
Data Transparency (Last Month)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Month)
Trade Statistics (Last Month)
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
💸 Capital Refund History
When capital drops below $100, the simulation automatically refunds to $10,000 and continues. This ensures continuous data collection even for strategies that experience significant losses.
| # | Date | Capital Before | Trades Before | Era Fees Paid | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 3, 2025 | $97.02 | 845 | $9,239.95 | CAPITAL_EXHAUSTED |
⚠️ Note: This simulation has been refunded 1 time. Total capital invested: $20,000. The return percentage accounts for all refunds.
📚 Strategy Crash History — Learning from Failures
Each "era" below represents a period where the strategy ran until it crashed (capital < $100). Study these to understand how this strategy can fail and what market conditions caused the losses.
📖 Learning Tip: Look for patterns in the crash history. Did the strategy fail during high volatility? Extended trends? Specific market conditions? Understanding how strategies die helps you know when NOT to use them in real trading.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 LTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
Trade History (Last Month - 59 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $726.50 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 5:30am ET | $77.59 | 9 | $719.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:55pm ET | $79.30 | 9 | $735.20 | $731.56 |
+$12.22 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 11:40pm ET | $78.53 | 9 | $731.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 10:20am ET | $80.76 | 9 | $752.33 | $748.63 |
+$17.06 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10.7h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:35am ET | $79.98 | 9 | $748.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 2:50pm ET | $77.57 | 9 | $726.11 | $722.43 |
$-26.20 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 2:55pm ET | $77.53 | 9 | $722.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 10:25pm ET | $74.05 | 9 | $690.00 | $686.47 |
$-35.96 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.5h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:35pm ET | $73.40 | 9 | $686.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 3:05am ET | $75.04 | 9 | $701.81 | $698.34 |
+$11.87 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.5h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 3:30am ET | $74.83 | 9 | $698.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 4:40am ET | $76.83 | 9 | $717.00 | $713.46 |
+$15.13 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 6:35am ET | $75.43 | 9 | $713.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 10:45am ET | $71.74 | 9 | $678.58 | $675.10 |
$-38.36 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 12:55pm ET | $72.52 | 9 | $675.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 1:55pm ET | $74.20 | 9 | $690.74 | $687.32 |
+$12.22 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 6:40pm ET | $75.34 | 9 | $687.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 18, 2026 6:35pm ET | $72.98 | 9 | $665.79 | $662.41 |
$-24.91 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 18, 2026 6:55pm ET | $72.26 | 9 | $662.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 18, 2026 7:00pm ET | $69.91 | 9 | $640.87 | $637.61 |
$-24.80 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 18, 2026 7:05pm ET | $69.46 | 9 | $637.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 19, 2026 3:15am ET | $70.96 | 9 | $651.38 | $648.16 |
+$10.55 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.2h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 19, 2026 5:00am ET | $69.98 | 9 | $648.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 19, 2026 12:45pm ET | $71.39 | 9 | $661.22 | $657.94 |
+$9.79 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 19, 2026 1:00pm ET | $70.95 | 9 | $657.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 10:05am ET | $68.81 | 9 | $638.12 | $634.88 |
$-23.07 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.1h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 10:45am ET | $68.51 | 9 | $634.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 5:30pm ET | $66.22 | 9 | $613.65 | $610.53 |
$-24.34 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 6:55pm ET | $67.04 | 9 | $610.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 8:25pm ET | $68.38 | 9 | $622.75 | $619.66 |
+$9.13 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 8:50pm ET | $68.27 | 9 | $619.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 12:10pm ET | $66.08 | 9 | $599.78 | $596.74 |
$-22.93 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 12:30pm ET | $66.10 | 9 | $596.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 1:45pm ET | $67.52 | 9 | $609.56 | $606.54 |
+$9.80 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 2:00pm ET | $67.27 | 9 | $606.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 2:30pm ET | $68.71 | 9 | $619.55 | $616.49 |
+$9.95 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
30m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 5:20pm ET | $69.18 | 9 | $616.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $67.09 | 9 | $597.87 | $594.83 |
$-21.65 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 11:15am ET | $68.13 | 9 | $594.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 25, 2026 5:10am ET | $69.59 | 9 | $607.58 | $604.57 |
+$9.74 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 25, 2026 6:40am ET | $69.61 | 9 | $604.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 25, 2026 12:20pm ET | $67.32 | 9 | $584.69 | $581.71 |
$-22.86 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.7h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 25, 2026 1:35pm ET | $66.82 | 9 | $581.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 2:25am ET | $68.18 | 9 | $593.55 | $590.61 |
+$8.90 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12.8h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 4:20am ET | $68.05 | 9 | $590.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $69.48 | 9 | $603.02 | $600.04 |
+$9.43 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 9:55am ET | $69.20 | 9 | $600.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $66.95 | 9 | $580.53 | $577.58 |
$-22.46 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:00am ET | $66.03 | 9 | $577.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:15pm ET | $63.93 | 9 | $559.19 | $556.35 |
$-21.23 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:20pm ET | $63.61 | 9 | $556.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 6:50am ET | $65.03 | 9 | $568.77 | $565.96 |
+$9.61 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.5h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 7:05am ET | $64.65 | 9 | $565.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 3:40am ET | $62.63 | 9 | $548.27 | $545.49 |
$-20.47 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.6h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 3:45am ET | $62.53 | 9 | $545.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 9:25am ET | $60.05 | 9 | $523.85 | $521.18 |
$-24.31 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.7h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 11:45am ET | $60.26 | 9 | $521.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 12:10pm ET | $57.99 | 9 | $501.55 | $498.99 |
$-22.19 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
24m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 1:40pm ET | $57.25 | 9 | $498.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 2:15pm ET | $58.43 | 9 | $509.29 | $506.76 |
+$7.77 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
36m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 5:00pm ET | $58.76 | 9 | $506.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 1, 2026 10:25pm ET | $56.94 | 9 | $491.07 | $488.57 |
$-18.19 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 1, 2026 11:55pm ET | $57.92 | 8 | $488.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 4:45am ET | $59.33 | 8 | $500.47 | $497.99 |
+$9.42 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 5:20am ET | $59.17 | 8 | $497.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 10:15am ET | $60.69 | 8 | $510.79 | $508.27 |
+$10.27 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 10:30am ET | $60.57 | 8 | $508.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 12:35pm ET | $58.72 | 8 | $492.74 | $490.24 |
$-18.03 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 12:40pm ET | $58.35 | 8 | $490.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 3:20pm ET | $59.57 | 8 | $500.49 | $498.01 |
+$7.77 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.7h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 4:15pm ET | $60.55 | 8 | $498.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:55am ET | $58.33 | 8 | $479.75 | $477.31 |
$-20.70 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 10:35am ET | $57.93 | 8 | $477.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 2:50pm ET | $59.20 | 8 | $487.77 | $485.36 |
+$8.05 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 5:40pm ET | $58.54 | 8 | $485.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 5:55am ET | $56.74 | 8 | $470.44 | $468.05 |
$-17.31 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12.3h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 6:50am ET | $56.29 | 8 | $468.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $54.58 | 8 | $453.83 | $451.52 |
$-16.52 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET | $52.97 | 9 | $451.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:40am ET | $54.24 | 9 | $462.32 | $460.04 |
+$8.52 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 11:05am ET | $53.35 | 9 | $460.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 11:20am ET | $54.63 | 9 | $471.08 | $468.75 |
+$8.71 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 11:45am ET | $53.97 | 9 | $468.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 2:50pm ET | $52.31 | 9 | $454.33 | $452.02 |
$-16.73 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:20pm ET | $51.04 | 9 | $452.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 6:00pm ET | $52.28 | 9 | $463.00 | $460.72 |
+$8.69 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.7h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 6:20pm ET | $51.60 | 9 | $460.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:05pm ET | $49.84 | 9 | $445.00 | $442.74 |
$-17.98 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET | $47.06 | 9 | $442.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:30pm ET | $48.66 | 9 | $457.79 | $455.54 |
+$12.80 (+3.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:15pm ET | $50.27 | 9 | $455.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 12:10am ET | $51.42 | 9 | $465.96 | $463.66 |
+$8.12 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 1:15am ET | $51.82 | 9 | $463.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 8:00am ET | $52.87 | 9 | $473.05 | $470.71 |
+$7.05 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.8h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:00am ET | $53.17 | 9 | $470.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $54.28 | 9 | $480.54 | $478.16 |
+$7.45 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
42m held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 2:15pm ET | $54.60 | 9 | $478.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 8, 2026 3:30am ET | $55.71 | 9 | $487.87 | $485.45 |
+$7.29 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.6d held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 8, 2026 4:20am ET | $55.46 | 9 | $485.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 8, 2026 11:45am ET | $53.76 | 9 | $470.63 | $468.24 |
$-17.21 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.4h held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 8, 2026 3:30pm ET | $54.67 | 9 | $468.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 5:15am ET | $52.93 | 9 | $453.27 | $450.97 |
$-17.27 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13.8h held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 5:20am ET | $52.82 | 9 | $450.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $53.93 | 9 | $460.41 | $458.13 |
+$7.16 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.7h held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 10:20am ET | $53.55 | 9 | $458.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 12:35pm ET | $54.86 | 9 | $469.31 | $467.00 |
+$8.87 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 1:10pm ET | $54.67 | 9 | $467.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 1:50am ET | $52.97 | 9 | $452.51 | $450.21 |
$-16.79 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12.7h held |
|
| 55 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 2:35am ET | $53.06 | 8 | $450.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $53.68 | 8 | $455.52 | $453.25 |
+$3.04 (+1.2%) |
📅 Sim Ended
9.9h held |
|
| 56 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 1:10pm ET | $53.65 | 8 | $453.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 1:15am ET | $52.00 | 8 | $439.27 | $439.27 |
$-16.21 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12.1h held |
|
| 57 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 1:50am ET | $52.05 | 8 | $439.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:10am ET | $53.27 | 8 | $449.53 | $449.53 |
+$8.04 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.3h held |
|
| 58 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:25am ET | $52.70 | 9 | $449.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 12:00pm ET | $51.11 | 9 | $435.93 | $435.93 |
$-15.82 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held |
|
| 59 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 12:40pm ET | $51.72 | 8 | $435.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 4:30pm ET | $52.77 | 8 | $444.74 | $444.74 |
+$6.61 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held |
+ 1 refund ($10,000)